Zigzag-Steward — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$100

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

Trades

6,791

lifetime

Volume

$77.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-22 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

72% 33% +$102

Other

20% 0% $-2

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	130	$4.4K	2,630	2,723	-93	open	—	03-03 15:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	235	$2.1K	1,723	1,839	-116	open	—	05-31 03:58
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	81	$1.8K	1,187	1,187	+0	open	—	08-10 13:38
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	103	$1.8K	1,607	831	+776	open	—	02-28 06:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	189	$1.7K	1,920	1,871	+50	open	—	06-19 19:58
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	15	$1.7K	1,064	686	+378	open	—	02-06 11:20
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	16	$1.7K	1,000	961	+39	open	—	01-19 08:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	123	$1.6K	1,269	1,612	-343	Yes	+$162	05-08 19:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	87	$1.6K	1,307	1,327	-20	open	—	03-24 02:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	202	$1.5K	2,658	2,703	-45	open	—	05-29 18:51
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	49	$1.5K	930	930	+0	open	—	07-21 15:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	62	$1.4K	881	936	-55	open	—	05-24 06:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	145	$1.4K	1,240	1,259	-19	open	—	04-18 23:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	94	$1.1K	1,237	1,196	+41	open	—	07-12 00:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	12	$1.1K	817	339	+478	open	—	04-16 18:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	73	$1.1K	991	402	+589	open	—	08-04 15:47
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	68	$1.1K	774	623	+151	open	—	07-24 21:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	74	$1.0K	774	774	+0	open	—	03-10 13:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	35	$992	545	565	-20	open	—	05-23 17:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	99	$942	1,019	1,150	-131	open	—	06-15 03:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$915	0	922	-922	open	—	06-15 05:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	54	$885	670	523	+147	open	—	02-26 17:41
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	47	$854	889	0	+889	open	—	02-28 20:51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	194	$853	1,612	1,200	+413	open	—	04-04 16:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	127	$846	1,435	1,445	-10	open	—	05-25 17:05
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	28	$819	465	465	+0	open	—	07-13 21:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	91	$810	1,377	1,377	+0	open	—	04-04 02:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	100	$728	1,100	736	+365	open	—	06-15 13:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	30	$718	481	560	-79	open	—	08-07 19:40
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	64	$713	469	469	+0	open	—	03-23 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 00:09:34	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xd8a874…
08-22 00:09:24	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xb4f74b…
08-22 00:08:31	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x9fabd0…
08-21 22:44:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xe18cf8…
08-21 22:34:09	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x66d3e3…
08-21 19:48:24	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xd67693…
08-21 11:42:15	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x54bcff…
08-20 20:49:28	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x68efb5…
08-20 20:37:51	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xaebec1…
08-20 09:57:25	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x128695…
08-20 09:48:00	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	124	66¢	$82	0xfcb33f…
08-20 08:29:21	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x11f603…
08-20 08:29:19	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x568254…
08-20 08:14:19	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x355f36…
08-20 08:13:19	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xbcce13…
08-20 05:41:18	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x036ead…
08-19 07:25:06	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xfea1ba…
08-19 07:14:33	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xcf2e55…
08-19 07:13:16	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3df4cd…
08-19 07:13:16	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x0a14ab…
08-19 07:08:46	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x6f4b9d…
08-19 07:08:27	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xb19682…
08-19 07:08:07	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x334a42…
08-19 06:57:21	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb83ec1…
08-18 15:30:34	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0xd91420…
08-18 15:29:52	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0xde3425…
08-18 11:51:46	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xb39ed0…
08-18 10:35:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xa752c0…
08-18 04:02:00	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	25	86¢	$21	0xc8b8b1…
08-18 03:59:40	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0x760c2c…
08-18 03:46:39	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x67a737…
08-18 03:32:00	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xea1a31…
08-18 03:12:39	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xe1ea02…
08-18 03:11:00	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x2243c2…
08-18 02:59:19	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0xc13e47…
08-18 00:05:31	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	65	85¢	$55	0x90540c…
08-17 23:35:51	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	147	85¢	$125	0x9d404d…
08-15 07:28:55	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x955f9d…
08-15 03:50:10	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x76b834…
08-14 16:18:51	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd8a4af…
08-14 16:18:51	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xa1cde5…
08-12 18:22:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	46	19¢	$9	0x544eb6…
08-12 17:36:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xe2f596…
08-12 17:36:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xfb10b0…
08-12 17:35:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x0d3768…
08-12 17:32:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x73d297…
08-12 17:15:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0xa61e8b…
08-12 16:45:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe21092…
08-12 16:40:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb1f213…
08-12 16:32:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	114	32¢	$37	0x27c92e…
08-12 16:30:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	120	32¢	$38	0xa72bca…
08-12 16:26:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x96e2b4…
08-12 16:25:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x1ac139…
08-12 16:09:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x3b017d…
08-12 16:09:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x3603b5…
08-12 15:57:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0x0a047d…
08-12 15:52:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe9d355…
08-12 15:52:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe25854…
08-12 13:09:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x9a7b2f…
08-12 13:09:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x216dd5…
08-12 12:25:40	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xd28b35…
08-12 06:27:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x5ea62a…
08-12 06:22:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x9707e6…
08-12 05:35:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xac89d9…
08-12 05:31:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x13f573…
08-12 04:58:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x5246fa…
08-12 04:16:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	131	98¢	$128	0xdf7c87…
08-12 04:13:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	131	97¢	$127	0xbcc229…
08-12 03:24:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x79c656…
08-12 03:22:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xef64ac…
08-12 03:15:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x4f3125…
08-12 03:15:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	61	70¢	$43	0x25b75f…
08-11 15:08:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x9715e7…
08-11 15:08:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xa1e518…
08-11 10:19:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3a0688…
08-11 10:09:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x192c39…
08-11 08:59:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x330b93…
08-11 07:33:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x20f807…
08-10 16:22:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0x0629f9…
08-10 16:18:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x5fc2cc…
08-10 16:17:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0xa3507b…
08-10 16:07:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x10110f…
08-10 16:03:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	39	73¢	$29	0xabc0fb…
08-10 15:48:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	28	73¢	$21	0x56460e…
08-10 15:31:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xb24549…
08-10 15:28:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x28e3dc…
08-10 15:03:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	39	73¢	$29	0x19134d…
08-10 13:55:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xe5100b…
08-10 13:55:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xac0874…
08-10 13:55:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x9ebdca…
08-10 13:38:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	242	96¢	$233	0xd5e567…
08-10 13:37:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	119	96¢	$114	0x120c8d…
08-10 13:18:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0x80177b…
08-10 12:50:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x78fea9…
08-10 12:49:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x163485…
08-10 12:43:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x1d28ce…
08-10 12:40:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc0ddce…
08-10 12:09:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0x038fe6…
08-10 11:49:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb96b12…
08-10 11:46:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc7e5a1…