Zigzag-Steward — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$100

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

Trades

6,233

lifetime

Volume

$69.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-26 18:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

75% 33% +$102

Other

15% 0% $-2

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	130	$4.4K	2,630	2,723	-93	open	—	03-03 15:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	235	$2.1K	1,723	1,839	-116	open	—	05-31 03:58
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	103	$1.8K	1,607	831	+776	open	—	02-28 06:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	189	$1.7K	1,920	1,871	+50	open	—	06-19 19:58
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	15	$1.7K	1,064	686	+378	open	—	02-06 11:20
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	16	$1.7K	1,000	961	+39	open	—	01-19 08:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	123	$1.6K	1,269	1,612	-343	Yes	+$162	05-08 19:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	87	$1.6K	1,307	1,327	-20	open	—	03-24 02:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	202	$1.5K	2,658	2,703	-45	open	—	05-29 18:51
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	49	$1.5K	930	930	+0	open	—	07-21 15:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	62	$1.4K	881	936	-55	open	—	05-24 06:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	145	$1.4K	1,240	1,259	-19	open	—	04-18 23:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	94	$1.1K	1,237	1,196	+41	open	—	07-12 00:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	12	$1.1K	817	339	+478	open	—	04-16 18:17
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	68	$1.1K	774	623	+151	open	—	07-24 21:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	74	$1.0K	774	774	+0	open	—	03-10 13:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	35	$992	545	565	-20	open	—	05-23 17:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	99	$942	1,019	1,150	-131	open	—	06-15 03:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$915	0	922	-922	open	—	06-15 05:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	54	$885	670	523	+147	open	—	02-26 17:41
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	47	$854	889	0	+889	open	—	02-28 20:51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	194	$853	1,612	1,200	+413	open	—	04-04 16:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	127	$846	1,435	1,445	-10	open	—	05-25 17:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	57	$831	704	349	+355	open	—	07-25 14:00
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	28	$819	465	465	+0	open	—	07-13 21:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	91	$810	1,377	1,377	+0	open	—	04-04 02:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	100	$728	1,100	736	+365	open	—	06-15 13:59
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	64	$713	469	469	+0	open	—	03-23 20:19
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	56	$656	603	603	+0	open	—	06-18 18:43
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	47	$629	446	446	-0	open	—	07-07 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 20:19:06	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xe4e5b6…
07-26 20:06:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5a9999…
07-26 20:06:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x279bf8…
07-26 18:39:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0xc1c17e…
07-26 18:10:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x1bc185…
07-26 16:35:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0x6465e0…
07-26 14:54:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xb869ea…
07-26 14:42:52	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	66	57¢	$38	0x720503…
07-26 12:44:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x9970ac…
07-26 12:43:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x57a1e1…
07-26 09:25:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xef4243…
07-26 09:25:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	149	36¢	$53	0x4d1b3e…
07-26 05:30:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x0e4aba…
07-26 05:10:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xfb3adf…
07-26 05:10:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x786eb7…
07-26 03:24:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x06ede6…
07-26 03:21:48	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xdfe29d…
07-25 23:46:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xee3c8f…
07-25 21:29:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x690d7c…
07-25 21:27:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xefb1ab…
07-25 21:27:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xac0696…
07-25 21:26:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xd6c3ca…
07-25 18:29:03	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	125	69¢	$86	0x80eaf0…
07-25 18:28:01	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	126	69¢	$87	0x86d922…
07-25 18:01:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x7683f0…
07-25 17:43:00	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x3935f1…
07-25 15:49:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x0e0408…
07-25 14:00:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	27	72¢	$19	0xb995f3…
07-25 12:45:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xf7fed3…
07-25 12:44:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x65de5e…
07-25 12:44:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x49c8d2…
07-25 12:43:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x34daa6…
07-25 09:04:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	71¢	$10	0x0969cb…
07-25 07:07:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	136	68¢	$92	0xac01e7…
07-25 07:06:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	136	68¢	$93	0x809cc4…
07-25 07:04:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0xb1b6e1…
07-25 05:24:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x95de24…
07-25 04:17:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x412ed9…
07-25 02:24:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x15f59e…
07-24 21:36:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x1de1b4…
07-24 21:28:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xa56d72…
07-24 21:15:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xfa6c0d…
07-24 21:14:00	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xdafb6d…
07-24 21:11:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb5a562…
07-24 21:02:40	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xd0ade8…
07-24 20:16:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xa3ba3f…
07-24 20:05:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xc93e03…
07-24 20:03:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x587d9f…
07-24 20:03:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xd25153…
07-24 19:02:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf4d08c…
07-24 18:40:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	27	40¢	$11	0x3ccedc…
07-24 17:38:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xe03b50…
07-24 16:27:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	27	72¢	$19	0xf40f6c…
07-24 15:40:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x5c6455…
07-23 21:40:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x630bed…
07-23 09:18:43	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xcd266f…
07-23 09:18:43	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x11df49…
07-23 08:42:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x70b138…
07-23 07:07:30	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x9d9c6f…
07-22 12:24:04	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x49df61…
07-22 12:23:42	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x466da2…
07-22 12:23:42	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x2f77e9…
07-22 12:23:42	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x05edef…
07-22 12:23:42	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x046c86…
07-22 12:23:22	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x8d6506…
07-22 12:23:22	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x633d20…
07-22 12:22:22	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xb21133…
07-22 12:22:22	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x3b0712…
07-22 12:22:22	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x1c22e6…
07-22 11:53:21	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x84ab39…
07-22 11:52:04	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xc53170…
07-22 11:39:57	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xb5da8a…
07-22 11:26:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x9dac22…
07-22 09:15:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf55a86…
07-22 09:12:30	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xe151dd…
07-22 05:42:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	Yes	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x815833…
07-22 00:37:33	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x512402…
07-21 23:04:28	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x7f9b17…
07-21 19:11:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x608807…
07-21 19:10:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	Yes	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x27faa9…
07-21 18:16:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x0d19dd…
07-21 17:52:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe9b123…
07-21 17:44:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x10515f…
07-21 17:42:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	57	54¢	$31	0xbbb592…
07-21 17:22:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x99c0cb…
07-21 16:33:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x1656ef…
07-21 16:27:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb1811e…
07-21 16:27:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0ba826…
07-21 16:23:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf5122d…
07-21 15:23:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	165	93¢	$153	0x6d23a8…
07-21 15:22:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	75	92¢	$69	0xb4093a…
07-21 15:08:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x79ee57…
07-21 15:07:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xbdb62a…
07-21 11:50:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xc433b3…
07-21 11:03:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x6f2e0d…
07-21 08:34:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x9bae1b…
07-21 08:28:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xe938a2…
07-21 08:14:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x8adc4d…
07-21 08:13:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x327506…
07-21 07:49:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0xab13d4…