Realized P&L
+$100
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
82.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
5,665
lifetime
Volume
$60.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$683
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-05 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
75% 33% +$102
Other
15% 0% $-2
Crypto
7%
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +216 $174 88¢ $191 +$17 06-22 01:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -185 $-166 94¢ $-173 $-6 06-14 14:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -65 $-60 100¢ $-65 $-5 06-26 10:54
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +78 $32 64¢ $50 +$18 07-02 17:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +57 $45 86¢ $49 +$4 06-26 15:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +60 $32 79¢ $47 +$15 06-26 11:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +40 $31 88¢ $35 +$4 05-29 16:16
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +36 $28 84¢ $30 +$3 06-26 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +77 $26 29¢ $22 $-4 07-05 22:00
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +20 $17 92¢ $18 +$1 06-21 07:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +18 $-13 15¢ $3 +$15 06-26 16:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -251 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-07 19:58