Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$580
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
221 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$1.56K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$432
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 08-05 18:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
89%
0%
-$384
Sports
4%
0%
-$70
Politics
3%
0%
-$52
Crypto
3%
0%
-$44
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | +2,000 | $220 | 8¢ | $170 | -$50 | 07-12 18:40 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | +2,520 | $247 | 4¢ | $113 | -$133 | 07-09 00:29 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | +5,206 | $294 | 1¢ | $70 | -$224 | 07-06 17:52 | |
| will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 | Yes | +3,412 | $203 | 2¢ | $67 | -$137 | 08-05 18:24 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | +537 | $48 | 2¢ | $12 | -$36 | 06-10 09:13 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 139 | $294 | 5,206 | 0 | +5,206 | open | — | 07-06 17:52 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | 8 | $247 | 2,520 | 0 | +2,520 | open | — | 07-09 00:29 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | 5 | $220 | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | open | — | 07-12 18:40 |
| will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 | 6 | $203 | 3,412 | 0 | +3,412 | open | — | 08-05 18:24 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | 4 | $125 | 4,407 | 0 | +4,407 | No | -$125 | 07-08 11:19 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | 20 | $99 | 12,580 | 0 | +12,580 | No | -$99 | 06-10 16:22 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | 11 | $72 | 7,478 | 0 | +7,478 | No | -$72 | 06-09 20:44 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $50 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | No | -$50 | 06-14 09:58 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | 5 | $48 | 537 | 0 | +537 | open | — | 06-10 09:13 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping? | 3 | $39 | 617 | 0 | +617 | No | -$39 | 05-14 19:28 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | 1 | $20 | 43 | 0 | +43 | No | -$20 | 06-14 16:32 |
| Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1 | $20 | 52 | 0 | +52 | No | -$20 | 06-14 16:35 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 2 | $19 | 300 | 0 | +300 | Yes | -$19 | 02-28 22:10 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 1 | $19 | 100 | 0 | +100 | No | -$19 | 01-11 21:58 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 1 | $15 | 224 | 0 | +224 | No | -$15 | 03-14 18:09 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15 | 1 | $12 | 100 | 0 | +100 | No | -$12 | 04-01 00:03 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? | 1 | $11 | 100 | 0 | +100 | No | -$11 | 01-11 21:56 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 1 | $10 | 56 | 0 | +56 | No | -$10 | 01-11 01:00 |
| Will the US strike Nigeria next? | 2 | $8 | 8,000 | 0 | +8,000 | No | -$8 | 01-11 00:57 |
| Will the US strike Cuba next? | 1 | $5 | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | -$5 | 01-11 00:56 |
| Will the US strike Venezuela next? | 1 | $5 | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | -$5 | 01-11 00:56 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:55 UTC | 1 | $5 | 38 | 0 | +38 | Down | -$5 | 06-15 17:57 |
| will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026 | 1 | $4 | 111 | 0 | +111 | No | -$4 | 01-11 22:03 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | 1 | $3 | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | No | -$3 | 01-11 00:55 |
| Will the US strike Yemen next? | 1 | $3 | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | No | -$3 | 01-11 00:57 |
| Will the US strike another country first? | 1 | $3 | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | No | -$3 | 01-11 00:57 |
| Will the US strike Mexico next? | 1 | $3 | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | No | -$3 | 01-11 00:57 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||