Realized P&L
-$133
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
44.6%
Resolved
212
Trades
647
lifetime
Volume
$1.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$87
12 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 22:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
77% 16% -$36
Politics
14% 10% -$45
Crypto
7% 20% -$44
Sports
2% 25% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +312 $25 8¢ $23 -$2 10-26 17:27
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +125 $20 18¢ $22 +$2 10-26 17:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +383 $22 3¢ $11 -$11 10-26 22:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +788 $9 1¢ $7 -$2 10-26 13:16
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +457 $4 1¢ $5 +$1 10-22 18:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $6 14¢ $5 $0 10-23 11:24
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? Yes +109 $9 3¢ $3 -$6 10-26 13:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? No +301 $2 1¢ $3 +$1 10-24 22:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +124 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 10-25 17:39
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? No +75 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 10-26 11:56
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 10-26 13:11
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 10-21 09:54