Authorized-Employee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

816

lifetime

Volume

$28.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 08-10 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 50% $-106

Other

37% 100% +$41

Politics

15% — —

Sports

8% 0% $-96

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	209	$4.4K	4,475	4,475	+0	open	—	03-08 20:52
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 bog1	14	$1.1K	796	614	+182	open	—	03-15 10:06
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	13	$858	492	492	+0	open	—	03-24 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	10	$601	464	463	+1	Down	+$17	05-05 07:55
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$381	1,663	1,663	+0	open	—	03-23 22:55
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	8	$375	462	0	+462	open	—	03-15 17:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$327	178	178	+0	open	—	04-25 10:44
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$295	543	543	+0	open	—	03-20 23:38
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	4	$292	154	150	+4	open	—	03-23 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	6	$291	556	0	+556	open	—	04-25 12:21
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	14	$286	686	0	+686	open	—	04-25 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	16	$279	811	0	+811	open	—	04-25 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	6	$271	569	0	+569	open	—	04-25 12:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	4	$270	141	140	+1	open	—	03-23 02:39
uef pol alb 2026 03 26 pol	4	$263	227	227	+0	open	—	03-26 20:27
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	12	$262	310	310	+0	open	—	03-07 13:49
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	12	$259	428	0	+428	open	—	04-25 20:30
will iran strike ruwais refinery by march 31	5	$253	313	313	+0	open	—	03-12 12:01
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	5	$247	744	0	+744	open	—	04-25 11:58
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$237	424	163	+261	open	—	04-03 15:01
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	4	$231	214	98	+116	open	—	04-30 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	5	$231	539	0	+539	open	—	04-25 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$228	427	0	+427	open	—	04-25 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	10	$227	427	0	+427	open	—	04-25 20:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$218	495	495	+0	open	—	03-20 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	5	$213	4,826	0	+4,826	open	—	04-25 12:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$207	117	117	+0	open	—	03-10 10:02
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$204	106	106	+0	Yes	+$4	04-25 10:47
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	04-25 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$200	313	68	+245	open	—	04-26 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:01:46	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	71	62¢	$44	0x350c57…
08-07 12:32:49	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	71	57¢	$40	0x227936…
08-06 15:59:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	42	84¢	$35	0xaaa372…
08-04 14:39:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xbeb424…
08-04 14:38:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x932663…
08-04 14:17:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x7ea562…
08-03 22:30:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	102	13¢	$13	0x3f8020…
07-30 18:20:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	28¢	$26	0xf5d611…
07-28 14:03:46	will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027	No	BUY	36	91¢	$33	0x18e665…
07-25 21:48:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xcfa873…
07-25 21:47:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xd7651d…
07-25 21:44:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xd519bc…
07-21 15:11:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	33	75¢	$25	0x3ad167…
07-20 14:29:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	93	10¢	$9	0x7b94aa…
07-18 21:43:36	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xf938a0…
07-18 18:54:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xdf8cc2…
07-16 06:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x594a8b…
07-15 23:52:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	42	79¢	$33	0xbbe900…
07-14 15:51:32	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	BUY	446	4¢	$18	0xfeebef…
07-13 19:47:02	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x55fa2a…
07-13 19:33:58	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xbfdf61…
07-13 19:31:25	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30	Yes	BUY	124	7¢	$9	0x601a7a…
07-13 19:28:46	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x8f6444…
07-13 19:19:53	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	312	10¢	$31	0x3f10f7…
07-13 16:51:46	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	224	31¢	$70	0x2b7974…
07-13 14:36:04	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xacffe5…
07-11 23:07:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x391a4d…
07-11 22:27:08	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	31	76¢	$24	0x73cc83…
07-11 22:23:29	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xf832f8…
07-11 15:02:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x5bb58b…
07-11 11:37:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	36	21¢	$8	0xbadaaf…
07-10 14:37:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	138	18¢	$25	0x0291fc…
07-10 14:34:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	258	14¢	$36	0xf912cb…
07-09 19:08:01	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	31	27¢	$8	0x02e9f5…
07-09 00:49:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xfd2088…
07-09 00:39:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0x8378d6…
07-08 23:17:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x8f07f1…
07-08 21:23:52	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x7cafe4…
07-08 17:51:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0x76f8e4…
07-06 16:54:44	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	224	14¢	$30	0x453d26…
07-02 06:30:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	89	13¢	$12	0xdd5241…
06-27 21:51:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x7f68be…
06-26 13:25:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	39	22¢	$9	0xd2cc4e…
06-26 13:05:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	44	65¢	$29	0x884f84…
06-25 23:51:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	89	29¢	$26	0xbb41ec…
06-25 22:18:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$50	0xfc0b36…
06-25 22:16:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xec4450…
06-24 23:58:26	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x2f5242…
06-24 23:58:25	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x0f7f6d…
06-24 20:17:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x4d0274…
06-24 20:16:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x375be9…
06-24 17:49:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe2aa52…
06-23 13:39:26	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	121	42¢	$51	0x8b975f…
06-23 05:29:10	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	91	53¢	$48	0x05d988…
06-21 14:48:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x555b54…
06-19 08:31:31	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x3a6de0…
06-19 08:31:29	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	55	86¢	$47	0xf9f31a…
06-17 23:37:44	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	No	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x22a8e2…
06-17 23:10:01	will trump shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615194910741	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xa67f5e…
06-17 22:11:41	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	301	6¢	$18	0x140062…
06-17 17:40:10	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x47b8ab…
06-17 13:27:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x893b59…
06-17 13:27:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x5faee9…
06-17 13:27:17	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xa41dcb…
06-17 13:26:38	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	31	89¢	$27	0x6c0d68…
06-16 23:00:50	Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?	No	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0x6c4e06…
06-16 18:57:25	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	SELL	29	84¢	$24	0xa83e91…
06-16 13:42:20	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x695a56…
06-16 13:40:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	92	29¢	$27	0xbee89d…
06-16 13:39:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xb2e138…
06-16 13:39:29	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xc9dc92…
06-16 13:34:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xd70062…
06-16 13:34:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x5cc8bc…
06-15 01:28:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xe4cccf…
06-12 17:14:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x2fdf1c…
06-12 17:14:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xfd560f…
06-12 17:14:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x1c43d9…
06-12 07:25:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x8c5a51…
06-12 06:55:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x46a3c0…
06-12 06:55:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x3e8ec5…
06-12 06:42:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	38	22¢	$8	0x375765…
06-12 02:16:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	83	31¢	$26	0xfa4854…
06-12 01:32:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	166	15¢	$25	0x257814…
06-11 12:55:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xea5420…
06-11 12:25:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xb81cd3…
06-08 22:02:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xa5cc6c…
06-08 13:54:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	28¢	$26	0x8d55aa…
06-08 13:07:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	43	81¢	$35	0x2de171…
06-08 10:30:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x8b8e15…
06-08 07:35:24	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0x5646ac…
06-08 07:34:00	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x37e9f9…
06-07 09:32:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	38¢	$25	0xadce8c…
06-07 06:16:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	33¢	$26	0xe6a4c4…
06-07 04:38:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x2e4f4a…
06-06 09:05:28	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x98f145…
06-05 20:57:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xf61a17…
06-04 13:17:57	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xfbc23b…
06-04 13:13:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x56797d…
06-04 13:10:07	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3be611…
06-04 12:58:15	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x26f313…