Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
178
Trades
257
lifetime
Volume
$933
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$137
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-04 22:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Politics
47% 52% +$49
Other
39% 55% -$20
Sports
5% 64% +$4
Tech
5% 86% -$4
Crypto
4% 57% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +168 $30 16¢ $26 -$4 10-04 22:21
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +100 $10 14¢ $14 +$4 07-01 11:48
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +29 $2 45¢ $13 +$11 05-04 12:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +13 $11 92¢ $12 +$1 07-06 18:57
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +9 $5 86¢ $8 +$3 06-30 23:19
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +8 $5 88¢ $7 +$2 05-22 21:18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 09-15 23:40
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +150 $3 4¢ $5 +$2 07-01 13:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 83¢ $5 $0 08-05 13:33
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +34 $2 14¢ $5 +$3 05-04 12:38
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6 $5 72¢ $4 -$1 09-15 23:21
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $5 2¢ $4 -$1 05-14 11:31
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +667 $10 1¢ $4 -$6 05-14 11:26
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $2 64¢ $4 +$2 06-16 18:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20 $5 17¢ $3 -$2 05-22 21:14
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +22 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 05-04 12:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 05-22 21:22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 05-22 21:09
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +105 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 05-14 11:31
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 $0 05-04 12:38
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +48 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 05-22 21:09
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 09-15 23:30
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +67 $1 1¢ $1 $0 05-22 21:09
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +250 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 05-14 11:32
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +45 $1 2¢ $1 $0 05-22 21:09
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +23 $1 3¢ $1 $0 05-04 12:38
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +346 $2 0¢ $1 -$2 05-14 11:32
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +83 $1 1¢ $1 $0 05-14 11:32
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-14 11:26
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +16 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-14 11:27