Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved
40
Trades
116
lifetime
Volume
$435
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$117
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 07-20 15:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 33% $-39
Other
27%
Politics
14%
Sports
0% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +34 $25 78¢ $26 +$1 07-01 15:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +38 $21 64¢ $25 +$4 06-24 18:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +37 $20 66¢ $24 +$4 06-24 18:56
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +13 $12 92¢ $12 $-0 06-19 23:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 06-21 12:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-20 22:13
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 $-0 07-01 15:05
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 07-01 15:03