Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
8.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
2,310
lifetime
Volume
$2.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 07-01 07:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
37% 0% $-4
Other
37% 100% +$1
Sports
22% 50% $-2
Crypto
3%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16 $-14 72¢ $-12 +$2 07-01 07:17
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -2 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 07:17
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -2 $-1 80¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 07:18
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -3 $-1 39¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 07:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 07-01 07:18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 07:18
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -0 $-0 94¢ $-0 $-0 07-01 07:18
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? Yes -2 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-01 07:18