Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
8
lifetime
Volume
$58
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$39
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-09 18:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52% 100% +$0
Other
48%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +73 $25 32¢ $24 $-1 05-09 18:31
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -59 $-24 17¢ $-10 +$14 05-09 03:49
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -8 $-3 42¢ $-3 $-0 05-07 00:18
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes +90 $3 $1 $-1 05-07 12:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +2 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 05-06 08:34
Will Trump visit China by May 15? No +16 $1 $0 $-1 05-06 15:47
Will Trump visit China by May 31? No +12 $1 $0 $-1 05-06 00:29