Nautical-Wool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

570

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-17 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

75% 0% $-2

Other

14% 100% +$63

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	22	$1.5K	2,255	2,255	+0	open	—	05-29 19:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	17	$1.1K	2,073	530	+1,543	open	—	06-17 08:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	8	$733	457	487	-30	open	—	05-26 11:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	19	$663	735	757	-22	open	—	06-17 08:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	23	$602	424	428	-5	open	—	05-31 19:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	11	$495	294	294	+0	open	—	06-07 07:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$419	271	270	+0	open	—	04-24 08:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	9	$367	587	472	+115	open	—	06-15 04:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	4	$354	188	188	+0	open	—	05-27 19:23
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	8	$328	237	237	+0	open	—	05-29 15:07
israel closes its airspace by june 8	3	$323	173	173	+0	open	—	06-08 15:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$276	179	179	+0	open	—	06-01 19:49
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	8	$250	564	310	+254	open	—	06-15 04:26
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$246	146	146	+0	open	—	05-23 16:02
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	13	$236	215	215	+0	open	—	05-27 12:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$222	164	164	+0	open	—	06-10 15:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$218	147	147	+0	open	—	06-08 14:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	8	$214	222	222	+0	open	—	06-02 06:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	2	$212	116	116	+0	open	—	05-28 09:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	3	$192	95	119	-24	open	—	06-07 21:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	10	$155	231	231	+0	open	—	06-01 05:36
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$147	270	270	+0	open	—	04-18 21:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$130	817	817	+0	open	—	06-11 17:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$123	96	96	+0	open	—	04-20 14:21
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$115	84	84	+0	open	—	05-23 16:44
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	3	$115	85	85	+0	open	—	06-04 08:01
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	5	$115	199	199	+0	open	—	06-09 13:48
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$109	105	105	+0	open	—	05-13 19:47
Kash Patel out by April 30?	2	$106	57	57	+0	open	—	04-29 16:04
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$102	163	163	+0	open	—	06-14 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 08:50:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x132799…
06-17 08:50:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	371	0¢	$0	0xa8ddf6…
06-15 04:59:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	309	15¢	$46	0x4b5d14…
06-15 04:58:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	SELL	70	26¢	$18	0x0fc508…
06-15 04:52:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	325	15¢	$50	0xacd31f…
06-15 04:47:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	310	16¢	$50	0xcb2eee…
06-15 04:42:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x37e76a…
06-15 04:32:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x80e711…
06-15 04:31:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xa37ab6…
06-15 04:30:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	168	18¢	$30	0x1eddfb…
06-15 04:26:10	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	310	37¢	$115	0x5331ac…
06-15 04:25:27	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	52	71¢	$37	0xb64064…
06-14 19:08:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x175fe6…
06-14 18:35:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x7d65e9…
06-14 18:24:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x9c6b57…
06-14 18:23:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xe95458…
06-14 18:07:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xbf0f36…
06-14 18:05:39	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	111	19¢	$21	0x91a0a9…
06-14 13:53:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	40¢	$14	0xe66982…
06-14 13:53:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	No	SELL	24	47¢	$11	0x53287b…
06-14 13:52:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	No	SELL	20	63¢	$12	0x1f611b…
06-14 12:34:10	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x61d570…
06-14 12:34:03	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x630f7c…
06-14 12:31:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x364881…
06-14 12:27:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	46	72¢	$33	0xc4987f…
06-14 06:47:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x633961…
06-14 06:45:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9e83cc…
06-14 06:44:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf6f98a…
06-14 06:44:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xe7149c…
06-14 06:44:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1e9a20…
06-14 06:41:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xbcef5b…
06-14 06:18:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	116	78¢	$90	0xe3c005…
06-13 21:17:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	141	73¢	$104	0xc0f01a…
06-13 21:17:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	215	47¢	$101	0x57021c…
06-13 21:17:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	163	31¢	$51	0x5d74ac…
06-13 15:38:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8a8443…
06-13 15:35:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	257	78¢	$200	0xa1101c…
06-13 15:28:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	47	65¢	$31	0x8553ca…
06-13 13:02:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x493378…
06-13 12:58:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc4c7a3…
06-12 14:42:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	141	71¢	$100	0xba5c7b…
06-12 05:08:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x0c49f1…
06-12 05:07:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xc8a567…
06-11 19:47:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0a259f…
06-11 19:34:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x638599…
06-11 19:09:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xd1f23d…
06-11 18:30:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x7a2cbc…
06-11 18:25:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xb5ad32…
06-11 18:13:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xaca105…
06-11 18:13:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x84ceb2…
06-11 18:01:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x588c75…
06-11 17:56:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x0631b6…
06-11 17:54:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x20caf2…
06-11 17:52:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0x38837b…
06-11 17:50:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	91	31¢	$28	0x37f676…
06-11 17:50:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	154	17¢	$26	0xa688ff…
06-11 17:49:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	151	3¢	$5	0x1f75ce…
06-11 15:22:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x7402f9…
06-11 14:10:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x265363…
06-11 14:09:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	666	8¢	$50	0xf2a0b0…
06-11 14:09:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	253	8¢	$20	0xdb4618…
06-11 12:53:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	495	10¢	$50	0x56dc2e…
06-11 12:52:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0x437a52…
06-10 15:13:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	147	69¢	$101	0x16fdd8…
06-10 11:48:33	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0xb6b4d6…
06-09 23:01:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x9f0461…
06-09 22:50:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x40df9e…
06-09 22:48:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x373db2…
06-09 22:47:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x71b42c…
06-09 15:49:31	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xf188f6…
06-09 13:53:55	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	83	51¢	$42	0x63d963…
06-09 13:48:28	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	199	22¢	$45	0x5315bc…
06-09 10:25:31	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x6ad584…
06-09 06:31:55	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x910016…
06-08 17:34:04	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x594692…
06-08 15:31:19	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	173	96¢	$166	0x9fcfa2…
06-08 14:03:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	147	80¢	$118	0x037f79…
06-08 13:05:24	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe3025c…
06-08 13:03:58	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	63	90¢	$57	0xa289f0…
06-08 13:00:27	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xf6f905…
06-08 13:00:13	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x89c081…
06-08 10:23:04	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	52	79¢	$41	0x4b14fe…
06-08 07:08:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0xda9040…
06-08 06:41:31	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x20b69e…
06-07 21:59:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb76ea9…
06-07 21:41:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	236	93¢	$219	0x33dffc…
06-07 21:41:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	119	94¢	$112	0x5527d6…
06-07 10:15:37	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x9fcac7…
06-07 07:00:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x281982…
06-06 13:52:40	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xe393a6…
06-06 09:04:03	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	79	67¢	$53	0xa6ab74…
06-05 11:52:04	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xff7b51…
06-05 11:49:54	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1a0270…
06-05 07:40:48	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x38286e…
06-04 21:24:36	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6cd22e…
06-04 13:12:48	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x7992b2…
06-04 13:06:45	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x6338d9…
06-04 11:33:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x93f19e…
06-04 11:33:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x02de6c…
06-04 08:03:10	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	SELL	39	69¢	$27	0x294b0e…