Realized P&L
-$478
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
195
Trades
679
lifetime
Volume
$15.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$237
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-03 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
75% 53% -$502
Other
16% 44% +$38
Crypto
9% 42% -$4
Tech
0% 0% -$10
Sports
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +69 $60 90¢ $63 +$3 11-03 16:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -60 -$52 97¢ $-58 -$6 05-17 20:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +106 $50 52¢ $55 +$5 10-16 18:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +45 $31 76¢ $34 +$3 10-31 15:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +59 $19 18¢ $11 -$8 11-01 09:16
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +154 $17 6¢ $9 -$8 11-03 16:25
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -24 -$6 18¢ $-4 +$2 05-18 14:28
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +14 $5 14¢ $2 -$3 10-16 18:11
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -105 -$2 2¢ $-2 +$0 05-02 11:51