Realized P&L (7d)
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved (7d)
7
Trades (7d)
19
681 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$417
$15.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$233
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-04 07:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Politics
74% 53% -$507
Other
16% 44% +$38
Crypto
9% 42% -$4
Tech
0% 0% -$10
Sports
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +69 $60 92¢ $63 +$3 11-03 16:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -60 -$52 98¢ $-59 -$7 05-17 20:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +106 $50 52¢ $55 +$5 10-16 18:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +45 $31 78¢ $35 +$4 10-31 15:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +59 $19 12¢ $7 -$11 11-01 09:16
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +154 $17 4¢ $7 -$10 11-03 16:25
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -24 -$6 19¢ $-5 +$1 05-18 14:28
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -105 -$2 2¢ $-2 +$0 05-02 11:51