Realized P&L (90d)
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
90.8%
Resolved (90d)
13
Trades (90d)
40
683 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$868
$15.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$260
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-04 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Politics
74% 53% -$507
Other
16% 44% +$38
Crypto
9% 42% -$4
Tech
0% 0% -$10
Sports
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +102 $90 90¢ $92 +$2 11-04 15:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -60 -$52 98¢ $-59 -$7 05-17 20:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +106 $50 52¢ $55 +$5 10-16 18:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +45 $31 74¢ $33 +$2 10-31 15:11
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +154 $17 4¢ $7 -$10 11-03 16:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +59 $19 12¢ $7 -$12 11-01 09:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -24 -$6 19¢ $-5 +$1 05-18 14:28
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -105 -$2 2¢ $-2 +$0 05-02 11:51