Realized P&L (30d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
92.9%
Resolved (30d)
11
Trades (30d)
38
690 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$713
$15.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$277
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-05 13:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Politics
74% 53% -$507
Other
17% 44% +$38
Crypto
9% 42% -$4
Tech
0% 0% -$10
Sports
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +102 $90 92¢ $94 +$4 11-04 15:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -60 -$52 98¢ $-59 -$6 05-17 20:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +96 $44 50¢ $48 +$4 11-04 19:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +45 $31 78¢ $35 +$4 10-31 15:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +30 $14 56¢ $17 +$3 11-05 13:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +109 $24 12¢ $14 -$10 11-04 19:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -24 -$6 20¢ $-5 +$1 05-18 14:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +9 $7 50¢ $4 -$3 11-03 16:26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -105 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 05-02 11:51