Realized P&L
-$483
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
196
Trades
694
lifetime
Volume
$15.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$275
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-06 13:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Politics
74% 53% -$507
Other
17% 44% +$38
Crypto
9% 42% -$4
Tech
0% 0% -$10
Sports
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +102 $90 94¢ $97 +$7 11-04 15:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -60 -$52 98¢ $-59 -$6 05-17 20:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +96 $44 50¢ $47 +$3 11-04 19:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +45 $31 82¢ $37 +$6 10-31 15:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +109 $24 11¢ $11 -$12 11-04 19:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November? No +26 $5 34¢ $9 +$4 11-06 13:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +11 $8 50¢ $6 -$2 11-06 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +7 $5 69¢ $5 $0 11-06 13:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -24 -$6 19¢ $-5 +$1 05-18 14:28
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -105 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 05-02 11:51