Realized P&L
+$67
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
71.9%
Resolved
61
Trades
523
lifetime
Volume
$3.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$419
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 09-23 05:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
74% 68% +$153
Politics
23% 53% +$16
Sports
3% 0% -$102
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -235 -$220 96¢ $-224 -$5 09-23 05:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No -72 -$67 96¢ $-69 -$2 09-23 05:47
US recession by end of 2026? No -44 -$40 96¢ $-42 -$2 09-23 05:45
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -27 -$24 96¢ $-26 -$2 09-23 05:52
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -15 -$12 88¢ $-13 -$1 09-23 05:53
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 09-23 05:54
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 09-23 05:54
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -9 -$9 96¢ $-9 $0 09-23 05:55
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -6 -$5 94¢ $-6 $0 09-23 05:55
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -4 -$3 95¢ $-4 $0 09-23 05:56
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -67 -$2 5¢ $-3 -$1 09-23 05:57
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -84 -$3 2¢ $-2 +$1 09-23 05:56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 -$3 10¢ $-1 +$2 09-23 05:55
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -40 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 09-23 05:56
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes -9 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 09-23 05:57