Sociable-Spill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$489

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

32.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$276

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-11

last 09-21 02:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

69% 50% -$487

Politics

31% 0% -$2

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+11	$2	15¢	$2	-$1	09-21 02:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	3	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	-$6	06-13 08:03
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	4	$970	530	530	+0	open	—	06-12 07:06
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	2	$960	488	488	+0	No	-$1	05-12 04:49
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	2	$940	475	475	+0	No	+$3	05-06 10:44
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	2	$894	480	480	+0	No	+$0	04-30 07:31
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	2	$893	475	475	+0	No	+$0	06-22 09:17
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	2	$892	470	470	+0	open	—	06-22 10:08
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	2	$860	450	450	+0	open	—	07-13 07:59
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	2	$858	456	456	+0	open	—	07-13 07:00
ukraine coup attempt by december 31	4	$854	465	465	+0	open	—	07-06 11:30
will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	2	$853	460	460	+0	No	+$0	07-06 06:48
will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	2	$694	360	360	+0	No	-$1	08-28 02:21
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	2	$689	360	360	+0	No	-$2	08-28 03:21
dota2 ill pr1 2026 06 13 game1 both teams destroy barracks	1	$526	560	0	+560	Yes	-$526	06-13 08:10
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	1	$480	505	0	+505	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	+$25	05-12 04:55
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	1	$473	520	0	+520	Under	+$47	06-12 07:20
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	1	$459	480	0	+480	Wuhan San Zhen FC	+$21	05-06 10:56
Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)	1	$441	460	0	+460	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	+$19	04-30 07:35
chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$354	365	0	+365	Qingdao Xihaian FC	+$11	04-11 07:57
Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)	2	$50	1,000	0	+1,000	SK Brann	-$50	05-16 06:00
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	4	$50	980	980	+0	No	+$1	05-14 05:36
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	4	$39	980	980	+0	open	—	05-16 05:56
Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	2	$29	980	0	+980	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club	-$29	05-14 06:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$13	105	105	+0	open	—	05-20 03:09
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	09-21 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 02:05:40	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x4d1a9d…
08-28 03:21:52	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	360	95¢	$343	0xd0b312…
08-28 02:46:27	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	360	96¢	$346	0x886353…
08-28 02:21:10	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	No	SELL	360	96¢	$347	0x447aa3…
08-28 01:36:12	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	No	BUY	360	96¢	$347	0xe51aaf…
07-13 07:59:07	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	450	96¢	$430	0x31616e…
07-13 07:09:28	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	96¢	$430	0xd33135…
07-13 07:00:13	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	456	94¢	$429	0x30432c…
07-13 05:54:26	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	456	94¢	$429	0x7573ae…
07-06 11:30:49	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	415	93¢	$386	0x71f7c7…
07-06 07:58:11	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0xd8eee9…
07-06 07:32:58	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0x057531…
07-06 07:26:08	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	465	91¢	$423	0xbd789e…
07-06 06:48:34	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	460	93¢	$426	0x05a732…
07-06 05:41:07	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	460	93¢	$426	0x9ada3b…
06-22 10:08:47	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	SELL	470	95¢	$445	0x908547…
06-22 09:31:19	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	BUY	470	95¢	$446	0xc3142c…
06-22 09:17:01	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	SELL	475	94¢	$446	0x9db7b5…
06-22 08:19:44	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	BUY	475	94¢	$446	0xcbd5a9…
06-13 08:10:13	dota2 ill pr1 2026 06 13 game1 both teams destroy barracks	No	BUY	560	94¢	$526	0xfe6ad9…
06-13 08:03:57	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	562	93¢	$523	0x3fcbf0…
06-13 08:03:33	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x2f3099…
06-13 05:59:45	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	570	94¢	$536	0x094a96…
06-12 07:20:28	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	520	91¢	$473	0x4be58d…
06-12 07:06:16	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xb957f8…
06-12 07:06:10	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xf68697…
06-12 07:05:55	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	508	91¢	$462	0xebf2cf…
06-12 04:43:45	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	BUY	530	92¢	$488	0x3aca1c…
05-20 03:09:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	6¢	$6	0xc86a36…
05-20 03:05:28	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	6¢	$7	0xd5a5fe…
05-16 06:00:19	Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	BUY	495	5¢	$25	0x22621f…
05-16 06:00:03	Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	BUY	505	5¢	$25	0x78ae2f…
05-16 05:56:33	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	SELL	495	2¢	$10	0x469646…
05-16 05:56:12	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	SELL	485	2¢	$10	0xb11275…
05-16 02:35:32	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	BUY	495	2¢	$10	0x65f0f6…
05-16 02:34:43	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	2¢	$10	0x19ca40…
05-14 06:04:29	Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	Al Hazem SC	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0xda3030…
05-14 06:04:05	Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	Al Hazem SC	BUY	480	3¢	$14	0x91fbaf…
05-14 05:36:20	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	495	3¢	$13	0x7d2a64…
05-14 05:36:01	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	485	3¢	$13	0x2c2a8a…
05-14 02:42:34	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	495	2¢	$12	0x57e300…
05-14 02:42:18	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	2¢	$12	0x784a81…
05-12 04:55:55	Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	BUY	505	95¢	$480	0x9e57d2…
05-12 04:49:30	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	488	98¢	$479	0xbde30c…
05-12 02:48:15	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	488	98¢	$481	0xead64c…
05-06 10:56:36	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	Wuhan San Zhen FC	BUY	480	96¢	$459	0x7a1979…
05-06 10:44:06	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	475	99¢	$472	0x5d4baa…
05-06 07:29:22	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	475	99¢	$469	0x11dcdb…
04-30 07:35:28	Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	BUY	460	96¢	$441	0x8d2035…
04-30 07:31:46	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	480	93¢	$447	0xf7e38a…
04-30 06:28:42	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	480	93¢	$447	0x7a8453…
04-11 07:57:41	chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Qingdao Xihaian FC	BUY	365	97¢	$354	0xd50a53…