Realized P&L
-$359
Unrealized P&L
-$47
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
523
Trades
6,551
lifetime
Volume
$110.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.50K
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 09-21 22:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Politics
72% 61% +$5
Other
23% 60% -$201
Sports
2% 33% -$1
Crypto
2% 55% -$167
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,293 -$1,066 82¢ $-1054 +$11 05-29 18:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -137 -$116 94¢ $-129 -$13 05-29 18:25
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$56 97¢ $-58 -$2 05-29 18:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -257 -$10 18¢ $-48 -$37 05-29 18:15
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -44 -$42 99¢ $-44 -$3 05-29 18:40
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No -45 -$45 98¢ $-44 +$0 05-29 18:36
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -39 -$23 78¢ $-31 -$7 05-29 18:38
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -24 -$22 96¢ $-23 -$1 05-29 18:40
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -13 -$12 98¢ $-13 -$1 05-29 18:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -25 -$9 50¢ $-13 -$4 05-29 18:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -13 -$11 90¢ $-12 -$1 08-20 21:35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -18 -$8 66¢ $-11 -$4 05-30 15:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -15 -$8 34¢ $-5 +$3 05-30 15:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -96 -$14 3¢ $-3 +$11 05-29 18:47
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +20 $8 12¢ $2 -$6 05-26 05:28
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 -$8 5¢ $-1 +$6 05-30 15:16
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -6 -$3 20¢ $-1 +$2 05-30 15:18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 16¢ $1 $0 07-03 10:12
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -6 -$3 18¢ $-1 +$2 09-21 22:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +7 $3 10¢ $1 -$3 05-17 14:22
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +12 $3 4¢ $1 -$3 05-30 15:18