(anonymous) 0x1aacf0…a4d1e3
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$488
Unrealized P&L
+$208
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
23
Trades
5,774
lifetime
Volume
$93.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$2.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 05-31 15:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
79% 85% +$494
Other
19% 33% $-5
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 344 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -802 $-658 82¢ $-662 $-4 05-29 18:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -493 $-481 98¢ $-486 $-5 05-29 18:18
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes -256 $-205 94¢ $-240 $-34 05-29 18:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -399 $-88 32¢ $-130 $-42 05-29 18:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -137 $-116 88¢ $-120 $-3 05-29 18:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -547 $-93 18¢ $-96 $-3 05-29 18:15
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -94 $-87 94¢ $-88 $-1 05-29 18:35
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -241 $-41 34¢ $-83 $-42 05-29 18:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -98 $-75 68¢ $-66 +$9 05-29 18:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -360 $-133 18¢ $-63 +$70 05-29 18:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -612 $-255 10¢ $-58 +$197 05-29 18:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -232 $-51 20¢ $-45 +$6 05-29 18:35
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -39 $-37 98¢ $-38 $-2 05-29 18:37
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 $-33 76¢ $-38 $-4 05-29 18:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -124 $-37 26¢ $-33 +$4 05-29 18:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -33 $-26 80¢ $-27 $-1 05-29 18:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -39 $-23 60¢ $-24 $-0 05-29 18:38
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -24 $-23 98¢ $-24 $-1 05-29 18:38
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -24 $-22 91¢ $-21 +$0 05-29 18:40
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -40 $-16 52¢ $-21 $-5 05-29 18:45
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No -313 $-60 6¢ $-20 +$39 05-29 18:35
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -19 $-18 96¢ $-18 $-1 05-29 18:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -98 $-23 18¢ $-18 +$4 05-29 18:38
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -18 $-17 96¢ $-17 $-0 05-29 18:41
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-16 95¢ $-16 $-0 05-29 18:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -17 $-15 94¢ $-16 $-1 05-29 18:45
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes -114 $-39 12¢ $-14 +$25 05-29 18:36
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -96 $-14 14¢ $-13 +$1 05-29 18:47
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No -13 $-13 99¢ $-13 $-0 05-29 18:45
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -13 $-12 95¢ $-12 $-0 05-29 18:45