Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$488

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,907

lifetime

Volume

$94.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 08-03 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

79% 85% +$494

Other

19% 33% $-5

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	290	$4.7K	8,236	8,896	-660	open	—	05-29 18:26
will iran strike israel on march 10	61	$3.6K	1,934	1,907	+27	open	—	03-17 02:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	90	$3.1K	3,479	1,410	+2,069	open	—	04-09 00:31
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	81	$2.7K	1,984	1,863	+121	open	—	04-30 15:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	201	$2.4K	4,129	3,302	+827	open	—	04-30 21:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	136	$2.2K	3,078	2,472	+605	open	—	04-21 15:25
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	63	$2.1K	1,347	1,542	-195	open	—	04-28 12:35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	98	$2.0K	1,697	1,664	+32	open	—	04-07 15:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	111	$2.0K	2,206	2,101	+104	open	—	05-29 18:45
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	190	$1.8K	3,531	2,258	+1,274	open	—	04-30 20:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	57	$1.8K	2,561	2,192	+369	open	—	03-24 17:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	118	$1.8K	3,053	1,236	+1,817	open	—	04-07 23:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	105	$1.7K	2,615	1,506	+1,109	open	—	04-07 23:16
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	31	$1.6K	1,033	587	+446	open	—	04-17 20:47
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	40	$1.4K	2,106	1,094	+1,012	open	—	05-12 00:17
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	25	$1.4K	1,103	998	+105	open	—	03-27 09:14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	52	$1.3K	1,391	1,147	+244	open	—	04-07 15:59
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	23	$1.3K	756	750	+6	open	—	04-15 20:49
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$1.3K	808	511	+297	open	—	03-12 22:37
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	28	$1.3K	850	551	+299	open	—	05-20 08:09
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	83	$1.2K	935	732	+203	open	—	04-16 19:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	15	$1.2K	863	500	+363	open	—	04-12 07:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	100	$1.2K	1,277	735	+543	open	—	04-22 11:13
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	12	$1.1K	559	536	+24	open	—	05-18 14:14
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	25	$1.1K	817	528	+289	open	—	04-13 12:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	85	$1.1K	2,388	1,728	+660	open	—	05-29 18:41
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	85	$1000	1,525	710	+815	open	—	04-22 01:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	30	$976	1,236	548	+687	Yes	+$335	05-08 18:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	26	$950	593	575	+18	open	—	05-29 18:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	84	$935	4,376	1,226	+3,150	open	—	04-01 15:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 07:00:53	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x36fff6…
07-31 19:34:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x1b59ed…
07-30 03:10:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x787a8d…
07-28 00:56:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe13b6e…
07-28 00:56:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1e7ce5…
07-24 08:32:24	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x96a1e0…
07-19 23:14:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9935ab…
07-07 16:36:40	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa4e5ed…
07-06 21:47:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xff8b6e…
07-06 20:26:37	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0xfc877d…
07-06 19:25:58	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3a6894…
07-04 20:10:02	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x8db563…
07-03 10:12:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x2b5f96…
07-01 13:17:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	67	23¢	$15	0x94f7d4…
07-01 13:04:58	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x6e70b8…
06-28 20:36:43	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x8618f1…
06-28 20:36:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbd1ea7…
06-28 20:36:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xdf4c1b…
06-28 06:35:55	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x32af0d…
06-28 06:24:13	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x288b9d…
06-28 06:23:34	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd4b4f9…
06-28 05:37:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1dad65…
06-24 22:48:25	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x2901dd…
06-23 08:05:29	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0xcffea3…
06-23 08:05:14	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0xdbef5f…
06-21 07:51:10	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x19852b…
06-20 08:13:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	225	9¢	$20	0xb7575f…
06-19 11:14:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0xba5d90…
06-19 10:31:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xda35a9…
06-18 20:07:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0xffbca3…
06-18 19:24:23	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0xe990df…
06-18 16:10:14	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	44	14¢	$6	0x2b46e3…
06-18 16:10:10	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xdc85e8…
06-18 13:22:59	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x922b48…
06-18 10:22:59	starmer out by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x402ecb…
06-18 10:07:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x16f219…
06-18 09:39:14	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x48a86a…
06-18 09:32:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x84bd2e…
06-18 07:25:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xb48119…
06-18 05:04:50	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xd7b79f…
06-18 05:01:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf10426…
06-18 04:56:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd841fd…
06-18 04:54:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcbb0a4…
06-17 22:17:40	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0xaf5108…
06-17 22:17:40	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3b852b…
06-17 22:17:40	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0x18d1d2…
06-17 22:15:44	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0xf8fc1f…
06-17 22:09:31	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	41	33¢	$13	0xd52e6a…
06-17 22:02:55	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xc80fef…
06-17 21:48:41	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x30f789…
06-17 21:48:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	61	22¢	$13	0xc981f1…
06-17 21:48:07	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x3ecc57…
06-17 21:48:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x2e45f8…
06-17 21:24:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	67	22¢	$15	0xe090f3…
06-17 19:15:55	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xa9f4d6…
06-17 19:15:53	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xc7b536…
06-17 19:15:53	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x5864ee…
06-17 19:15:52	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xd14656…
06-17 19:15:52	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xa5efbe…
06-17 19:15:49	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb44f9b…
06-17 19:15:49	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xace0ba…
06-17 19:15:49	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa13426…
06-17 19:15:49	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x75ef45…
06-17 19:15:47	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x738850…
06-17 19:15:47	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x71c4bb…
06-17 19:15:47	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x347ca1…
06-17 19:15:46	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe0c920…
06-17 19:15:46	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xcb5beb…
06-17 19:15:46	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xa6585d…
06-17 19:15:46	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x63ac08…
06-17 19:08:05	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xf6a13a…
06-17 19:08:05	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc10a99…
06-17 19:06:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0xb34328…
06-17 19:05:55	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xe9810a…
06-17 11:27:40	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x3232f6…
06-17 11:20:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x3db031…
06-17 11:18:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb5535d…
06-17 11:13:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	98	18¢	$18	0xdb85e2…
06-17 09:07:25	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0x9948c5…
06-17 02:34:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x84d3b8…
06-17 02:33:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe3e850…
06-15 15:37:46	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x879d95…
06-15 15:37:31	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x77b502…
06-15 15:37:25	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x4d7414…
06-15 13:48:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xab08d8…
06-15 00:51:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x213520…
06-15 00:31:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x96c222…
06-15 00:31:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x65e12a…
06-15 00:31:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x965bb5…
06-15 00:31:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x871a6c…
06-15 00:30:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9c7711…
06-14 23:57:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x3360b4…
06-14 23:47:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	31	17¢	$5	0x4c4920…
06-14 23:45:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0x0f7208…
06-14 23:43:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xf801e6…
06-14 23:40:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	15	84¢	$12	0xef6450…
06-14 23:18:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	9	81¢	$8	0xe7c257…
06-14 22:58:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xc56e27…
06-14 22:58:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x9a0895…
06-14 22:10:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	31	76¢	$23	0xa90f90…