(anonymous) 0x1aacf0…a4d1e3
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$488
Unrealized P&L
+$237
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
23
Trades
5,892
lifetime
Volume
$94.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.83K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 06-28 20:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
79% 85% +$494
Other
19% 33% $-5
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 344 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -802 $-658 86¢ $-686 $-28 05-29 18:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -493 $-481 100¢ $-493 $-12 05-29 18:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -137 $-116 90¢ $-124 $-8 05-29 18:25
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -94 $-87 94¢ $-88 $-1 05-29 18:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -547 $-93 15¢ $-79 +$14 05-29 18:15
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -39 $-37 100¢ $-39 $-2 05-29 18:37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -232 $-51 16¢ $-38 +$13 05-29 18:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -124 $-37 26¢ $-32 +$6 05-29 18:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -33 $-26 84¢ $-28 $-2 05-29 18:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -39 $-23 66¢ $-26 $-2 05-29 18:38
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -40 $-16 60¢ $-24 $-8 05-29 18:45
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -24 $-23 100¢ $-24 $-1 05-29 18:38
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -24 $-22 93¢ $-22 $-0 05-29 18:40
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -18 $-17 98¢ $-17 $-0 05-29 18:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -17 $-15 100¢ $-17 $-2 05-29 18:45
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-16 95¢ $-16 $-0 05-29 18:45
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No -13 $-13 100¢ $-13 $-0 05-29 18:45
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -13 $-12 95¢ $-12 $-0 05-29 18:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -98 $-23 12¢ $-12 +$10 05-29 18:38
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -96 $-14 11¢ $-10 +$4 05-29 18:47
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 $-8 26¢ $-7 +$1 05-30 15:16
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +6 $3 98¢ $6 +$3 06-28 20:36
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -11 $-6 42¢ $-5 +$2 05-30 15:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -648 $-247 1¢ $-5 +$243 06-20 08:13
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes -11 $-3 24¢ $-3 +$0 05-30 15:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2 $-0 99¢ $2 +$2 06-28 05:37
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$1 06-18 07:25
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes -57 $-8 1¢ $-1 +$7 05-29 18:49
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +75 $6 0¢ $0 $-5 06-18 05:04
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -105 $-4 0¢ $-0 +$4 05-29 11:32