(anonymous) 0x1aacf0…a4d1e3
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Realized P&L
+$488
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
23
Trades
5,901
lifetime
Volume
$94.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.18K
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 07-19 23:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
79% 85% +$494
Other
19% 33% $-5
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -802 $-658 72¢ $-582 +$76 05-29 18:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -547 $-93 28¢ $-150 $-57 05-29 18:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -137 $-116 90¢ $-123 $-6 05-29 18:25
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -94 $-87 95¢ $-89 $-2 05-29 18:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -33 $-26 88¢ $-29 $-3 05-29 18:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -232 $-51 12¢ $-29 +$22 05-29 18:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -124 $-37 22¢ $-27 +$11 05-29 18:36
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -39 $-23 66¢ $-26 $-3 05-29 18:38
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -24 $-22 94¢ $-22 $-1 05-29 18:40
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -40 $-16 54¢ $-21 $-5 05-29 18:45
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -18 $-17 98¢ $-18 $-0 05-29 18:41
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-16 97¢ $-17 $-1 05-29 18:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -98 $-23 14¢ $-13 +$9 05-29 18:38
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -13 $-12 97¢ $-13 $-1 05-29 18:45
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -96 $-14 8¢ $-8 +$7 05-29 18:47
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 $-8 18¢ $-5 +$3 05-30 15:16
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -11 $-6 37¢ $-4 +$2 05-30 15:18
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes -11 $-3 18¢ $-2 +$1 05-30 15:18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 18¢ $1 $-0 07-03 10:12