Easy-Township — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$90

Hit rate

24.0%

Resolved

1,074

Trades

13,008

lifetime

Volume

$1.25M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$855

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-29 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Politics

56% 59% -$96

Other

36% 77% -$667

Crypto

7% 94% -$1,385

Tech

0% 55% -$8

Sports

0% 25% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes		+900	$764	95¢	$855	+$90	10-11 14:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1,401	$389.0K	195,658	195,658	+0	No	-$5	05-17 13:04
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2,184	$254.3K	131,055	131,055	+0	No	$0	05-19 00:40
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	409	$98.4K	49,917	49,917	-0	No	$0	05-15 13:33
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	603	$82.1K	41,366	41,366	+0	No	$0	05-14 14:46
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	432	$51.3K	29,980	29,980	+0	No	+$0	05-23 11:46
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?	139	$32.0K	16,225	16,225	+0	No	$0	05-17 14:45
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	167	$30.8K	16,420	16,420	+0	No	$0	05-17 13:50
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	25	$10.4K	5,440	5,440	+0	open	—	05-11 14:25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	25	$6.9K	4,639	2,319	+2,320	No	+$44	09-07 14:09
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?	13	$6.1K	3,994	3,120	+874	No	-$18	09-10 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 14?	32	$5.1K	4,339	1,284	+3,055	Yes	-$1,014	09-14 09:26
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	32	$5.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$4	09-12 07:21
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	9	$4.6K	2,413	2,413	+0	No	+$174	09-06 12:41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	42	$4.6K	2,325	2,325	+0	No	+$56	09-06 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17?	20	$4.3K	2,360	2,129	+230	No	+$43	09-17 09:42
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$3.0K	1,724	1,724	+0	open	—	10-29 17:02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	27	$2.9K	2,897	0	+2,897	No	+$25	09-08 08:35
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	4	$2.8K	2,834	0	+2,834	Yes	+$30	09-07 03:32
LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?	4	$2.7K	2,776	0	+2,776	Yes	+$63	09-09 12:19
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	14	$2.5K	1,274	1,274	+0	No	+$31	08-31 10:44
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	4	$2.4K	1,675	1,675	+0	open	—	10-29 17:18
will ethereum dip to 2450 on september 7 2026	1	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	No	+$17	09-08 03:26
laptop airdrop by september 30	8	$2.4K	1,198	1,198	+0	Yes	+$18	09-09 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 14?	20	$2.3K	1,398	985	+413	No	+$66	09-14 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	5	$2.2K	1,086	1,086	+0	No	+$7	09-03 03:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 10?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$6	09-11 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10PM ET	1	$2.0K	1,975	0	+1,975	Down	+$4	09-08 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 15?	9	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	Yes	+$31	09-15 09:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13?	1	$1.9K	1,950	0	+1,950	No	+$4	09-13 15:40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 14?	9	$1.9K	949	949	+0	No	+$3	09-14 04:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:18:13	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,675	90¢	$1,507	0x73c896…
10-29 17:02:19	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	745	96¢	$716	0x8d75c7…
10-29 14:33:17	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	979	96¢	$941	0x6cf792…
10-29 14:32:25	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x9ac3b4…
10-29 14:32:04	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	99	84¢	$83	0xee025c…
10-29 01:57:10	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	486	87¢	$422	0x6e333f…
10-28 18:01:59	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xa0ce2d…
10-28 18:01:02	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x51c04f…
10-28 17:29:23	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xaf033c…
10-28 17:27:17	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xdeb7e2…
10-28 17:26:34	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	173	70¢	$121	0x256e72…
10-28 17:25:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x122433…
10-28 03:46:49	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	172	87¢	$150	0x84e8f9…
10-28 03:46:31	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	55	72¢	$40	0x212870…
10-28 03:46:19	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	286	59¢	$168	0x3f36f7…
10-28 03:45:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xe315f4…
10-26 07:59:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x119302…
10-24 14:15:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	24	70¢	$17	0x63e3b2…
10-24 14:15:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	51	70¢	$35	0x0e6382…
10-24 13:57:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	75	78¢	$58	0x646491…
10-24 13:50:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x39083c…
10-24 13:49:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0xf28817…
10-24 13:35:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x63570c…
10-24 13:35:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa21a82…
10-24 13:35:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x255493…
10-22 16:16:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x603d7e…
10-22 13:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	199	97¢	$193	0x7de196…
10-22 13:31:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xff924b…
10-22 13:31:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xb2c9e1…
10-22 07:09:42	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x46dcf6…
10-21 14:24:08	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x215e7c…
10-21 00:27:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x7304f4…
10-20 13:53:44	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x79e436…
10-20 13:53:44	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x07f713…
10-20 13:53:30	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	39	91¢	$36	0xc329aa…
10-20 11:51:41	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x794e0b…
10-19 14:45:44	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x0af536…
10-19 14:36:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x8b0568…
10-19 12:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xcec369…
10-19 12:32:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$41	0x825541…
10-19 12:31:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x38fac5…
10-18 16:59:23	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x6b643d…
10-18 16:59:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x840771…
10-18 16:24:38	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xddbe2b…
10-18 03:39:36	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	499	73¢	$364	0x9bf65d…
10-17 16:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x877372…
10-17 15:57:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x4143e6…
10-17 15:53:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x9ca57b…
10-17 15:51:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x07a3b1…
10-17 15:51:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0xc268d9…
10-17 14:32:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xa7b3e6…
10-17 12:34:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb95a2e…
10-17 11:49:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xbba157…
10-17 07:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc2cf01…
10-17 05:13:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb6a002…
10-17 05:12:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0xd51b4b…
10-17 05:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6d448d…
10-17 05:11:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xfafcc5…
10-15 07:39:47	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x6f423d…
10-15 07:39:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xf6b343…
10-15 07:39:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	213	98¢	$208	0xcc86bb…
10-14 14:52:36	bnb up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x24dd92…
10-14 07:09:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	26	6¢	$1	0x9c5c4a…
10-14 04:22:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	67¢	$34	0x1609c3…
10-14 04:13:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	75	87¢	$65	0xb70238…
10-13 15:43:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0x58770d…
10-13 15:42:58	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x5f4cad…
10-13 15:42:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x553729…
10-13 15:42:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xce61d6…
10-13 15:41:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xe429b2…
10-13 15:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x76ebc8…
10-13 15:34:44	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x7cefde…
10-13 15:34:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x40af85…
10-13 15:29:40	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	375	79¢	$298	0x738988…
10-13 13:29:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	98	93¢	$91	0x36316a…
10-13 01:35:12	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	307	64¢	$196	0x83cde8…
10-12 12:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x76a58d…
10-12 12:16:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xd6fe54…
10-12 12:15:59	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0cc449…
10-12 12:15:50	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe78aae…
10-12 12:15:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x6dd059…
10-12 12:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$87	0x49b708…
10-12 12:10:45	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,947	2¢	$39	0x0d7218…
10-11 14:05:06	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	900	85¢	$764	0xa2f36a…
10-11 14:04:25	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	850	80¢	$680	0xc8130c…
10-11 12:29:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	213	98¢	$208	0xc6c356…
10-11 10:48:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xeb450e…
10-06 09:55:18	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xf88a6b…
10-06 03:56:12	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	407	59¢	$240	0xf98472…
10-06 03:42:19	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,130	5¢	$61	0x405ecc…
10-06 02:21:58	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	820	5¢	$44	0x4e8cbe…
10-06 02:20:13	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	737	38¢	$280	0xe87f9c…
10-06 02:14:05	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,096	46¢	$507	0x58af8f…
10-06 01:34:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x73ab65…
10-06 01:33:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xe5993b…
10-05 13:35:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	750	100¢	$746	0xe16e24…
10-05 05:28:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	156	98¢	$153	0xbd38de…
09-30 15:35:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xaeb8fc…
09-30 15:20:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	284	98¢	$277	0x3fb011…
09-30 14:56:36	bitcoin above 82k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x3e588c…