Several-Subway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$813

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

Trades

613

lifetime

Volume

$49.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$1.90K

20 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 10:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

55% 56% +$539

Politics

44% 63% +$267

Sports

1% 50% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	-1,061	-$889	92¢	$-982	-$93	10-26 10:01
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+1,134	$232	26¢	$295	+$63	10-25 12:38
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+495	$133	44¢	$216	+$83	10-26 10:00
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No	-208	-$167	89¢	$-185	-$18	05-14 14:34
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+222	$71	24¢	$52	-$19	08-02 22:40
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-454	-$25	9¢	$-42	-$17	06-23 21:36
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+199	$35	18¢	$37	+$2	10-26 10:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-197	-$11	12¢	$-23	-$11	09-15 14:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+457	$21	4¢	$18	-$3	09-15 14:21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-81	-$19	19¢	$-16	+$3	08-14 16:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+1,287	$13	1¢	$10	-$2	09-15 14:20
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-104	-$14	10¢	$-10	+$4	08-14 16:53
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-413	$1	1¢	$-4	-$5	07-07 18:42
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+154	$2	2¢	$3	+$1	06-25 21:46
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-244	-$8	1¢	$-3	+$5	07-10 13:55
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+94	$2	2¢	$2	+$0	08-14 16:53
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+65	$2	3¢	$2	+$0	05-26 11:21
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-248	-$6	1¢	$-2	+$4	07-10 13:55
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-44	-$5	3¢	$-1	+$4	08-14 16:53
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-41	-$1	3¢	$-1	$0	08-14 16:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	36	$4.8K	2,216	3,277	-1,061	open	—	10-26 10:01
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	15	$3.0K	1,375	1,770	-395	Yes	-$35	09-06 15:40
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	26	$2.8K	1,681	1,512	+170	open	—	10-24 08:09
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	14	$2.6K	1,371	1,371	+0	open	—	10-02 11:33
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	15	$2.0K	1,062	1,062	+0	Yes	+$10	08-09 20:39
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 153 and 157 seats after the 2026 election?	6	$1.9K	2,040	0	+2,040	Yes	+$100	10-02 11:40
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	7	$1.9K	1,095	1,095	+0	open	—	10-16 14:52
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	11	$1.4K	740	740	-0	No	+$9	06-19 00:18
Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	9	$1.4K	703	703	+0	open	—	10-16 14:54
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	10	$1.2K	651	651	+0	No	+$41	05-14 20:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	7	$1.2K	737	737	-0	open	—	09-08 19:16
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	8	$1.2K	636	636	+0	Yes	+$44	09-27 17:17
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.1K	604	604	+0	No	+$74	05-28 09:19
Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	7	$1.0K	691	426	+265	No	-$230	09-06 18:09
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?	6	$904	476	476	+0	Yes	+$38	07-30 17:07
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	7	$878	1,373	55	+1,318	open	—	10-25 12:37
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	6	$811	431	431	+0	No	+$17	04-26 09:50
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	5	$774	402	402	+0	No	+$6	03-24 21:54
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	4	$758	759	281	+478	Yes	+$276	09-21 08:51
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	11	$744	881	614	+268	No	+$308	03-09 00:18
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	10	$721	1,156	661	+495	open	—	10-26 10:00
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	5	$703	386	386	+0	No	+$30	02-17 12:43
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	5	$653	306	514	-208	open	—	05-14 14:34
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	8	$605	1,502	367	+1,134	open	—	10-25 12:38
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	8	$603	403	403	+0	open	—	10-25 10:57
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	5	$595	318	318	+0	No	+$25	06-29 22:54
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	6	$577	662	0	+662	open	—	10-23 17:35
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	13	$568	265	612	-347	Yes	+$50	06-19 12:08
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$512	146	405	-259	No	-$7	01-24 18:37
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	3	$503	320	320	+0	open	—	10-09 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 10:01:15	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xb3e01b…
10-26 10:00:32	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3d4de4…
10-26 10:00:12	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	133	44¢	$58	0xc1be52…
10-26 09:58:38	Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x72cd54…
10-25 21:42:57	Will Charles Leclerc finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd839e4…
10-25 21:42:30	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0xaf36c3…
10-25 21:09:24	Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0xc868d5…
10-25 21:08:54	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	87	44¢	$38	0x7169e2…
10-25 20:31:08	Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x313fc9…
10-25 20:30:39	Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x6e032f…
10-25 20:28:45	Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x6bf735…
10-25 20:28:02	Will Lewis Hamilton finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	Yes	BUY	42	14¢	$6	0xf37727…
10-25 20:27:38	Will George Russell finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	Yes	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xa1cc02…
10-25 20:26:56	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	65	92¢	$60	0x75feed…
10-25 12:38:02	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	85	20¢	$17	0x616272…
10-25 12:37:39	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	32¢	$18	0x4c560a…
10-25 11:00:14	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	117	93¢	$109	0x6c25f9…
10-25 10:58:41	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xf48e13…
10-25 10:58:35	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0xea0d0d…
10-25 10:57:18	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	212	75¢	$159	0x72602e…
10-24 16:33:32	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x90b05f…
10-24 16:33:24	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	75	24¢	$18	0xad5ea4…
10-24 16:32:57	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	SELL	99	37¢	$36	0x51b31f…
10-24 08:10:50	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	39¢	$26	0x8042cc…
10-24 08:10:33	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	121	22¢	$27	0x1eb9f1…
10-24 08:09:53	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$52	0xdcf86d…
10-23 17:35:57	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	203	96¢	$194	0x1af7ff…
10-23 17:35:42	Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	SELL	122	93¢	$114	0x3946cc…
10-23 17:35:36	Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	No	SELL	84	95¢	$80	0xf71ad5…
10-23 08:04:48	Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x54ae66…
10-23 08:04:32	Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xe87765…
10-23 08:03:59	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xeb1ec0…
10-21 11:19:05	Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x290723…
10-21 11:18:57	Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xdec06c…
10-21 07:48:18	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0x117b29…
10-18 12:47:35	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0x917dcf…
10-18 12:47:18	Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xfe6ab4…
10-17 10:46:44	Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x32dcba…
10-16 17:52:35	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	111	19¢	$21	0x586387…
10-16 15:03:46	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	49¢	$45	0xfabc84…
10-16 15:03:00	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	308	84¢	$260	0xabcec1…
10-16 14:58:55	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	230	61¢	$139	0x7ba636…
10-16 14:54:01	Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	SELL	152	97¢	$147	0xde49aa…
10-16 14:52:37	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	356	89¢	$317	0x55a1d5…
10-16 11:08:33	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	Yes	SELL	214	5¢	$11	0x9994b7…
10-16 11:08:16	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	356	90¢	$320	0x2dae49…
10-16 10:57:28	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	75	19¢	$14	0xecbb3b…
10-16 10:57:19	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	57	46¢	$26	0x2901ff…
10-16 10:57:06	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	316	90¢	$283	0x9c675a…
10-15 07:54:11	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	57	23¢	$13	0x135862…
10-15 07:53:52	will the afd be part of a german state government in 2026	Yes	BUY	122	50¢	$61	0x236d20…
10-15 07:53:04	Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	SELL	78	97¢	$76	0x81a8c0…
10-14 18:45:00	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	188	93¢	$174	0x619357…
10-14 18:44:04	Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	SELL	181	97¢	$175	0x91a30d…
10-13 18:08:24	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0x48cab4…
10-13 18:05:58	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x58bd97…
10-12 21:16:06	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	61¢	$68	0x3813f7…
10-12 21:15:41	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	119	21¢	$25	0xca8240…
10-12 21:15:11	Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x53b6ed…
10-12 19:41:23	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	62¢	$55	0x27821d…
10-12 19:41:02	Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x3708f7…
10-12 14:12:03	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	893	68¢	$606	0x15751e…
10-12 14:11:29	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	990	20¢	$200	0x4ced41…
10-12 14:10:14	Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x5246c9…
10-12 14:07:29	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x4e823a…
10-12 14:07:02	Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	BUY	411	97¢	$400	0xb0d0f1…
10-12 14:06:36	Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	No	BUY	166	96¢	$160	0x8f76ef…
10-12 14:04:47	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x02b1a4…
10-12 14:04:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	115	67¢	$76	0xe1276b…
10-12 14:04:00	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0x788a28…
10-11 20:12:18	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	115	56¢	$64	0x1816cb…
10-11 12:50:00	Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x51fe08…
10-11 12:48:28	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	SELL	139	10¢	$14	0xf3b4b4…
10-11 12:43:48	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	57	15¢	$9	0xabd2ab…
10-11 12:43:19	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0xc31cb9…
10-11 12:17:37	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x16ae19…
10-11 12:16:19	Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x28294b…
10-11 12:15:10	Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x5be655…
10-11 12:13:48	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	90¢	$37	0xcdcb5b…
10-11 12:11:46	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xfb47af…
10-11 12:10:21	Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska?	Kansas	SELL	35	62¢	$21	0x9aa004…
10-09 23:09:58	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcf9d92…
10-09 23:09:26	Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	BUY	64	84¢	$54	0xa70708…
10-09 23:09:01	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x2acbff…
10-09 23:08:28	Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?	Kansas	SELL	77	89¢	$69	0x8e94ed…
10-09 23:06:47	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	472	41¢	$193	0xaab4ee…
10-09 23:05:19	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	275	78¢	$216	0x5db30c…
10-07 13:23:35	Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?	Kansas	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0x412c01…
10-06 17:05:00	Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0x22f8d6…
10-06 17:04:30	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	45	81¢	$36	0xa070a8…
10-06 17:03:56	Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0x5b6225…
10-05 18:46:04	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	320	78¢	$251	0x549ea1…
10-05 18:45:29	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	89¢	$98	0xe3eaf4…
10-05 18:45:14	Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	SELL	88	95¢	$83	0x23bb17…
10-05 18:44:44	Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0x6b31ba…
10-05 17:19:40	Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?	Kansas	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x561936…
10-05 17:19:20	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	Yes	SELL	296	7¢	$21	0x7b14ab…
10-05 17:17:50	Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?	Kansas	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x646beb…
10-05 17:16:11	Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska?	Kansas	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x7af12a…
10-05 17:07:52	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	38	57¢	$22	0x4f39cb…