Several-Subway 0x1fb20e…1ca893 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$99
Hit rate
43.3%
Resolved (90d)
39
Trades (90d)
271
669 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$25.6K
$53.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$2.96K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 21:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Other
54% 56% +$542
Politics
44% 56% +$12
Sports
2% 70% +$48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? Yes +1,331 $850 48¢ $646 -$204 11-13 00:09
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? No +504 $438 98¢ $492 +$54 11-08 13:19
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? Yes +475 $455 96¢ $454 $0 11-13 21:03
Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? Yes +394 $161 96¢ $377 +$216 11-08 13:18
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +1,010 $198 21¢ $212 +$14 11-04 21:07
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -208 -$167 93¢ $-193 -$26 05-14 14:34
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +228 -$17 47¢ $108 +$125 11-13 21:03
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +115 $98 85¢ $98 $0 11-13 21:03
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027? Yes +152 $120 62¢ $93 -$27 11-08 10:43
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -454 -$25 17¢ $-79 -$53 06-23 21:36
Will an F1 race be held in Qatar in 2026? Yes +56 $20 87¢ $49 +$29 09-29 19:40
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -450 -$26 6¢ $-29 -$2 11-05 12:06
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? No +132 $62 14¢ $18 -$44 10-26 09:58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -195 -$22 9¢ $-18 +$4 11-09 09:42
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +457 $21 3¢ $14 -$6 09-15 14:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -197 -$11 7¢ $-14 -$3 09-15 14:18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -110 -$24 13¢ $-14 +$10 11-02 19:19
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +282 $45 4¢ $13 -$32 11-01 21:11
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +547 $9 2¢ $9 -$1 11-02 19:20
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -413 $1 2¢ $-8 -$9 07-07 18:42
Will Lewis Hamilton finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? Yes +58 $13 11¢ $6 -$7 11-08 17:05
Will George Russell finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? Yes +57 $25 8¢ $4 -$21 10-25 20:27
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +94 $2 3¢ $3 +$1 08-14 16:53
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +154 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 06-25 21:46
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -248 -$6 1¢ $-2 +$4 07-10 13:55
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -244 -$8 1¢ $-2 +$6 07-10 13:55
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes — -123 -$76 1¢ $-1 +$74 06-14 12:03
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +500 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 11-10 16:09
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +65 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 05-26 11:21
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -41 -$1 3¢ $-1 $0 08-14 16:53