Realized P&L (90d)
+$37
Unrealized P&L
+$198
Hit rate
44.1%
Resolved (90d)
41
Trades (90d)
284
664 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$26.1K
$52.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$2.88K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 09:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Other
54% 56% +$542
Politics
44% 56% +$12
Sports
2% 70% +$48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? Yes +1,318 $843 50¢ $659 -$184 10-25 12:37
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? No +504 $438 98¢ $492 +$54 11-08 13:19
Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? Yes +394 $161 96¢ $377 +$216 11-08 13:18
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +1,010 $198 31¢ $313 +$115 11-04 21:07
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +615 $167 45¢ $278 +$112 11-04 15:21
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -208 -$167 93¢ $-193 -$26 05-14 14:34
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +172 $146 86¢ $147 +$1 11-08 21:53
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027? Yes +152 $120 88¢ $134 +$14 11-08 10:43
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -454 -$25 17¢ $-79 -$53 06-23 21:36
Will an F1 race be held in Qatar in 2026? Yes +56 $20 73¢ $40 +$20 09-29 19:40
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -450 -$26 6¢ $-27 -$1 11-05 12:06
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +282 $45 8¢ $24 -$21 11-01 21:11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -110 -$24 17¢ $-19 +$5 11-02 19:19
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? No +132 $62 14¢ $18 -$44 10-26 09:58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -195 -$22 9¢ $-18 +$4 11-09 09:42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -197 -$11 8¢ $-16 -$5 09-15 14:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +457 $21 3¢ $14 -$7 09-15 14:21
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -413 $1 2¢ $-8 -$10 07-07 18:42
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +547 $9 1¢ $8 -$1 11-02 19:20
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -248 -$6 2¢ $-5 +$1 07-10 13:55
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -244 -$8 1¢ $-3 +$5 07-10 13:55
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +154 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 06-25 21:46
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +94 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 08-14 16:53
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +65 $2 2¢ $2 $0 05-26 11:21
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -41 -$1 3¢ $-1 $0 08-14 16:53
Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska? Kansas +0 -$2 98¢ $0 +$2 10-11 12:10