Several-Subway — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$159

Unrealized P&L

-$243

Hit rate

8.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

645 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.69K

$51.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$1.52K

20 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 21:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

54% 56% +$542

Politics

45% 58% +$81

Sports

1% 71% +$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	+1,318	$843	44¢	$586	-$257	10-25 12:37
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+1,010	$198	29¢	$288	+$89	11-04 21:07
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+615	$167	41¢	$255	+$88	11-04 15:21
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No	-208	-$167	92¢	$-191	-$24	05-14 14:34
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-454	-$25	18¢	$-81	-$56	06-23 21:36
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+282	$45	12¢	$32	-$13	11-01 21:11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-110	-$24	17¢	$-19	+$5	11-02 19:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-197	-$11	8¢	$-16	-$4	09-15 14:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+457	$21	3¢	$13	-$8	09-15 14:21
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-413	$1	2¢	$-9	-$11	07-07 18:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-98	-$13	9¢	$-9	+$5	11-02 19:19
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+547	$9	2¢	$8	-$1	11-02 19:20
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-248	-$6	2¢	$-5	+$1	07-10 13:55
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+94	$2	2¢	$2	+$0	08-14 16:53
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+222	$71	1¢	$2	-$69	08-02 22:40
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-44	-$5	5¢	$-2	+$3	08-14 16:53
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+154	$2	1¢	$2	$0	06-25 21:46
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+65	$2	3¢	$2	$0	05-26 11:21
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-244	-$8	0¢	$-1	+$7	07-10 13:55
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-41	-$1	3¢	$-1	$0	08-14 16:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	43	$5.5K	2,568	3,714	-1,146	No	-$160	11-04 15:20
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	27	$3.0K	1,681	1,681	+0	open	—	10-31 20:16
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	15	$3.0K	1,375	1,770	-395	Yes	-$35	09-06 15:40
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	14	$2.6K	1,371	1,371	+0	open	—	10-02 11:33
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	15	$2.0K	1,062	1,062	+0	Yes	+$10	08-09 20:39
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 153 and 157 seats after the 2026 election?	6	$1.9K	2,040	0	+2,040	Yes	+$100	10-02 11:40
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	7	$1.9K	1,095	1,095	+0	open	—	10-16 14:52
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	11	$1.4K	740	740	-0	No	+$9	06-19 00:18
Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	9	$1.4K	703	703	+0	open	—	10-16 14:54
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	10	$1.2K	651	651	+0	No	+$41	05-14 20:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	7	$1.2K	737	737	-0	open	—	09-08 19:16
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	8	$1.2K	636	636	+0	Yes	+$44	09-27 17:17
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	12	$1.2K	1,771	1,156	+615	open	—	11-04 15:21
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.1K	604	604	+0	No	+$74	05-28 09:19
Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	7	$1.0K	691	426	+265	No	-$230	09-06 18:09
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?	6	$904	476	476	+0	Yes	+$38	07-30 17:07
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	7	$878	1,373	55	+1,318	open	—	10-25 12:37
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	6	$811	431	431	+0	No	+$17	04-26 09:50
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	5	$774	402	402	+0	No	+$6	03-24 21:54
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	4	$758	759	281	+478	Yes	+$276	09-21 08:51
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	8	$744	662	184	+478	open	—	11-01 22:37
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	11	$744	881	614	+268	No	+$308	03-09 00:18
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	5	$703	386	386	+0	No	+$30	02-17 12:43
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	5	$653	306	514	-208	open	—	05-14 14:34
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	9	$639	1,502	492	+1,010	open	—	11-04 21:07
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	8	$603	403	403	+0	open	—	10-25 10:57
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	5	$595	318	318	+0	No	+$25	06-29 22:54
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	13	$568	265	612	-347	Yes	+$50	06-19 12:08
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$512	146	405	-259	No	-$7	01-24 18:37
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	3	$503	320	320	+0	open	—	10-09 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 21:07:04	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	125	27¢	$34	0xb91f26…
11-04 15:22:16	Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	75	85¢	$64	0xfcb486…
11-04 15:21:57	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	615	40¢	$246	0x6d7a40…
11-04 15:20:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	316	100¢	$315	0x4cf2ed…
11-02 19:20:39	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	547	2¢	$9	0xd20a4c…
11-02 19:19:45	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0x8ed5ca…
11-02 19:19:01	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	59	9¢	$5	0xecebe0…
11-02 17:12:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x94aeb2…
11-02 17:11:42	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	74¢	$53	0xf2529a…
11-02 09:37:03	Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x51b6f2…
11-01 22:37:18	Will Lando Norris finish fifth in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	124	90¢	$111	0xc9f512…
11-01 22:37:01	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	98	92¢	$90	0x37807a…
11-01 22:06:15	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0x39e942…
11-01 22:01:51	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xf47018…
11-01 21:11:43	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x5328c1…
11-01 21:10:55	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	SELL	239	13¢	$31	0xd4ca68…
10-31 20:20:01	Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	Yes	BUY	239	96¢	$229	0x2c3169…
10-31 20:16:25	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	86	90¢	$77	0xf3ffbd…
10-31 20:16:12	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	170	90¢	$152	0x26c185…
10-31 17:28:33	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x97139a…
10-31 17:28:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	29¢	$17	0x4ffb26…
10-31 17:27:42	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x75ca4b…
10-31 17:27:15	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x52378a…
10-31 12:26:03	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0xcc4925…
10-29 13:49:02	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	65	9¢	$6	0xc8a77a…
10-29 13:48:14	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x33a04f…
10-28 20:36:37	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	226	94¢	$212	0x30e00d…
10-28 20:35:50	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	495	43¢	$212	0x8db66a…
10-28 13:29:11	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	76	55¢	$42	0xa1cae1…
10-28 13:28:49	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	45	92¢	$42	0x069a05…
10-28 13:08:01	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	72	93¢	$67	0xc75beb…
10-28 13:07:26	Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	SELL	72	93¢	$67	0x64ef23…
10-26 10:01:15	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xb3e01b…
10-26 10:00:32	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3d4de4…
10-26 10:00:12	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	133	44¢	$58	0xc1be52…
10-26 09:58:38	Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x72cd54…
10-25 21:42:57	Will Charles Leclerc finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd839e4…
10-25 21:42:30	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0xaf36c3…
10-25 21:09:24	Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0xc868d5…
10-25 21:08:54	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	87	44¢	$38	0x7169e2…
10-25 20:31:08	Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x313fc9…
10-25 20:30:39	Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x6e032f…
10-25 20:28:45	Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x6bf735…
10-25 20:28:02	Will Lewis Hamilton finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	Yes	BUY	42	14¢	$6	0xf37727…
10-25 20:27:38	Will George Russell finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	Yes	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xa1cc02…
10-25 20:26:56	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	65	92¢	$60	0x75feed…
10-25 12:38:02	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	85	20¢	$17	0x616272…
10-25 12:37:39	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	32¢	$18	0x4c560a…
10-25 11:00:14	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	117	93¢	$109	0x6c25f9…
10-25 10:58:41	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xf48e13…
10-25 10:58:35	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0xea0d0d…
10-25 10:57:18	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	212	75¢	$159	0x72602e…
10-24 16:33:32	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x90b05f…
10-24 16:33:24	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	75	24¢	$18	0xad5ea4…
10-24 16:32:57	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	SELL	99	37¢	$36	0x51b31f…
10-24 08:10:50	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	39¢	$26	0x8042cc…
10-24 08:10:33	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	121	22¢	$27	0x1eb9f1…
10-24 08:09:53	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$52	0xdcf86d…
10-23 17:35:57	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	203	96¢	$194	0x1af7ff…
10-23 17:35:42	Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	SELL	122	93¢	$114	0x3946cc…
10-23 17:35:36	Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	No	SELL	84	95¢	$80	0xf71ad5…
10-23 08:04:48	Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x54ae66…
10-23 08:04:32	Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xe87765…
10-23 08:03:59	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xeb1ec0…
10-21 11:19:05	Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x290723…
10-21 11:18:57	Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xdec06c…
10-21 07:48:18	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0x117b29…
10-18 12:47:35	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0x917dcf…
10-18 12:47:18	Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xfe6ab4…
10-17 10:46:44	Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x32dcba…
10-16 17:52:35	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	111	19¢	$21	0x586387…
10-16 15:03:46	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	49¢	$45	0xfabc84…
10-16 15:03:00	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	308	84¢	$260	0xabcec1…
10-16 14:58:55	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	230	61¢	$139	0x7ba636…
10-16 14:54:01	Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	SELL	152	97¢	$147	0xde49aa…
10-16 14:52:37	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	356	89¢	$317	0x55a1d5…
10-16 11:08:33	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	Yes	SELL	214	5¢	$11	0x9994b7…
10-16 11:08:16	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	356	90¢	$320	0x2dae49…
10-16 10:57:28	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	75	19¢	$14	0xecbb3b…
10-16 10:57:19	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	57	46¢	$26	0x2901ff…
10-16 10:57:06	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	316	90¢	$283	0x9c675a…
10-15 07:54:11	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	57	23¢	$13	0x135862…
10-15 07:53:52	will the afd be part of a german state government in 2026	Yes	BUY	122	50¢	$61	0x236d20…
10-15 07:53:04	Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	SELL	78	97¢	$76	0x81a8c0…
10-14 18:45:00	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	188	93¢	$174	0x619357…
10-14 18:44:04	Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	SELL	181	97¢	$175	0x91a30d…
10-13 18:08:24	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0x48cab4…
10-13 18:05:58	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x58bd97…
10-12 21:16:06	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	61¢	$68	0x3813f7…
10-12 21:15:41	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	119	21¢	$25	0xca8240…
10-12 21:15:11	Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x53b6ed…
10-12 19:41:23	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	62¢	$55	0x27821d…
10-12 19:41:02	Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x3708f7…
10-12 14:12:03	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	893	68¢	$606	0x15751e…
10-12 14:11:29	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	990	20¢	$200	0x4ced41…
10-12 14:10:14	Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x5246c9…
10-12 14:07:29	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x4e823a…
10-12 14:07:02	Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	BUY	411	97¢	$400	0xb0d0f1…
10-12 14:06:36	Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	No	BUY	166	96¢	$160	0x8f76ef…
10-12 14:04:47	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x02b1a4…