Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4,359
lifetime
Volume
$27.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$46
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 06-15 12:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58%
Politics
42%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 373 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -18 $-15 94¢ $-17 $-1 06-15 10:14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +14 $17 94¢ $13 $-4 06-15 15:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 $-1 06-14 16:37
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -5 $-5 91¢ $-5 +$0 06-14 05:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +3 $7 94¢ $3 $-4 06-15 16:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +2 $5 99¢ $2 $-3 06-08 12:35
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 +$0 06-13 16:34
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-0 06-15 14:35
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +0 $1 98¢ $0 $-0 06-07 10:48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-13 06:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-14 14:29
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-13 00:23
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-03 15:17
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-14 15:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-15 15:39
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-10 20:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-15 13:01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-04 15:49