Victorious-Imagination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$1.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-11 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

67% 50% +$14

Other

17% 0% $-1

Crypto

14% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes		+9	$4	34¢	$3	$-1	06-11 11:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	03-16 12:32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$115	71	71	+0	open	—	04-05 04:20
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	2	$87	547	547	+0	open	—	03-16 12:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$81	45	45	+0	open	—	03-25 18:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$63	75	75	+0	open	—	05-30 09:41
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$52	83	83	+0	open	—	04-15 15:37
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	4	$47	33	33	+0	open	—	04-16 15:56
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$47	33	33	+0	open	—	04-16 14:56
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	3	$45	284	284	+0	No	+$15	03-28 20:08
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	3	$41	78	78	+0	open	—	03-28 17:22
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$41	32	32	+0	open	—	04-09 19:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 16:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$37	25	25	+0	open	—	04-23 07:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	03-23 10:13
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	03-21 22:37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$33	204	204	+0	open	—	04-18 16:40
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	3	$33	36	36	+0	open	—	04-04 18:25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$32	110	10	+100	open	—	04-19 09:34
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$32	133	133	+0	open	—	04-06 18:14
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	4	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	04-07 06:28
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$29	5,010	5,010	+0	open	—	04-27 18:51
btc updown 5m 1773817500	2	$27	18	17	+0	open	—	03-18 07:11
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	03-28 16:48
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	2	$26	10	20	-10	open	—	04-09 10:25
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	3	$26	42	42	+0	open	—	04-06 15:50
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	2	$25	26	26	+0	open	—	04-16 14:57
btc updown 5m 1774900800	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	03-30 20:04
bitcoin above 74k on april 16	3	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	04-16 13:40
btc updown 5m 1775414700	2	$24	38	36	+2	open	—	04-05 18:49
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$24	33	33	+0	open	—	05-23 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 11:56:46	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x84b3e7…
06-11 04:07:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x0ee3f2…
06-10 07:49:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x147ea9…
06-08 15:04:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xf26a7d…
06-08 15:03:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x50404b…
06-08 09:39:22	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xfd897f…
06-08 04:11:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbe155c…
06-07 14:39:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf1a078…
06-06 10:41:54	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6dbd4a…
05-31 17:37:36	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xa0c6e0…
05-31 17:37:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x42ce40…
05-30 11:21:27	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x153aef…
05-30 11:19:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe7944b…
05-30 09:41:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xf61e0d…
05-26 16:29:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xc29c4b…
05-23 14:39:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0xdec35c…
05-22 22:49:23	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xddab94…
05-14 06:30:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	86¢	$22	0xf75357…
05-12 14:58:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x021f1d…
05-11 15:57:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x10496d…
05-11 15:54:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x74412e…
05-06 05:29:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x1753e9…
05-05 10:02:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xed4fcf…
05-04 18:36:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x63bdbb…
05-04 16:30:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4b2b4b…
05-01 15:52:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x20384f…
04-28 09:34:20	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xf6b21f…
04-27 18:51:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x8a3523…
04-27 18:37:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x37aff3…
04-25 16:51:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x7406f4…
04-24 17:20:22	btc updown 5m 1777050900	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8ce6d2…
04-24 17:18:02	btc updown 5m 1777050900	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x782779…
04-23 07:20:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x6f2601…
04-22 17:12:44	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x8385bd…
04-21 16:41:58	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x9675f5…
04-19 17:53:40	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4410de…
04-19 17:46:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x940387…
04-19 09:34:30	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x4c8116…
04-18 16:40:20	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	204	11¢	$23	0xe63907…
04-18 09:40:22	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x3fcfb3…
04-18 09:39:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x44d297…
04-17 14:12:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfa17ea…
04-17 14:01:40	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x7506c3…
04-17 13:42:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	31¢	$12	0x477cb0…
04-17 12:59:20	will bitcoin reach 78k april 13 19	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xfea9f0…
04-17 10:12:20	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x547be9…
04-17 09:21:58	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x146400…
04-16 20:58:20	will bitcoin reach 78k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x9d7e4c…
04-16 18:23:44	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xaa45f8…
04-16 18:17:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7a2db8…
04-16 17:19:54	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xbead04…
04-16 15:56:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x43fea4…
04-16 15:34:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xffcf35…
04-16 15:03:58	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0x4cacb8…
04-16 15:02:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x35ca4a…
04-16 14:57:22	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0x9ee388…
04-16 14:56:10	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xdba471…
04-16 13:57:50	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xd85eea…
04-16 13:40:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xe1a441…
04-16 13:40:18	bitcoin above 74k on april 16	Yes	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x54210f…
04-16 12:31:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x6bb4a5…
04-16 09:11:02	bitcoin above 74k on april 16	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x48bff1…
04-16 09:10:28	bitcoin above 74k on april 16	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x248d9d…
04-15 17:51:14	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x041e08…
04-15 15:37:56	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	63	13¢	$8	0x0a7985…
04-15 15:11:06	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x561719…
04-15 15:10:50	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x89fc1f…
04-15 13:20:30	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa5a23b…
04-15 11:43:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x855942…
04-15 04:48:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x22018b…
04-14 19:34:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc9c097…
04-14 18:18:16	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xb25a61…
04-14 18:15:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x1b7135…
04-14 18:15:02	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0x1e0b41…
04-14 15:56:13	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x6d5e78…
04-14 07:15:31	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x354e21…
04-14 05:58:11	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf7f087…
04-14 05:51:13	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xcc29ae…
04-13 07:20:29	btc updown 5m 1776064500	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3f38c0…
04-13 07:18:25	btc updown 5m 1776064500	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x07feb0…
04-13 07:16:47	btc updown 5m 1776064500	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb569b8…
04-13 07:15:21	btc updown 5m 1776064200	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xac37d3…
04-13 07:13:41	btc updown 5m 1776064200	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa6010c…
04-12 11:51:43	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x8a0292…
04-12 07:15:39	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x0b4c2f…
04-12 04:58:39	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x7a0560…
04-12 04:55:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x8d3dba…
04-12 04:48:03	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0795b0…
04-12 04:47:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x074c57…
04-10 16:44:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xc81bb6…
04-10 16:40:39	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb282b9…
04-09 19:50:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	32	65¢	$21	0x6c56a0…
04-09 10:51:31	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x377955…
04-09 10:25:29	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x536bc5…
04-09 10:25:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0a4a31…
04-09 05:28:41	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x1cb22b…
04-08 20:21:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x50662d…
04-08 10:54:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd088ba…
04-08 07:02:41	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	809	0¢	$3	0xd83912…
04-07 22:42:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x462ea9…