Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$69.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$253

Open exposure

$30

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-03 23:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

68% 87% -$283

Other

31% 75% +$14,580

Crypto

2% 67% +$2,613

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	$0	04-28 13:06
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	-5	-$6	99¢	$-5	+$1	07-03 23:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-5	-$5	98¢	$-5	$0	05-17 01:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-5	-$5	98¢	$-5	$0	05-07 15:04
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-5	-$5	97¢	$-5	$0	05-25 22:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	-5	-$4	96¢	$-5	-$1	05-01 09:46
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	05-11 08:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	28	$36.1K	25,028	21,733	+3,295	Yes	-$917	03-19 08:26
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	17	$9.6K	11,546	0	+11,546	No	+$1,989	03-22 08:14
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	11	$5.6K	14,654	0	+14,654	Yes	+$9,085	03-10 11:56
us forces enter iran by march 7	3	$4.0K	4,139	0	+4,139	No	+$137	03-06 06:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	9	$3.1K	3,623	0	+3,623	No	+$474	03-06 14:05
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	39	$2.3K	3,572	0	+3,572	No	+$1,303	03-09 15:36
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	32	$2.2K	0	6,072	-6,072	Yes	+$2,184	03-21 19:35
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$1.6K	1,559	0	+1,559	No	+$3	03-27 06:53
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	8	$1.6K	0	1,553	-1,553	No	-$2	03-24 15:15
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$542	279	279	+0	Yes	+$7	03-09 08:04
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	15	$538	3,151	0	+3,151	Yes	+$2,613	02-28 11:34
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	6	$519	538	0	+538	No	+$19	02-26 08:07
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	9	$308	157	162	-5	open	—	07-03 23:37
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	1	$226	0	226	-226	No	$0	02-06 16:44
highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 14corhigher	1	$225	0	226	-226	No	$0	02-07 17:13
bitcoin above 60k on february 13	4	$225	0	225	-225	Yes	$0	02-13 13:10
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 420 439	1	$222	0	222	-222	No	$0	01-23 03:13
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	5	$222	0	222	-222	No	$0	01-20 16:36
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	04-16 09:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$41	45	0	+45	No	+$4	07-03 08:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$34	19	24	-5	open	—	05-01 09:46
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	9	$16	150	150	+0	No	-$2	04-07 06:00
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	5	$16	100	100	+0	No	+$1	04-09 10:50
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	9	$14	50	50	+0	No	+$1	04-06 03:43
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	3	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	04-03 11:04
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	2	$13	100	100	+0	No	+$3	04-12 11:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$13	10	5	+5	No	+$1	04-16 08:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	3	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-12 11:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-14 15:41
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-10 05:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 23:37:47	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	74	97¢	$72	0x5ae7fe…
07-03 08:33:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0x3965a3…
06-14 02:48:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xf07697…
05-25 22:29:57	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x7adde6…
05-23 01:42:27	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	74	97¢	$71	0x540bdf…
05-18 16:26:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x571bd8…
05-17 01:03:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe950a5…
05-16 06:57:41	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x0b4e26…
05-15 10:25:38	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x4255bb…
05-15 01:53:26	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x409be9…
05-14 13:27:44	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6d6b5e…
05-14 02:39:06	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xda0c62…
05-14 02:34:13	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x18db76…
05-14 02:31:48	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x6630ec…
05-12 11:17:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x14b614…
05-12 09:57:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x6e4c38…
05-11 13:42:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xcf2023…
05-11 08:33:13	Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe7bc1e…
05-11 08:29:08	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb7b09d…
05-11 08:26:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7e3b3c…
05-11 08:01:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfda9b3…
05-11 08:00:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0998a3…
05-11 07:59:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb3a92e…
05-11 07:59:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8f7b64…
05-11 07:52:30	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x688446…
05-11 07:48:37	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe5e8e4…
05-11 07:28:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x137b1e…
05-11 07:28:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x212523…
05-11 07:26:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x466de2…
05-11 07:26:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1a3052…
05-11 05:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9d5cc7…
05-11 04:49:41	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x52383c…
05-11 04:44:33	Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x077a1d…
05-11 04:41:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb263b5…
05-11 04:36:28	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x88cf12…
05-07 15:04:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x2c5f07…
05-04 16:21:14	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x30cc99…
05-01 09:46:52	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	24	78¢	$19	0x5a622d…
04-28 13:06:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8230f6…
04-28 13:00:54	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x221a7f…
04-16 09:30:00	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x6229a5…
04-16 08:52:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x211368…
04-16 08:47:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe30100…
04-16 08:43:56	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6a9b8c…
04-16 08:37:54	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95715f…
04-15 01:59:22	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x53b89e…
04-15 01:57:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x94838d…
04-15 01:56:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe894d1…
04-15 01:56:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8447ca…
04-14 15:41:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x44b048…
04-12 11:32:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x651e0d…
04-12 02:50:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x4a5f30…
04-12 02:34:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x9230aa…
04-10 05:31:35	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6431cd…
04-10 05:06:39	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4a40e2…
04-10 02:22:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9e705…
04-10 02:20:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x86f297…
04-10 02:20:11	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2b3a07…
04-10 02:19:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x085e6e…
04-09 10:50:39	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xddbdcc…
04-09 07:02:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x17c808…
04-09 06:29:59	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x4484c5…
04-09 06:24:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xb11b9f…
04-09 06:24:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x85ba96…
04-07 06:00:47	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x5c2df6…
04-07 06:00:29	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xcaa55a…
04-07 01:45:29	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc2073c…
04-07 01:45:19	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x573cdd…
04-07 01:27:07	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x0a291c…
04-06 18:19:01	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xeec998…
04-06 16:14:29	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xfe469d…
04-06 14:46:57	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xa384b9…
04-06 14:44:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x46b3f6…
04-06 06:05:53	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x5569d9…
04-06 06:03:23	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	Yes	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0xe0aeae…
04-06 03:47:19	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x98de42…
04-06 03:46:57	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	Yes	BUY	38	9¢	$3	0x5a114e…
04-06 03:46:47	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x8a8f92…
04-06 03:43:31	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x1d4036…
04-05 09:03:49	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xdb5559…
04-05 08:51:01	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x4c11e2…
04-05 08:43:29	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	Yes	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x1d260e…
04-05 06:50:27	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x9746f5…
04-05 06:50:21	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xb244f1…
04-05 06:50:21	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x5df23d…
04-05 06:50:21	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x0356dc…
04-05 06:50:17	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 90 114	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x739e76…
04-03 11:04:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x9a23c8…
04-03 11:02:33	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbfbb53…
04-03 11:00:55	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x62047f…
04-03 09:08:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$3	0xfa2bb9…
03-27 06:53:11	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	1,559	100¢	$1,556	0xd7928a…
03-24 15:15:59	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x6ebd17…
03-24 15:15:15	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	No	SELL	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x8fe18e…
03-24 15:13:37	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xbb0379…
03-24 15:13:23	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xea5146…
03-24 15:12:11	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x1da1bc…
03-24 15:11:37	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	No	SELL	79	100¢	$78	0xf58027…
03-24 15:11:37	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xb005c5…
03-24 15:09:09	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	No	SELL	213	100¢	$212	0xf0e36e…