Fickle-Fry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

364

lifetime

Volume

$361

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-25 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-0

Politics

30% 0% $-0

Crypto

16% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	18	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-21 03:10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-25 06:12
nothing ever happens microstrategy	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-06 10:04
will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-07 04:50
Iran Nuke before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 08:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 02:48
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	05-30 01:37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 02:39
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-16 03:09
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-24 07:42
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 23:27
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-13 02:18
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 07:33
will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 03:19
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 04:03
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 03:04
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-21 10:32
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 03:51
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 06:30
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-14 06:06
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	01-31 09:30
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:25
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:26
will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-21 07:43
Over $800M crypto hack value in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 04:49
ncaa tournament no 16 seed to win a game	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 03:50
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:53
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 02:19
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-18 06:36
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-12 04:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 06:12:12	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x56ea9b…
07-25 03:37:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfd1b7e…
07-25 03:36:13	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa8203e…
07-24 07:54:06	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325083	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x49eef0…
07-24 07:53:39	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa683d4…
07-24 07:39:39	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1a47fa…
07-24 07:39:06	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325083	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd5828d…
07-23 09:43:42	will jio platforms ipo by august 31 2026 20260629175908107	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x185299…
07-23 09:42:40	will xrp reach 1pt8 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x18a28d…
07-23 09:09:07	will xrp reach 1pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe7b1ef…
07-22 08:52:09	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb99e0d…
07-22 08:39:49	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2244aa…
07-21 07:43:13	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x600edb…
07-21 07:32:18	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb76fc9…
07-20 08:58:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd0657f…
07-20 08:47:27	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3e38b4…
07-18 08:08:21	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4f29f4…
07-18 07:52:25	will jio platforms ipo by july 31 2026 20260629175908106	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x357336…
07-18 07:50:30	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1dc293…
07-16 03:09:40	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa610db…
07-16 03:03:07	will jio platforms ipo by july 31 2026 20260629175908106	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7bfec7…
07-16 03:01:07	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x27f995…
07-15 08:01:23	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x57fca7…
07-15 08:00:58	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x256275…
07-15 07:48:38	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x642804…
07-15 07:45:56	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x00a8db…
07-14 06:06:46	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa36ec4…
07-14 04:45:44	will jio platforms ipo by august 31 2026 20260629175908107	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa7adae…
07-14 04:44:40	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefd0ee…
07-13 09:00:55	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1bf0c1…
07-13 09:00:25	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x849b5c…
07-13 08:49:50	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9a72e…
07-13 08:49:11	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3c986a…
07-11 08:10:25	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x53ec9c…
07-11 08:02:55	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xae39a8…
07-10 07:17:02	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x20f9b5…
07-10 07:16:25	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x69b527…
07-10 07:04:10	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x789528…
07-10 07:03:19	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8b7489…
07-09 03:14:26	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x012063…
07-09 03:06:22	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x26a84a…
07-08 06:30:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4335e4…
07-08 06:29:26	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x923edc…
07-08 06:20:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x58e89e…
07-08 06:19:13	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xda97f6…
07-07 04:50:59	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x124156…
07-07 04:50:31	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd53cbd…
07-07 04:44:46	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xca48fe…
07-07 04:43:41	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2bdb72…
07-06 07:35:59	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x77c1ba…
07-06 07:35:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc58909…
07-06 07:22:52	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x75c261…
07-06 07:22:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x98d1f8…
07-04 04:34:26	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x099c2b…
07-04 04:22:47	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb82080…
07-03 07:26:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaecfec…
07-03 07:26:04	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd52e11…
07-03 07:17:47	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcbb837…
07-03 07:17:01	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaee3a2…
07-03 07:16:55	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7106c0…
07-02 06:58:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd9f9e6…
07-02 06:52:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c71ef…
07-01 03:33:49	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc28235…
07-01 03:32:50	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf343d5…
07-01 03:28:02	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf9dc8c…
07-01 03:26:32	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x34c698…
06-30 07:07:53	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x741dbd…
06-30 07:07:10	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf6a8e1…
06-30 07:01:23	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x973093…
06-30 06:59:26	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1fff43…
06-29 09:03:32	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd25eec…
06-29 09:02:41	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x65cbbc…
06-29 08:51:37	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b1884…
06-29 08:46:16	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4b39b…
06-27 04:27:49	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9b2999…
06-27 04:26:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8d6b5e…
06-27 04:21:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0ac6f1…
06-27 04:20:17	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb0e27b…
06-26 07:23:52	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdf8c60…
06-26 07:23:17	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc0e956…
06-26 07:12:31	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x008b01…
06-26 07:10:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb2f40…
06-24 03:20:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2751e4…
06-24 03:19:46	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf90eb0…
06-24 03:06:02	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd0103f…
06-24 03:03:58	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x09099b…
06-23 04:03:58	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6424e6…
06-23 04:00:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x678c52…
06-23 03:54:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x624db4…
06-23 03:52:23	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2771b7…
06-22 02:13:38	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c35e9…
06-22 02:12:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee34f8…
06-22 02:04:58	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x02bb5d…
06-22 02:01:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f26fe…
06-21 04:49:04	will solana reach 110 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc644ee…
06-21 04:48:22	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2ef8a…
06-21 04:39:35	will solana reach 110 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x439dd8…
06-21 04:37:04	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2129a…
06-18 06:37:38	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf17f1c…
06-18 06:36:46	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7fb3a3…