Fickle-Fry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$308

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-04 04:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

29% 0% $-0

Crypto

18% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	18	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-21 03:10
nothing ever happens microstrategy	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-06 10:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 02:48
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	05-30 01:37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 02:39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-01 03:32
will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-03 07:26
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-24 07:42
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 23:27
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-13 02:18
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 07:33
will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 03:19
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 04:03
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 03:04
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-21 10:32
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 03:51
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	01-31 09:30
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:25
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:26
Over $800M crypto hack value in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 04:49
ncaa tournament no 16 seed to win a game	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 03:50
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:53
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 02:19
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-18 06:36
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-12 04:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-27 04:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 04:30
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 01:55
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:55
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-22 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 04:34:26	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x099c2b…
07-04 04:22:47	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb82080…
07-03 07:26:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaecfec…
07-03 07:26:04	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd52e11…
07-03 07:17:47	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcbb837…
07-03 07:17:01	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaee3a2…
07-03 07:16:55	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7106c0…
07-02 06:58:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd9f9e6…
07-02 06:52:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c71ef…
07-01 03:33:49	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc28235…
07-01 03:32:50	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf343d5…
07-01 03:28:02	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf9dc8c…
07-01 03:26:32	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x34c698…
06-30 07:07:53	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x741dbd…
06-30 07:07:10	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf6a8e1…
06-30 07:01:23	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x973093…
06-30 06:59:26	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1fff43…
06-29 09:03:32	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd25eec…
06-29 09:02:41	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x65cbbc…
06-29 08:51:37	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b1884…
06-29 08:46:16	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4b39b…
06-27 04:27:49	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9b2999…
06-27 04:26:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8d6b5e…
06-27 04:21:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0ac6f1…
06-27 04:20:17	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb0e27b…
06-26 07:23:52	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdf8c60…
06-26 07:23:17	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc0e956…
06-26 07:12:31	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x008b01…
06-26 07:10:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb2f40…
06-24 03:20:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2751e4…
06-24 03:19:46	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf90eb0…
06-24 03:06:02	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd0103f…
06-24 03:03:58	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x09099b…
06-23 04:03:58	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6424e6…
06-23 04:00:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x678c52…
06-23 03:54:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x624db4…
06-23 03:52:23	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2771b7…
06-22 02:13:38	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c35e9…
06-22 02:12:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee34f8…
06-22 02:04:58	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x02bb5d…
06-22 02:01:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f26fe…
06-21 04:49:04	will solana reach 110 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc644ee…
06-21 04:48:22	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2ef8a…
06-21 04:39:35	will solana reach 110 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x439dd8…
06-21 04:37:04	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2129a…
06-18 06:37:38	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf17f1c…
06-18 06:36:46	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7fb3a3…
06-18 04:53:56	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc2769b…
06-18 04:51:46	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7581da…
06-17 03:51:34	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x13f903…
06-17 03:51:05	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x55b7d1…
06-17 03:41:37	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8a2413…
06-17 03:39:49	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebb58e…
06-16 02:29:37	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x25e993…
06-16 02:28:58	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb587f4…
06-16 02:22:31	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6fa23b…
06-16 02:21:37	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc8d115…
06-15 04:57:24	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd83d29…
06-15 04:49:18	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf86345…
06-13 02:18:54	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2e11bc…
06-13 02:13:43	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x98d671…
06-12 04:33:15	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf1bb1a…
06-12 03:52:01	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04b25a…
06-11 03:39:24	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd24874…
06-11 03:25:18	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x566fe0…
06-10 03:44:45	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc52b78…
06-10 03:43:33	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xad8358…
06-10 03:34:52	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x68940c…
06-10 03:33:06	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf3b73b…
06-09 03:56:15	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x89632e…
06-09 03:52:33	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xac0a0c…
06-06 03:04:46	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x224fab…
06-06 02:56:04	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x54f1d4…
06-05 02:40:22	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfa28b4…
06-05 02:39:30	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x07a849…
06-05 02:33:40	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4c112…
06-05 02:31:48	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfcf390…
06-04 07:07:06	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec850c…
06-04 04:53:24	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x257e0b…
06-03 06:18:43	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xed0621…
06-03 06:14:06	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3e7b31…
06-02 02:58:05	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe26b2e…
06-02 02:44:54	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfc4b25…
06-01 04:30:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x528d62…
06-01 03:52:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f6c25…
05-30 01:37:57	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x401ce2…
05-29 03:04:19	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa288ed…
05-29 03:03:27	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x647480…
05-29 02:50:19	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x151a9d…
05-29 02:45:08	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b3119…
05-28 02:43:39	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b1db8…
05-28 02:33:22	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x193c5c…
05-27 07:56:08	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4dd996…
05-27 07:26:32	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3003fd…
05-26 04:37:41	Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcddf5b…
05-26 04:37:09	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5db60d…
05-26 04:11:24	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x692517…
05-26 04:09:55	Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2916ee…
05-25 03:43:16	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xadb42f…
05-25 03:26:49	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x899377…