Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,439

lifetime

Volume

$42.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-16 00:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

70% 25% $-114

Other

28% 100% +$35

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	55	$4.1K	8,170	5,929	+2,241	open	—	04-15 21:47
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	25	$1.6K	1,363	1,363	+0	open	—	04-16 16:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	72	$1.6K	1,879	1,771	+109	open	—	04-03 15:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$1.6K	1,021	1,021	+0	open	—	04-21 20:41
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	104	$1.6K	1,378	1,353	+25	open	—	04-08 08:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	38	$1.3K	1,533	1,282	+251	open	—	04-24 17:26
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	42	$878	1,065	1,065	+0	open	—	04-23 00:02
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	34	$858	1,579	981	+598	open	—	04-22 07:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	30	$785	1,816	1,816	+0	open	—	04-26 20:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	26	$780	840	794	+46	open	—	04-17 17:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	28	$752	1,059	1,059	+0	open	—	04-06 12:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	12	$720	918	797	+121	open	—	04-16 19:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	36	$696	776	776	+0	open	—	04-07 22:57
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	30	$679	728	728	+0	open	—	04-29 19:43
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	20	$607	534	534	+0	open	—	03-25 18:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	39	$606	843	608	+235	open	—	04-21 19:18
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$600	306	306	+0	open	—	03-12 12:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	23	$597	798	590	+208	open	—	04-29 20:18
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	18	$580	499	493	+6	open	—	04-19 19:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	23	$562	1,233	1,233	+0	open	—	04-15 22:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$546	646	646	+0	open	—	04-29 09:30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	24	$491	594	572	+22	open	—	04-06 03:18
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	17	$472	530	328	+202	open	—	03-13 10:07
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	9	$439	443	443	+0	open	—	03-16 09:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	32	$437	741	741	+0	open	—	04-21 19:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	18	$434	1,332	492	+840	open	—	04-29 00:43
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	20	$428	862	653	+209	open	—	04-24 17:20
will russia capture all of drobysheve by march 31	6	$422	222	222	+0	open	—	03-21 19:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	13	$417	303	303	+0	open	—	04-18 00:23
will russia capture hryshyne by march 15 2026 338	36	$409	482	482	+0	open	—	03-12 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 00:56:31	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x9121fd…
05-16 00:49:07	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xad1c2e…
05-16 00:47:50	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0xce962f…
05-16 00:45:31	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x3218ce…
05-16 00:16:27	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x373556…
05-16 00:15:24	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x977cb3…
05-02 00:06:40	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x5f5a97…
05-02 00:05:16	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x5b85d1…
05-01 23:59:38	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x39ed31…
05-01 23:56:46	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x8f9b07…
05-01 23:53:12	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	Yes	SELL	44	22¢	$10	0xcb0385…
05-01 17:07:00	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0e7d95…
05-01 17:06:56	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0x0983f6…
05-01 08:18:10	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	64¢	$20	0x547a5f…
05-01 04:35:04	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x0ce848…
05-01 00:06:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	19¢	$11	0x87ac6f…
04-30 20:47:18	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xb59c0d…
04-30 18:20:44	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	140	14¢	$20	0xd9d268…
04-30 18:16:00	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x9a4c99…
04-30 18:06:12	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	437	14¢	$61	0x72993d…
04-30 18:05:30	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x23606e…
04-30 16:02:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,087	4¢	$40	0xcf9b22…
04-30 15:47:26	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	65¢	$25	0xdfb5cf…
04-30 15:46:42	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xfb9d0d…
04-30 12:48:44	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4f0843…
04-30 11:36:38	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xebc528…
04-30 11:21:00	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x843357…
04-30 09:13:38	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xb53e85…
04-30 09:13:26	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0x0ecae6…
04-30 08:13:02	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x4d6b95…
04-30 08:07:16	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xab4d1c…
04-30 08:06:52	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe665e7…
04-29 20:18:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x4c7db5…
04-29 19:43:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x4fe2dc…
04-29 18:53:12	Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x0e86ef…
04-29 18:51:06	Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x4d2965…
04-29 18:26:44	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x02602a…
04-29 18:12:28	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	54	3¢	$1	0xe8c727…
04-29 18:07:50	Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa0f5b5…
04-29 18:01:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	273	9¢	$25	0x36e195…
04-29 17:58:14	Will Powell say "Middle East" during April press conference?	No	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x26679a…
04-29 17:57:50	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x5ae156…
04-29 17:54:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	4¢	$3	0xf55dd8…
04-29 17:49:46	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x056167…
04-29 17:36:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x27e90a…
04-29 17:35:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0xf5a2bd…
04-29 17:34:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	10¢	$5	0x6b0f62…
04-29 17:34:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x5315f7…
04-29 16:01:02	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0xaef662…
04-29 15:54:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	248	8¢	$20	0x08f483…
04-29 13:52:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,384	11¢	$152	0xfbd52e…
04-29 13:42:12	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x06398a…
04-29 13:16:26	James Comey arrested by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x4ecb0f…
04-29 12:28:08	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x718283…
04-29 12:22:06	James Comey arrested by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x24e343…
04-29 11:29:30	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0xec133a…
04-29 11:02:30	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x92ad23…
04-29 09:30:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	30¢	$19	0x8d4060…
04-29 08:52:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xaf7de1…
04-29 08:52:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0xc62c91…
04-29 08:17:00	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xa76f88…
04-29 08:17:00	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5b1ca7…
04-29 08:16:58	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xebd103…
04-29 08:16:58	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x7e9396…
04-29 08:16:58	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x507163…
04-29 07:07:22	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xb864bb…
04-29 06:44:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xc1493e…
04-29 06:42:16	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x9f6b63…
04-29 02:31:08	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	56	28¢	$16	0x11f55a…
04-29 00:58:26	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x1458ca…
04-29 00:49:46	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf1f1f8…
04-29 00:43:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x606ac2…
04-28 23:38:12	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0xda6944…
04-28 23:09:30	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1bb13f…
04-28 19:43:02	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$1	0x43a128…
04-28 19:38:56	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x7bd5c4…
04-28 17:01:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	29¢	$16	0xd6d992…
04-28 17:01:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	9¢	$7	0xb2e318…
04-28 16:06:14	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0x7ddbb4…
04-28 16:05:24	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xb85963…
04-28 15:06:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	10¢	$24	0x17b107…
04-28 14:45:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc31bb9…
04-28 14:44:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe934f6…
04-28 14:42:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x985692…
04-28 14:42:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd85769…
04-28 14:13:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0xd713c7…
04-28 10:31:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xb6c523…
04-28 10:31:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x9f2d22…
04-28 09:08:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xc97b0e…
04-28 05:43:02	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf5e01d…
04-28 00:15:26	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xcb772e…
04-27 22:27:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb22527…
04-27 22:08:18	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x8125d9…
04-27 22:08:18	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x722b86…
04-27 21:16:36	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x85672d…
04-27 20:06:04	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x10176e…
04-27 19:17:48	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x065527…
04-27 18:42:50	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x792858…
04-27 17:08:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	2¢	$6	0x33435e…
04-27 16:41:28	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xa79fb2…