Realized P&L
-$1.43K
Unrealized P&L
+$305
Hit rate
84.7%
Resolved
945
Trades
1,728
lifetime
Volume
$287.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$167
Open exposure
$17.7K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 19:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Other
78% 82% -$1,085
Politics
15% 88% -$34
Sports
5% 69% -$267
Tech
1% 67% -$41
Crypto
1% 83% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +6,981 $6,599 94¢ $6.6K -$2 10-23 16:58
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +6,174 $5,838 97¢ $6.0K +$178 10-28 19:32
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +880 $800 94¢ $823 +$23 10-21 20:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +942 $807 82¢ $772 -$34 10-01 20:11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +772 $690 98¢ $757 +$67 07-11 10:49
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +605 $565 97¢ $587 +$22 06-26 13:18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +600 $496 85¢ $512 +$16 07-06 12:34
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +440 $388 92¢ $402 +$14 10-01 20:14
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +308 $300 100¢ $307 +$7 10-01 20:32
US recession by end of 2026? No +323 $300 94¢ $302 +$2 10-21 21:03
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +253 $250 100¢ $252 +$2 10-21 21:06
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +211 $200 96¢ $203 +$3 10-21 19:44
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +188 $181 99¢ $186 +$6 10-13 20:15