(anonymous) 0x2ef893…a4b0f4 Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$76
Unrealized P&L
-$1.28K
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved (7d)
43
Trades (7d)
8
2,721 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$236
$83.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$746
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-05
last 11-02 23:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
55% 48% +$630
Politics
43% 54% +$50
Tech
2% 12% -$175
Crypto
0% 44% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +241 $65 59¢ $142 +$77 10-24 11:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? No +265 $212 51¢ $135 -$77 10-15 13:19
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +783 $289 9¢ $70 -$218 10-11 15:58
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +214 $184 30¢ $64 -$120 10-25 02:08
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +156 $118 29¢ $45 -$73 10-17 00:25
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes +266 $40 16¢ $44 +$4 10-20 15:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +441 $147 10¢ $42 -$105 10-25 23:08
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? Yes +76 $11 49¢ $37 +$27 10-25 13:27
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? Yes +425 $166 6¢ $25 -$141 10-18 23:51
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +117 $44 19¢ $22 -$22 09-04 13:09
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +205 $52 8¢ $15 -$36 09-15 22:14
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +404 $69 3¢ $13 -$56 09-24 11:18
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027? Yes +25 $7 43¢ $11 +$4 10-23 09:01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Yes +225 $64 4¢ $10 -$55 10-15 06:20
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? Yes +114 $17 8¢ $9 -$7 10-19 03:54
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? Yes +25 $6 31¢ $8 +$2 10-23 13:07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +308 $90 2¢ $7 -$83 09-15 20:38
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +7 $10 97¢ $7 -$3 10-26 00:31
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes +53 $17 12¢ $7 -$10 10-20 06:27
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +147 $23 4¢ $6 -$17 10-17 07:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +4 $5 94¢ $3 -$1 10-26 00:32
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +30 $8 11¢ $3 -$5 08-15 05:20
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +24 $3 13¢ $3 $0 09-30 07:24
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +20 $4 15¢ $3 -$1 10-20 21:14
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027 Yes +36 $252 8¢ $3 -$250 10-15 01:51
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $0 10-27 16:05
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes +3 $29 91¢ $2 -$27 10-23 18:05
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? No +2 $88 93¢ $2 -$86 11-02 23:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-24 10:51
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 09-05 17:31