Trivial-Characterization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$978

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$518

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-13 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

64% — —

Sports

19% 100% +$931

Crypto

9% 40% +$47

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No		+695	$500	74¢	$518	+$18	06-04 01:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	1	$500	841	+841	open	—	06-04 01:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$500	714	+714	open	—	06-04 01:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$500	695	+695	open	—	06-04 01:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$500	526	+526	open	—	06-04 01:16
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$300	727	+727	open	—	05-24 11:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$300	337	+337	open	—	05-09 19:55
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$200	1,000	+1,000	open	—	06-13 14:17
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$200	400	+400	open	—	06-13 14:17
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	1	$200	287	+287	open	—	05-09 21:12
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	2	$200	342	+342	open	—	05-24 11:36
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	1	$100	141	+141	open	—	05-10 18:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$100	510	+510	open	—	05-10 18:18
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$100	500	+500	Sean Strickland	+$400	05-09 19:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$100	747	+747	open	—	05-09 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$100	169	+169	Up	+$69	05-09 21:12
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	1	$100	556	+556	Yes	+$456	05-09 21:11
ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	1	$100	455	+455	open	—	06-13 14:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$100	333	+333	open	—	05-09 19:55
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	1	$100	243	+243	open	—	05-10 18:23
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$100	305	+305	open	—	05-09 21:41
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	1	$100	182	+182	open	—	05-10 18:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	333	+333	open	—	06-13 14:18
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$100	175	+175	Alexander Volkov	+$75	05-10 00:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	139	+139	open	—	05-10 18:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$100	130	+130	open	—	05-10 00:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$100	102	+102	open	—	05-10 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$100	108	+108	Down	+$8	05-10 18:17
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$92	108	+108	open	—	06-04 01:17
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	1	$50	278	+278	open	—	05-10 18:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$25	2,778	+2,778	open	—	05-10 18:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 14:18:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x919344…
06-13 14:17:33	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x804b2c…
06-13 14:17:24	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x3247ca…
06-13 14:17:10	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x9b0ccb…
06-04 01:17:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	108	86¢	$92	0x1774da…
06-04 01:16:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	695	72¢	$500	0xa9b9eb…
06-04 01:16:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x470fdb…
06-04 01:13:07	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	841	59¢	$500	0xb48ac5…
06-04 01:13:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0xedd79f…
05-24 11:36:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	594	34¢	$200	0x3ceda4…
05-24 11:36:04	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x0bcc1a…
05-11 13:19:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x3c1641…
05-11 13:19:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2,683	0¢	$10	0x9d5caf…
05-10 18:29:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x1a49c7…
05-10 18:26:36	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xf5b950…
05-10 18:24:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x23706a…
05-10 18:24:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x425a4c…
05-10 18:23:07	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0x55d8e0…
05-10 18:21:05	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x80f426…
05-10 18:21:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x7d6a23…
05-10 18:19:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfa1538…
05-10 18:18:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,778	1¢	$25	0x4c23d2…
05-10 18:18:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	510	20¢	$100	0xcaa88a…
05-10 18:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3217fb…
05-10 00:56:37	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xaec75c…
05-10 00:55:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xc8f354…
05-09 21:41:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	305	33¢	$100	0x5f1560…
05-09 21:14:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	747	13¢	$100	0x6514c7…
05-09 21:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xee3c07…
05-09 21:12:01	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	Yes	BUY	287	70¢	$200	0x674dab…
05-09 21:11:26	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x187ac1…
05-09 19:55:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x6c63ed…
05-09 19:55:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0xa9a702…
05-09 19:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0x8fb573…
05-09 19:52:55	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x96ae05…