Trivial-Characterization 0x2ff679…327c7b
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$415
Unrealized P&L
+$330
Hit rate
61.0%
Resolved
50
Trades
84
lifetime
Volume
$14.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$171
Open exposure
$5.43K
26 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 10-11 12:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
59% 53% -$313
Other
19% 43% -$887
Sports
19% 55% +$1,359
Crypto
3% 50% +$257
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +695 $500 99¢ $686 +$186 06-04 01:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $500 66¢ $665 +$165 08-18 11:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +641 $500 92¢ $587 +$87 05-09 21:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +453 $200 58¢ $265 +$65 10-10 10:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +541 $200 46¢ $251 +$51 10-10 10:25
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +256 $200 88¢ $224 +$24 08-11 04:22
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +870 $200 26¢ $222 +$22 10-10 10:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +286 $200 76¢ $219 +$19 10-10 10:22
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +491 $200 44¢ $214 +$14 10-10 10:24
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +255 $200 81¢ $206 +$6 08-11 04:20
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +228 $200 90¢ $206 +$6 08-11 04:20
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +260 $200 78¢ $204 +$4 10-10 10:37
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +260 $200 76¢ $196 -$4 10-10 10:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +208 $100 87¢ $181 +$81 05-11 19:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +741 $200 18¢ $137 -$63 05-11 13:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +833 $100 15¢ $121 +$21 10-10 10:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +120 $100 96¢ $116 +$16 05-09 19:54
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +1,111 $200 10¢ $106 -$94 07-19 15:18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,042 $100 9¢ $97 -$3 08-11 04:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +625 $100 16¢ $97 -$3 10-10 10:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,409 $200 6¢ $92 -$108 05-24 11:49
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +260 $96 34¢ $87 -$9 10-11 12:58
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,132 $100 4¢ $82 -$18 08-11 04:20
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +599 $100 12¢ $72 -$28 05-10 00:56
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +597 $100 11¢ $65 -$35 10-10 10:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,429 $100 2¢ $29 -$71 05-10 18:28