Caring-Bolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.1%

Resolved

Trades

875

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 08-11 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

74% 67% $-38

Other

21% 50% +$30

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	52	$1.1K	727	681	+46	open	—	08-07 03:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$816	1,494	1,349	+145	open	—	04-07 23:09
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	11	$507	1,307	357	+950	open	—	07-22 12:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	20	$447	308	156	+152	open	—	04-21 00:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$409	926	926	+0	open	—	05-23 19:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	17	$329	488	488	+0	open	—	04-07 23:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$327	273	237	+36	open	—	04-07 02:54
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	8	$299	278	103	+175	open	—	04-30 11:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	8	$269	213	180	+33	open	—	08-08 02:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$263	105	264	-159	open	—	06-17 15:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	48	$244	244	240	+4	open	—	04-18 20:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$226	717	717	+0	open	—	05-22 13:07
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	10	$203	161	140	+21	open	—	08-06 18:44
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$201	143	143	+0	open	—	04-24 01:13
btc updown 5m 1786321800	18	$200	114	107	+6	open	—	08-10 00:33
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$199	106	106	+0	open	—	04-11 16:43
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	22	$199	101	101	+0	open	—	05-20 07:40
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$198	101	101	+0	open	—	05-19 02:19
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	92	$198	100	100	+0	No	$-0	04-16 11:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	3	$197	161	228	-66	open	—	06-17 10:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$158	383	230	+153	No	$-40	05-07 20:54
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	3	$156	108	57	+50	open	—	06-27 13:17
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	3	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	06-25 02:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	4	$146	386	115	+271	open	—	07-03 17:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$140	303	191	+112	open	—	06-20 13:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$133	95	95	+0	open	—	06-01 11:58
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	2	$129	91	91	+0	open	—	07-16 04:35
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	2	$123	74	74	+0	open	—	05-15 18:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	3	$116	1,390	0	+1,390	open	—	05-31 01:39
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	2	$114	69	69	+0	open	—	04-10 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:00:39	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xe0a1b0…
08-10 00:33:42	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xf6209e…
08-10 00:33:42	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd58118…
08-10 00:33:42	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb1b4e5…
08-10 00:33:42	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x8f0ac7…
08-10 00:33:42	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x1f130b…
08-10 00:33:42	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x0f2edc…
08-10 00:33:40	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x86e8a9…
08-10 00:33:40	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x6bf367…
08-10 00:33:40	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x60f8f7…
08-10 00:33:40	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x472129…
08-10 00:33:40	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x2c03c1…
08-10 00:33:39	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xa5d161…
08-10 00:33:39	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x94b585…
08-10 00:33:39	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x761b3d…
08-10 00:33:39	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x3ee340…
08-10 00:33:39	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x024a0c…
08-10 00:32:58	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x8b4b2f…
08-10 00:32:58	btc updown 5m 1786321800	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x747416…
08-08 21:26:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x5d8c46…
08-08 13:15:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	51	89¢	$46	0x9cddc2…
08-08 13:15:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc6a44b…
08-08 13:15:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x3b4c99…
08-08 13:14:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xd316dd…
08-08 13:14:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xa5f28d…
08-08 13:13:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x2a0783…
08-08 13:13:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x85fc59…
08-08 13:12:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x98145a…
08-08 02:37:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x6f4fce…
08-08 02:21:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	73	99¢	$73	0x12bdc9…
08-08 02:15:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x412fed…
08-08 02:05:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xb22ac2…
08-07 03:43:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	77	81¢	$62	0x399c66…
08-07 00:16:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xbd9632…
08-07 00:16:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x066319…
08-06 18:44:05	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0xe99da0…
08-06 18:44:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0xc5198e…
08-06 18:43:30	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0xfc63e8…
08-06 18:43:30	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x5df62b…
08-06 18:43:30	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x1fecb7…
08-06 16:05:09	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xce636f…
08-06 13:56:54	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x9856bc…
08-05 22:52:20	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x707454…
08-05 22:42:35	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xae60e4…
08-05 13:44:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	31	37¢	$11	0x4002b0…
08-05 04:52:39	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x3fde29…
08-05 04:11:51	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x5fdd47…
08-05 02:51:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	9	51¢	$4	0xa1f385…
08-05 02:15:11	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$25	0x063526…
08-05 02:07:20	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	61	89¢	$54	0xffca2d…
08-05 02:03:00	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	61	83¢	$50	0x945250…
08-05 02:01:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xf61d05…
08-04 19:13:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xc7b4ad…
08-04 18:02:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0x1e96c0…
08-04 18:02:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0x0fa386…
08-03 19:03:33	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x38ee3a…
08-03 12:33:23	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x16f7c2…
08-03 01:41:23	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0x58a995…
08-02 13:44:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x1bec9c…
08-02 02:08:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x3f3099…
08-01 12:25:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	53	77¢	$41	0x994fc8…
08-01 11:46:29	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x98148e…
08-01 11:46:29	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x0d9657…
08-01 11:34:06	will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by august 31 2026 20260730161742250	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf810c6…
08-01 10:14:33	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x0c68cb…
07-31 18:13:33	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	57	89¢	$51	0x38f9d7…
07-31 01:06:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xf95140…
07-31 00:05:35	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	76	62¢	$47	0xb1839a…
07-30 16:37:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x21bfcf…
07-30 16:35:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$0	0x2d983a…
07-30 16:31:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	33	74¢	$24	0xab6ce7…
07-30 16:24:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x537cc2…
07-30 16:13:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xda926a…
07-30 16:13:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xf23d19…
07-30 16:11:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xaa0214…
07-30 16:09:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$0	0xbd7240…
07-30 16:02:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x25d190…
07-30 16:02:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x41c747…
07-30 15:48:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x6aa481…
07-30 15:40:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x809340…
07-30 15:39:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x42172f…
07-30 15:38:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$0	0x513411…
07-30 15:33:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x30bab7…
07-30 15:32:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0x341bf8…
07-30 15:31:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x28a978…
07-30 15:28:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x7f130e…
07-30 15:27:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xd6ee7d…
07-30 15:26:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x8f98a4…
07-30 15:26:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x6b877f…
07-30 15:20:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x999303…
07-30 15:17:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x8c38f1…
07-30 15:17:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x2926f7…
07-30 15:07:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x6ff4c9…
07-30 15:07:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x07d7be…
07-30 15:05:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xd7592f…
07-30 15:04:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x0ba63a…
07-30 15:04:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	45	74¢	$34	0x080dde…
07-30 05:20:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x69860a…
07-30 01:22:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x119c47…
07-30 00:46:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x7a62d3…