Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
41.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
577
lifetime
Volume
$10.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$421
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 06-30 00:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
75% 67% $-38
Other
21% 50% +$30
Crypto
3%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -114 $-106 94¢ $-106 $-1 06-22 01:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +97 $23 100¢ $97 +$74 06-23 09:04
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +64 $50 100¢ $64 +$14 06-15 00:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -61 $-56 86¢ $-52 +$4 06-11 17:45
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -53 $-51 94¢ $-50 +$0 06-18 15:20
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 06-30 00:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +112 $58 $1 $-57 06-20 13:44