Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
41.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
760
lifetime
Volume
$12.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$209
4 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 07-21 02:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
76% 67% $-38
Other
20% 50% +$30
Crypto
3%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -114 $-106 94¢ $-106 $-1 06-22 01:35
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -53 $-51 95¢ $-51 +$0 06-18 15:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -61 $-56 72¢ $-44 +$12 07-16 02:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +625 $50 $8 $-42 07-11 18:56