Well-Off-Effacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,221

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-17 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

33% 50% $-3

Other

26% 100% +$4

Tech

21% — —

Politics

20% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	38	$1.7K	2,900	2,300	+600	open	—	07-01 19:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$1.2K	830	930	-100	open	—	06-16 22:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$631	200	600	-400	open	—	06-17 00:09
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	6	$631	420	420	+0	open	—	06-24 13:27
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	63	$570	1,300	1,285	+15	open	—	01-18 05:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	6	$510	300	300	+0	open	—	06-20 02:08
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	9	$493	2,130	757	+1,373	open	—	06-26 13:21
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	46	$454	740	782	-42	open	—	01-13 15:55
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	6	$431	300	300	+0	open	—	06-22 15:16
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	8	$421	250	250	+0	open	—	02-28 06:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	4	$420	260	260	+0	open	—	06-12 16:54
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	1	$276	400	0	+400	open	—	06-27 16:44
bitcoin above 68k on february 27	18	$268	300	300	+0	open	—	02-27 13:56
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	10	$237	200	200	+0	open	—	01-21 15:07
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	12	$226	225	100	+125	open	—	03-16 03:34
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	3	$210	150	150	+0	open	—	06-25 05:04
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?	3	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 07:28
bitcoin above 96k on january 17	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	01-17 14:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	6	$192	200	200	+0	open	—	06-24 07:14
bitcoin above 96k on january 18	6	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	01-18 14:58
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	25	$165	450	450	+0	open	—	03-25 03:47
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	4	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	06-22 20:17
bitcoin up or down on january 21	8	$153	200	200	+0	open	—	01-21 15:27
will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	4	$150	600	0	+600	open	—	07-08 08:43
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	2	$139	100	100	+0	open	—	07-03 10:10
bitcoin above 90k on january 20	18	$134	500	300	+200	open	—	01-20 15:01
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	4	$131	300	200	+100	open	—	07-02 21:26
will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	10	$127	2,176	0	+2,176	open	—	07-08 08:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	1	$117	0	130	-130	open	—	06-11 17:29
bitcoin above 70k on march 26	3	$115	100	100	+0	open	—	03-26 15:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 18:41:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xcd343a…
07-17 18:16:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x282bff…
07-17 18:03:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0x944c66…
07-15 14:10:05	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x992903…
07-08 08:44:25	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	490	5¢	$24	0xfcc070…
07-08 08:43:13	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	295	20¢	$59	0x2a0758…
07-08 07:00:32	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x87f37d…
07-08 05:29:20	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5c463c…
07-07 23:03:35	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x879208…
07-07 22:54:35	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x55324c…
07-07 22:49:55	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$5	0x834f85…
07-07 22:01:34	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xeebb4b…
07-07 21:28:19	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	142	5¢	$8	0xc38f98…
07-07 19:07:28	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	281	30¢	$84	0xc90ebb…
07-07 07:34:13	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x8ac000…
07-07 05:58:28	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xec3366…
07-07 05:54:55	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x65754f…
07-07 05:53:38	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x2fb9d8…
07-07 05:33:53	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xed8270…
07-07 05:33:07	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xaf068b…
07-07 05:26:56	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	122	18¢	$22	0xe35b5f…
07-07 05:22:40	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x6cfcf9…
07-07 05:21:53	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xac7c03…
07-07 05:21:10	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x4a60d8…
07-07 05:20:23	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x3659bb…
07-07 05:17:17	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x89eaf1…
07-07 05:11:29	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x9d3eac…
07-07 05:09:01	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xf673fc…
07-07 05:06:58	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x73659d…
07-07 05:04:47	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x044da2…
07-07 04:09:44	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x8ac1a8…
07-07 04:01:49	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x48a272…
07-07 02:29:11	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc326a4…
07-06 15:48:56	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xdd01b5…
07-05 15:40:20	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	470	8¢	$37	0x486535…
07-03 10:10:13	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xa2b341…
07-03 06:02:04	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6c5396…
07-03 05:56:04	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x99c46d…
07-03 05:56:02	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x866ca2…
07-03 05:56:01	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x33e534…
07-03 05:55:59	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x647144…
07-03 05:55:56	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x3900c2…
07-03 05:55:55	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xf795a7…
07-03 05:55:53	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xb39d6a…
07-03 05:55:53	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0x1a4da2…
07-03 05:55:50	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xa53b73…
07-03 05:55:49	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xf08090…
07-03 05:55:49	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xc9d386…
07-03 05:53:31	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	606	5¢	$32	0xb34a52…
07-03 03:34:55	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xeceb06…
07-03 02:44:13	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$4	0x6c50be…
07-02 21:26:50	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xfe9536…
07-02 20:27:35	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x3be158…
07-02 15:07:40	will open dip to 4 00 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x56dc52…
07-02 03:03:32	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0xc831d8…
07-02 01:31:29	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	SELL	199	44¢	$87	0x7e331c…
07-01 19:28:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	300	5¢	$14	0x1a2465…
07-01 17:04:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xc4647a…
07-01 17:03:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x64046e…
07-01 16:41:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	300	6¢	$16	0xf2b4ee…
07-01 16:37:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	300	9¢	$27	0x1bb3de…
07-01 16:23:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	600	6¢	$33	0x260d94…
07-01 08:31:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	600	8¢	$50	0xb38197…
06-30 22:19:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xa660d3…
06-30 05:34:53	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	43	65¢	$28	0x302f48…
06-28 00:24:55	will wti reach 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xdf6739…
06-27 20:38:19	will wti reach 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x56bceb…
06-27 20:25:07	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x621510…
06-27 16:44:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	Yes	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0xeb8ae4…
06-27 13:02:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	49	70¢	$34	0xd2e5c5…
06-27 11:00:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	551	70¢	$386	0xc3d879…
06-27 07:21:35	will wti reach 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	34	56¢	$19	0x41be29…
06-27 06:21:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	600	74¢	$444	0x8bc20a…
06-26 21:48:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x054c0e…
06-26 21:44:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	57	63¢	$36	0xeade6e…
06-26 17:55:58	will wti reach 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xb8977a…
06-26 13:21:43	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	400	11¢	$43	0x1fcc89…
06-26 10:52:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf7a114…
06-26 10:47:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x939afe…
06-26 10:47:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0x228ea1…
06-25 17:16:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	64	49¢	$31	0x6a7713…
06-25 17:08:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x6925af…
06-25 16:59:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x517a8c…
06-25 16:51:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xe2d3ad…
06-25 16:41:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xa77308…
06-25 16:30:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc78058…
06-25 16:27:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x0c9f2b…
06-25 16:02:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x507e0d…
06-25 16:01:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x362b43…
06-25 15:54:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x31c35a…
06-25 15:53:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7192f5…
06-25 15:23:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdfc9ac…
06-25 15:21:16	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	SELL	291	12¢	$35	0x7a30fa…
06-25 14:42:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	69	49¢	$34	0xbc5c46…
06-25 14:40:31	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0xb4fe94…
06-25 14:10:44	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	SELL	432	32¢	$137	0x937c70…
06-25 05:04:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	500	43¢	$215	0x8d2a1c…
06-25 05:04:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	150	78¢	$117	0x204f94…
06-24 13:27:11	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	105	97¢	$102	0x3ccc43…
06-24 13:23:17	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x88e25e…