Wiggly-Switchboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.2%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$389

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 10-28 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

76% 42% -$7

Other

16% 22% -$10

Tech

4% 0% -$1

Sports

3% 100% +$3

Crypto

2% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	14	$99	107	107	+0	No	-$1	05-02 16:33
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	5	$58	45	45	+0	Yes	+$8	04-27 20:10
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	9	$34	34	34	+0	No	-$2	06-14 21:39
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	9	$16	16	11	+5	Spain	$0	07-19 22:01
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$15	67	67	+0	No	-$1	04-29 14:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$13	11	11	+0	Yes	-$1	06-14 21:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	4	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 21:49
No one announced as next James Bond?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 08:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$10	24	5	+20	No	-$6	06-15 17:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-30 04:16
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	05-12 16:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-07 16:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$8	29	29	+0	No	-$2	04-29 07:29
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$7	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-07 19:47
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	3	$7	97	56	+42	No	-$5	05-12 15:42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$6	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	07-15 13:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	06-10 22:06
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	3	$5	11	11	+0	No	-$1	06-14 21:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	10-28 08:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	3	$3	251	1	+250	No	-$1	06-14 21:33
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$3	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	08-02 12:12
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	3	$3	30	15	+15	No	-$1	05-16 19:33
wta oliynyk gormaz 2026 07 23	2	$2	2	2	+0	Oleksandra Oliynykova	+$0	07-23 11:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$2	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 14:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-28 05:44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-20 11:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 07:53
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	9	9	+0	No	+$0	06-11 16:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 21:22
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-07 18:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:04:58	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xb2ae6d…
10-10 18:37:04	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x226824…
09-03 14:25:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x441538…
08-17 12:06:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x300a16…
08-17 11:23:31	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x5797ad…
08-02 16:01:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x34043b…
08-02 12:13:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x239b18…
08-02 12:12:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x17731b…
07-31 10:10:20	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x26b9a3…
07-31 10:10:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8d6930…
07-23 11:52:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x50430f…
07-23 11:51:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x5751e9…
07-23 11:45:46	wta oliynyk gormaz 2026 07 23	Oleksandra Oliynykova	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x4c5a16…
07-23 11:39:01	wta oliynyk gormaz 2026 07 23	Oleksandra Oliynykova	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf9ff3e…
07-19 22:01:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xef76b9…
07-19 21:43:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf12d00…
07-19 20:48:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe2f88a…
07-19 20:48:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x87b0fb…
07-19 19:16:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb08b74…
07-19 19:11:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x734c5d…
07-19 18:35:21	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x784c68…
07-19 18:00:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa474d3…
07-19 18:00:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x351078…
07-19 16:32:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2e1788…
07-19 13:04:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x73c49b…
07-19 13:03:03	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4ac7f0…
07-19 13:00:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfa5a54…
07-19 13:00:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8fbc61…
07-15 13:00:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x538b3b…
06-20 11:45:11	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xb2065b…
06-15 17:28:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5622b7…
06-14 21:49:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xc8841a…
06-14 21:43:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0fec09…
06-14 21:39:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x8befaa…
06-14 21:39:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xd053b5…
06-14 21:37:36	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x22d340…
06-14 21:35:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x23ef29…
06-14 21:35:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x932eca…
06-14 21:35:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7175ec…
06-14 21:33:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x9e9807…
06-14 21:32:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0b0b26…
06-14 21:22:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x2b17c8…
06-14 21:21:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x376a90…
06-14 21:21:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2ff1e4…
06-14 18:53:06	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x39bf6e…
06-11 16:15:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x6d9ba4…
06-11 16:15:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x19d92e…
06-11 16:15:34	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x7e2b43…
06-10 22:09:58	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8ff677…
06-10 22:09:49	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5d5f78…
06-10 22:07:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1fe182…
06-10 22:06:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x0a0312…
06-10 21:59:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x347f36…
06-10 21:51:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3efd54…
06-10 21:46:15	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x68d50b…
06-10 09:20:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x54d3ac…
06-10 09:19:21	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x221414…
06-09 21:26:54	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc8316e…
06-08 13:12:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x68bc47…
06-08 13:12:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x015a6f…
06-07 19:47:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x96d88e…
06-07 19:30:09	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x966d5e…
06-07 19:22:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xbe77d0…
06-07 19:17:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7882e7…
06-07 19:16:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xdf3b5e…
06-07 19:16:00	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa3078c…
06-07 19:14:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	18	58¢	$10	0x78aeaa…
06-07 19:10:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x92a327…
06-07 19:08:15	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x4320dd…
06-07 18:08:19	Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xfb08c7…
06-03 16:05:09	Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xeafc0a…
05-28 05:44:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xeea881…
05-28 05:44:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xeaa2bf…
05-26 10:57:59	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe4db3f…
05-26 10:54:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe5ef33…
05-26 10:54:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x478c06…
05-25 10:13:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd2e475…
05-25 10:13:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x32614f…
05-25 08:32:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x2b49cf…
05-21 14:25:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xa61d48…
05-21 12:35:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5b13c0…
05-21 12:35:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdc414a…
05-21 12:33:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc1e9d0…
05-21 07:53:20	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xad795a…
05-20 08:37:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0xa9c098…
05-16 19:33:12	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x494112…
05-16 19:24:04	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd10798…
05-16 17:39:58	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x1116e0…
05-16 08:31:52	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcf873a…
05-13 16:58:27	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x7283ac…
05-13 16:58:20	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xda2e88…
05-12 16:08:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x938757…
05-12 16:00:34	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xef1653…
05-12 15:59:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x54f29a…
05-12 15:53:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcbefa3…
05-12 15:51:17	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcc42db…
05-12 15:42:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x58fc41…
05-12 15:41:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0xbdcf18…
05-08 09:46:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x6b2d9d…
05-07 16:52:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9ad513…