Realized P&L
-$2.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$179
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
572
Trades
5,024
lifetime
Volume
$108.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 11-07 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Politics
51% 73% -$1,715
Other
38% 79% -$583
Crypto
5% 77% -$176
Sports
4% 78% -$8
Tech
3% 75% -$48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +310 $265 99¢ $306 +$41 11-05 22:04
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +284 $273 99¢ $280 +$7 11-04 19:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +300 $270 90¢ $269 -$1 11-05 06:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +260 $243 96¢ $248 +$6 11-05 11:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +310 $242 72¢ $225 -$17 11-05 21:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +260 $160 64¢ $168 +$7 11-04 22:54
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +160 $110 78¢ $126 +$15 11-05 23:33
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +200 $122 60¢ $119 -$3 11-06 23:09
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,730 -$147 6¢ $-101 +$46 07-28 11:34
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +120 $94 84¢ $100 +$6 11-04 20:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +260 $105 34¢ $89 -$16 11-05 18:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +230 $96 37¢ $86 -$10 11-07 13:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +100 $88 84¢ $84 -$3 11-04 19:45
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +97 $76 87¢ $84 +$9 09-22 17:53
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,500 -$84 5¢ $-79 +$5 07-28 11:35
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +70 $65 99¢ $69 +$4 11-04 19:18
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +60 $42 86¢ $52 +$10 11-05 15:34
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,330 -$70 4¢ $-47 +$22 07-29 12:59
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +50 $43 92¢ $46 +$3 09-21 22:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +30 $7 97¢ $29 +$22 09-02 23:13
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -25 -$22 98¢ $-24 -$2 04-29 18:22
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -80 -$11 26¢ $-21 -$10 07-28 11:34
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -850 -$21 2¢ $-21 +$0 07-28 11:36
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 11-02 00:20
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +20 $17 93¢ $19 +$2 09-22 09:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +80 $29 22¢ $17 -$12 09-11 23:43
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +20 $17 86¢ $17 $0 09-11 23:05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -150 -$29 11¢ $-16 +$13 07-28 11:34
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +20 $16 77¢ $15 $0 09-07 10:24
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +13 -$20 99¢ $13 +$33 11-06 06:41