Warmhearted-Chalice 0x449c74…20879e
new 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$278
Unrealized P&L
-$968
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
24
24 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$6.71K
$6.71K lifetime
Avg / trade
$279
Open exposure
$4.13K
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-10 19:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
95% 100% +$278
Other
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +9,000 $2,520 18¢ $1.6K $-945 05-10 19:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1,331 $645 57¢ $759 +$114 05-08 07:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +655 $498 74¢ $481 $-16 05-07 21:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes -991 $-347 40¢ $-392 $-45 05-10 18:16
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? Yes +462 $435 84¢ $388 $-46 05-07 15:01
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes -215 $-197 91¢ $-195 +$2 05-06 12:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes +1,476 $310 12¢ $170 $-140 05-10 19:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -114 $-88 62¢ $-71 +$17 05-06 12:22
Will Trump visit China by May 31? No -10,226 $-389 1¢ $-56 +$333 05-06 18:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +2,000 $274 2¢ $35 $-239 05-09 21:09
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? No +6 $5 73¢ $4 $-1 05-08 08:15