Informal-Futon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$235

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 07-31 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-0

Politics

36% 0% $-0

Crypto

13% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-25 06:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 03:10
will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-07 04:50
Iran Nuke before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 08:10
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	05-30 01:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-31 06:54
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 02:39
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 08:08
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-16 03:09
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-13 02:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 02:48
will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 03:19
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 04:03
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 03:04
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 03:51
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 06:33
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-14 06:06
will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-21 07:43
Over $800M crypto hack value in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 04:49
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-18 06:36
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-21 04:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-27 04:27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	07-20 08:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 04:30
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 03:52
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-30 07:07
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-30 08:47
world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-29 09:02
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-26 07:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 06:55:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x002ec6…
07-31 06:54:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x29a1ca…
07-31 06:41:41	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x65facc…
07-31 06:39:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xad6382…
07-30 08:47:38	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeb5515…
07-30 08:47:24	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3c2473…
07-30 08:34:32	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1c800…
07-30 08:32:06	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe12023…
07-27 08:47:00	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x475ae1…
07-27 08:46:01	mstr quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 5pt01	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc46c68…
07-27 08:00:00	mstr quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 5pt01	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d3a54…
07-27 07:58:49	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8ae9e6…
07-25 06:12:10	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3a572b…
07-25 03:37:12	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x99764b…
07-25 03:36:00	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x48f780…
07-24 07:54:04	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325083	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4d4ad9…
07-24 07:53:37	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x70ba32…
07-24 07:39:36	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4d5bf9…
07-24 07:39:04	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325083	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x576aca…
07-23 09:44:42	will jio platforms ipo by august 31 2026 20260629175908107	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x9164ef…
07-23 09:43:39	will xrp reach 1pt8 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x473d8d…
07-23 09:42:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x688a18…
07-23 09:10:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x43cc0b…
07-23 09:09:06	will xrp reach 1pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc8949…
07-22 08:53:00	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x05518a…
07-22 08:52:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe2bd70…
07-22 08:41:00	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x798490…
07-22 08:39:48	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x505b34…
07-21 07:43:39	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x345de0…
07-21 07:43:06	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3854ff…
07-21 07:33:25	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb06f33…
07-21 07:32:16	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f7cd9…
07-20 08:59:27	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa37202…
07-20 08:58:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x57aa08…
07-20 08:48:31	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdc4661…
07-20 08:47:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbecb3b…
07-18 08:08:57	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5579ef…
07-18 08:08:18	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc99f10…
07-18 07:53:33	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xafbb04…
07-18 07:52:25	will jio platforms ipo by july 31 2026 20260629175908106	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xf5719e…
07-18 07:51:00	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7b4db…
07-16 03:09:41	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6907d6…
07-16 03:03:04	will jio platforms ipo by july 31 2026 20260629175908106	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4e7796…
07-16 03:00:38	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x244271…
07-15 08:01:17	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3320ab…
07-15 08:00:56	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7f0059…
07-15 07:48:38	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x04375f…
07-15 07:45:53	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc05b7b…
07-14 06:06:43	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x55544d…
07-14 04:45:31	will jio platforms ipo by august 31 2026 20260629175908107	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe1c959…
07-14 04:44:43	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x450c2a…
07-13 09:00:52	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x971ba8…
07-13 09:00:22	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x47d2ad…
07-13 08:49:43	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67e332…
07-13 08:49:08	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0ee643…
07-11 08:10:23	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x873572…
07-11 08:02:55	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x20fb10…
07-10 07:17:08	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x17a9d6…
07-10 07:16:29	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x48005f…
07-10 07:04:13	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa8187f…
07-10 07:03:22	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbf1c2b…
07-09 03:14:25	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x92b47a…
07-09 03:06:19	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf847e3…
07-08 06:30:35	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe17ec1…
07-08 06:29:37	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x140dcf…
07-08 06:20:19	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd32a0f…
07-08 06:19:16	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcab0de…
07-07 04:51:07	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5ed2c7…
07-07 04:50:35	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0e16df…
07-07 04:44:16	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x48bfe2…
07-07 04:43:44	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xab4c9e…
07-06 07:36:08	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1cbfc2…
07-06 07:35:34	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x335967…
07-06 07:22:59	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x592bd3…
07-06 07:22:23	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x093034…
07-04 04:34:26	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa974cd…
07-04 04:22:40	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb46c6f…
07-03 07:26:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5baa9e…
07-03 07:26:10	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xff3c5e…
07-03 07:17:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1777c6…
07-03 07:17:02	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf9af90…
07-03 07:16:56	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbbd67f…
07-02 06:58:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9e51a4…
07-02 06:52:49	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x02a34d…
07-01 03:33:52	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x168c74…
07-01 03:32:53	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbafe31…
07-01 03:28:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc56d7c…
07-01 03:26:34	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x541925…
06-30 07:08:05	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeb8534…
06-30 07:07:23	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7bac2a…
06-30 07:01:25	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9bc7e…
06-30 06:59:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe62b60…
06-29 09:03:52	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x001d07…
06-29 09:02:47	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0de67a…
06-29 08:51:49	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ef4e5…
06-29 08:46:10	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x32554f…
06-27 04:28:04	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1d35dc…
06-27 04:27:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc270c2…
06-27 04:21:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf7ac07…
06-27 04:20:22	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x653baa…