Alert-Industrialization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

Trades

532

lifetime

Volume

$9.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 08-11 11:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

33% — —

Other

31% 100% +$58

Sports

27% — —

Crypto

8% 58% $-24

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	10	$370	210	210	+0	open	—	08-02 19:53
will 9 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949028	11	$273	245	122	+122	open	—	07-19 21:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$271	188	188	+0	open	—	06-01 17:00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	18	$261	8,432	0	+8,432	open	—	05-21 14:33
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$252	183	183	+0	open	—	05-16 02:29
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$222	43,674	0	+43,674	open	—	05-21 14:52
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	2	$222	122	122	+0	open	—	05-08 21:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$220	162	165	-3	open	—	06-17 18:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$218	119	119	+0	open	—	05-11 13:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$195	121	121	+0	open	—	06-01 07:47
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	4	$177	150	37	+112	open	—	07-27 18:41
world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	5	$172	178	90	+88	open	—	07-21 15:34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	7	$165	99	99	+0	open	—	08-01 15:19
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	6	$160	220	165	+55	open	—	08-04 13:30
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$146	1,934	0	+1,934	open	—	05-19 00:03
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	6	$145	370	230	+140	open	—	08-02 02:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$133	73	73	+0	open	—	05-31 19:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$124	150	0	+150	open	—	08-08 13:44
will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	8	$122	142	142	+0	open	—	07-19 21:43
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	7	$122	176	176	+0	open	—	07-30 22:06
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$118	93	93	+0	open	—	07-07 23:46
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	3	$105	60	60	+0	open	—	07-15 20:18
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	4	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	06-29 16:59
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$103	65	65	+0	open	—	05-15 14:28
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$103	62	62	+0	open	—	05-15 17:27
ebola pandemic in 2026	2	$101	55	55	+0	open	—	06-11 01:00
will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	07-04 11:44
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	4	$98	100	50	+50	open	—	08-03 13:06
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	1	$92	100	0	+100	open	—	07-20 16:04
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	3	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	08-03 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:07:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x5e7360…
08-08 13:44:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0xbf93e7…
08-08 00:29:54	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xbb9373…
08-07 23:34:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x0b0183…
08-04 13:30:08	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	55	50¢	$28	0x8a2fa6…
08-03 20:44:20	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x27d403…
08-03 20:41:30	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x4ddf62…
08-03 13:06:03	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	35	73¢	$26	0x57d889…
08-03 09:58:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	34	43¢	$15	0x08e795…
08-03 09:53:51	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	76	43¢	$32	0x30dda8…
08-03 01:52:21	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xeaa2c0…
08-02 22:55:41	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x2c7bac…
08-02 22:32:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x906773…
08-02 22:31:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x7b6e79…
08-02 20:12:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x46a1ac…
08-02 19:53:50	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0x7a6f65…
08-02 15:45:53	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	18	48¢	$8	0x2d6147…
08-02 02:17:53	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x4019bc…
08-02 01:47:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xe525b1…
08-02 01:44:59	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x561372…
08-02 01:36:50	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x10663a…
08-01 15:46:17	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xefc3d5…
08-01 15:39:23	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xcfe059…
08-01 15:39:21	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	13	81¢	$11	0x0fae86…
08-01 15:24:23	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0xe7d3ee…
08-01 15:24:21	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x01bf60…
08-01 15:24:20	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x83dd42…
08-01 15:24:14	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa4f0ab…
08-01 15:22:35	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2c1450…
08-01 15:22:27	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	75	78¢	$58	0x709324…
08-01 15:19:48	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	74	86¢	$64	0x4e074f…
08-01 15:18:05	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0x4def80…
08-01 15:02:36	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	49	75¢	$37	0x438c8c…
08-01 14:58:59	Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	No	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0xe3e420…
08-01 14:58:33	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	23	76¢	$17	0x360cab…
08-01 14:58:14	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xd726ad…
08-01 10:55:39	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xaf3880…
07-31 21:02:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0xd04169…
07-31 20:13:39	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x0576f5…
07-31 20:04:26	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	107	38¢	$41	0xc6762b…
07-31 20:04:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x39be54…
07-31 20:04:14	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfde493…
07-30 22:06:12	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	173	3¢	$5	0x1ebb34…
07-30 22:06:11	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x46a13c…
07-30 21:33:24	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x6f4fba…
07-30 21:30:56	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x95c644…
07-30 20:33:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	150	77¢	$116	0xf112b1…
07-30 20:16:14	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x82a904…
07-30 19:59:26	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x4c241a…
07-30 19:58:32	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0x89123f…
07-30 11:02:38	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	57	40¢	$23	0x608d95…
07-30 11:02:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xd95752…
07-29 13:05:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb3f1ea…
07-29 11:47:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x284f8f…
07-28 15:33:22	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xccfdf8…
07-28 10:45:05	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0x9e39ae…
07-28 07:44:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xf5229b…
07-27 18:56:52	bul pcs bot 2026 07 27 corners first half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x4d0067…
07-27 18:41:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	37	95¢	$36	0x715d9c…
07-27 18:36:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6b4657…
07-27 18:35:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	80	94¢	$75	0x416f09…
07-27 18:34:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x3bbe2c…
07-26 16:27:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x071a8b…
07-26 05:40:34	SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	No	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x03d4f9…
07-25 08:48:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x9da44f…
07-21 15:34:09	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	SELL	90	90¢	$81	0xe466dd…
07-21 11:02:15	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xb4e596…
07-21 04:58:12	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcc00f3…
07-21 03:41:19	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xccb353…
07-21 03:21:49	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x116410…
07-20 16:04:48	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x4308db…
07-20 14:40:15	SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf621bf…
07-20 04:43:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x7e2112…
07-20 01:44:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x01bdfb…
07-20 01:42:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x2cb5eb…
07-20 01:18:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf1797c…
07-20 01:10:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e4904…
07-20 01:09:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	44	1¢	$1	0xab4b65…
07-20 01:09:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x88e10d…
07-20 01:09:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe6c9c9…
07-20 01:09:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x48cd93…
07-20 01:09:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xca0200…
07-20 01:08:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9da3a8…
07-20 01:08:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x497202…
07-20 01:08:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3420d0…
07-20 00:11:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x3ee3a4…
07-20 00:05:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x48bc57…
07-19 23:44:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x8c7e52…
07-19 23:44:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2d95f2…
07-19 23:31:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x444d4f…
07-19 23:23:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x4e54b4…
07-19 23:12:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x0c417c…
07-19 22:47:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xa8f3d5…
07-19 22:01:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x561cba…
07-19 21:53:48	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xc23ec2…
07-19 21:43:06	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	SELL	142	17¢	$25	0x248f58…
07-19 21:40:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x20f73f…
07-19 21:07:31	will 9 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949028	Yes	SELL	42	80¢	$34	0xbd111c…
07-19 21:07:28	will 9 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949028	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xd8029b…
07-19 21:07:28	will 9 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949028	Yes	SELL	73	80¢	$58	0x1d68ae…