Long-Strawberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.7%

Resolved

158

Trades

481

lifetime

Volume

$474

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-31 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

60% 15% -$5

Politics

28% 10% -$1

Crypto

8% 20% -$1

Sports

3% 20% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	27	$27	24	24	+0	No	-$1	02-10 03:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	12	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-21 03:10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-25 06:12
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-20 08:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	04-24 02:48
will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	7	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-07 04:50
Iran Nuke before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 08:10
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-30 01:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-27 04:26
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 02:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-06 03:04
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-16 03:09
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 07:30
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-13 02:18
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	01-31 06:39
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-30 07:07
will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-24 03:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-31 06:55
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-21 04:48
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-18 03:13
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-25 02:53
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-23 04:04
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-12 08:25
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-21 10:32
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-13 08:35
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-09 03:56
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-17 03:51
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-08 06:30
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-07 08:49
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-14 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 06:55:41	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x60f54a…
07-31 06:55:00	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x664ce4…
07-31 06:41:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe3b039…
07-31 06:39:57	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf74cf6…
07-30 08:47:41	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x84bf67…
07-30 08:47:20	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xadf06a…
07-30 08:34:42	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd84abb…
07-30 08:32:14	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3a72fb…
07-29 07:31:54	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x77e217…
07-29 07:31:05	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2f68fb…
07-29 07:12:57	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e2a9e…
07-29 07:11:57	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5062e9…
07-28 08:28:06	Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #2 song this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x353522…
07-28 08:10:55	Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #2 song this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49ffe9…
07-27 08:47:09	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd6b807…
07-27 08:46:06	mstr quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 5pt01	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc3c158…
07-27 08:00:03	mstr quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 5pt01	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf96515…
07-27 07:58:54	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x148628…
07-25 06:12:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1d9db0…
07-25 03:37:15	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6f3ac0…
07-25 03:36:01	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41b131…
07-24 07:54:07	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325083	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ff2df…
07-24 07:53:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x808ee3…
07-24 07:39:43	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf90e8d…
07-24 07:39:09	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325083	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba120f…
07-23 09:43:42	will jio platforms ipo by august 31 2026 20260629175908107	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x2feaca…
07-23 09:42:45	will xrp reach 1pt8 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x229455…
07-23 09:09:09	will xrp reach 1pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0004a8…
07-22 08:52:13	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb4eff6…
07-22 08:39:54	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7343b…
07-21 07:43:16	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2ff155…
07-21 07:32:25	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f0f0a…
07-20 08:58:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6deeb2…
07-20 08:47:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2d2825…
07-18 08:08:25	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2506f6…
07-18 07:52:31	will jio platforms ipo by july 31 2026 20260629175908106	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x563003…
07-18 07:50:36	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x29c3dd…
07-17 04:48:07	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x54acb1…
07-17 04:31:12	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2baabd…
07-16 03:09:44	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfbf34b…
07-16 03:03:10	will jio platforms ipo by july 31 2026 20260629175908106	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x87aebe…
07-16 03:01:11	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd2e251…
07-15 08:01:25	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0d2980…
07-15 08:00:58	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3d3c63…
07-15 07:48:43	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e97a4…
07-15 07:46:02	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x37b490…
07-14 06:06:52	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa89d63…
07-14 04:45:44	will jio platforms ipo by august 31 2026 20260629175908107	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9b218b…
07-14 04:44:43	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0e80c…
07-13 09:01:26	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf6e757…
07-13 09:00:31	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x350437…
07-13 08:49:49	over 2m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325641	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x440d56…
07-13 08:49:19	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3690da…
07-11 08:10:58	Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x860c6a…
07-11 08:10:25	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x92abd6…
07-11 08:04:56	Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x613fa7…
07-11 08:02:59	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x98ee0d…
07-10 07:17:10	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0dee26…
07-10 07:16:32	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x14cd18…
07-10 07:04:14	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa63e11…
07-10 07:03:22	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe79a3a…
07-09 03:16:58	Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x06efcf…
07-09 03:14:25	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x73a625…
07-09 03:07:29	Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x215969…
07-09 03:06:52	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x188c91…
07-08 06:30:35	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x271131…
07-08 06:29:40	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb070ad…
07-08 06:20:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xafc01a…
07-08 06:19:17	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xff1a56…
07-07 04:51:11	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfc8d39…
07-07 04:50:40	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x362d50…
07-07 04:44:17	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xef0bab…
07-07 04:43:47	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x00a379…
07-06 07:36:11	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3b578b…
07-06 07:35:37	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4262cc…
07-06 07:22:59	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x81cefd…
07-06 07:22:23	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x17d4c4…
07-04 04:34:55	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 11?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x28a5be…
07-04 04:34:26	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x263670…
07-04 04:26:14	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 11?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b4b36…
07-04 04:22:47	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x89f851…
07-03 07:26:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9e27e0…
07-03 07:26:11	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x400e59…
07-03 07:17:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaaf1a6…
07-03 07:17:04	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4bd55d…
07-03 07:16:58	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x044502…
07-02 06:59:52	Will "Choosin’ Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song in the US this week?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa5f011…
07-02 06:58:52	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc36efe…
07-02 06:52:50	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x09e594…
07-02 06:52:13	Will "Choosin’ Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song in the US this week?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x01ea8a…
07-01 03:33:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5a89cb…
07-01 03:33:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6a2e0a…
07-01 03:28:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2ee314…
07-01 03:26:38	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0fb6d9…
06-30 07:08:05	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x955d0f…
06-30 07:07:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfe0417…
06-30 07:01:26	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28c324…
06-30 06:59:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f4ceb…
06-29 09:03:52	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdbd6d5…
06-29 09:02:50	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc07616…