Untimely-Mangrove 0x49b2f4…034aee
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.95K
Unrealized P&L
+$440
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved (90d)
49
Trades (90d)
86
516 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$15.8K
$57.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$3.93K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-29 23:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
90% 46% +$1,752
Politics
7% 100% +$565
Sports
3% 43% -$333
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,029 $1,628 82¢ $1.7K +$36 10-29 23:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +665 $600 96¢ $639 +$39 08-28 22:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +510 $46 92¢ $467 +$421 10-13 19:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -300 -$194 94¢ $-284 -$90 10-29 23:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $219 90¢ $268 +$50 08-30 22:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +300 $234 86¢ $260 +$26 09-09 20:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +177 $138 82¢ $144 +$6 09-09 20:53
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +611 $50 15¢ $93 +$42 09-10 01:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +200 $152 30¢ $61 -$91 09-27 17:01
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +58 $54 94¢ $55 +$1 09-21 13:45