Untimely-Mangrove 0x49b2f4…034aee
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$415
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved
222
Trades
513
lifetime
Volume
$56.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$109
Open exposure
$3.89K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-25 19:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
90% 46% +$1,752
Politics
6% 100% +$565
Sports
4% 43% -$333
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,429 $1,142 80¢ $1.2K +$8 08-27 19:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -800 -$664 94¢ $-752 -$88 05-09 20:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +665 $600 96¢ $639 +$39 08-28 22:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +510 $46 92¢ $467 +$421 10-13 19:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $219 88¢ $266 +$46 08-30 22:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +300 $234 84¢ $254 +$20 09-09 20:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +177 $138 83¢ $147 +$9 09-09 20:53
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +611 $50 15¢ $94 +$44 09-10 01:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +200 $152 33¢ $66 -$86 09-27 17:01
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +58 $54 94¢ $55 +$1 09-21 13:45