Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$684
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
1
529 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$64
$58.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$4.74K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 11-13 00:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
90% 47% +$2,106
Politics
7% 100% +$565
Sports
4% 50% -$234
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,029 $1,628 92¢ $1.9K +$249 10-29 23:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +665 $600 98¢ $653 +$53 08-28 22:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +510 $46 89¢ $454 +$408 10-13 19:02
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No +326 $313 99¢ $322 +$9 09-24 19:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -300 -$194 97¢ $-292 -$98 10-29 23:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +300 $219 94¢ $284 +$64 08-30 22:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +300 $234 90¢ $268 +$34 09-09 20:54
Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana? Yes +352 $171 55¢ $195 +$24 11-06 03:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +177 $138 90¢ $159 +$20 09-09 20:53
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +611 $50 13¢ $82 +$31 09-10 01:19
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? No +73 $64 88¢ $64 +$0 11-13 00:32
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +58 $54 97¢ $57 +$3 09-21 13:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +200 $152 18¢ $37 -$115 09-27 17:01