(anonymous) 0x4af2bd…f13e4e
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Realized P&L
-$278
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
8.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,501
lifetime
Volume
$8.94K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$159
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 07-05 05:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $-296
Other
48% 100% +$18
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -79 $-74 94¢ $-75 $-1 07-05 05:58
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No -15 $-13 97¢ $-14 $-1 06-19 12:22
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -23 $-24 54¢ $-12 +$12 07-05 05:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -15 $-10 74¢ $-11 $-1 07-01 13:55
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +21 $1 46¢ $10 +$9 07-04 12:04
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-8 26¢ $-8 +$0 06-26 09:10
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-03 05:28
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $7 17¢ $5 $-2 06-08 09:10
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +4 $3 86¢ $4 +$0 07-02 08:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 68¢ $3 +$2 06-06 19:01
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $5 16¢ $3 $-2 06-27 18:06
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $2 20¢ $3 +$0 06-24 16:46
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $-3 44¢ $2 +$4 07-02 19:32
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-05 22:49
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 06-28 15:30
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-1 57¢ $-2 $-0 07-02 13:36
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +0 $-0 39¢ $0 +$0 06-19 20:17