(anonymous) 0x4af2bd…f13e4e
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Realized P&L
-$278
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
8.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,060
lifetime
Volume
$7.77K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$187
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 06-09 16:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
53% 0% $-296
Other
47% 100% +$18
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -36 $-25 91¢ $-33 $-8 06-05 18:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +35 $20 77¢ $27 +$6 06-09 16:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +23 $17 88¢ $20 +$3 06-07 20:48
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No -19 $-17 88¢ $-17 $-0 06-04 05:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -19 $-13 69¢ $-13 $-0 06-07 18:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +14 $13 94¢ $13 +$0 06-08 14:05
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $10 37¢ $10 +$0 06-08 14:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 06-07 21:23
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +7 $3 100¢ $7 +$4 06-07 19:51
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $7 22¢ $6 $-0 06-08 09:10
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +7 $6 84¢ $6 $-0 06-01 07:49
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-03 05:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -5 $-4 80¢ $-4 $-0 06-05 11:47
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 05-28 07:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$1 06-03 23:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 40¢ $2 +$0 06-06 19:01
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-05 22:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-1 64¢ $-1 +$0 06-08 20:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-02 14:39
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 +$0 06-07 07:42
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +5 $2 24¢ $1 $-0 06-05 13:36
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -6 $-2 19¢ $-1 +$1 05-29 07:56
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? Yes -5 $-1 13¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 07:34
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes -3 $-1 19¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 09:54