Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
65.9%
Resolved
263
Trades
1,672
lifetime
Volume
$9.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$112
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 09-18 11:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Politics
51% 51% -$316
Other
48% 50% +$277
Crypto
0% 75% +$36
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -79 -$74 96¢ $-75 -$2 07-05 05:58
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $14 26¢ $7 -$8 06-26 09:10
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$0 06-03 05:28
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +4 $1 92¢ $4 +$3 06-25 13:36
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +4 $3 94¢ $4 +$1 07-02 08:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +29 $4 11¢ $3 -$1 06-09 02:37
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -92 -$4 3¢ $-3 +$1 09-16 05:53
will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31 No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$1 07-04 08:24
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-05 22:49
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 Yes +17 $2 11¢ $2 $0 07-03 18:20
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-28 15:30
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $5 5¢ $1 -$4 06-27 18:06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 05-05 13:35
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31 Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 $0 06-18 10:03
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 -$3 7¢ $0 +$3 07-02 19:32
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 06-19 20:17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +0 -$1 92¢ $0 +$1 07-05 05:59