(anonymous) 0x4af2bd…f13e4e
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Realized P&L
-$278
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
8.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,446
lifetime
Volume
$8.57K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$178
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 06-30 10:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-296
Other
49% 100% +$18
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -36 $-25 99¢ $-36 $-11 06-05 18:02
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +49 $12 35¢ $17 +$5 06-29 12:19
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +18 $16 86¢ $16 $-0 06-28 13:10
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -22 $-23 65¢ $-14 +$9 06-25 15:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -19 $-13 75¢ $-14 $-1 06-07 18:06
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No -15 $-13 90¢ $-13 $-0 06-19 12:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +9 $-0 100¢ $9 +$9 06-13 21:19
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-8 29¢ $-9 $-1 06-26 09:10
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $7 26¢ $7 +$1 06-08 09:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +7 $4 100¢ $7 +$3 06-14 22:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +7 $2 100¢ $7 +$6 06-13 16:06
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-03 05:28
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $5 26¢ $5 $-0 06-27 18:06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +4 $3 86¢ $4 +$0 06-24 15:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 06-12 08:12
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $2 18¢ $2 +$0 06-24 16:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 36¢ $2 $-0 06-06 19:01
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 91¢ $2 +$0 06-05 22:49
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 $-0 06-28 15:30
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 62¢ $-2 $-0 06-27 12:35
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes -28 $-8 2¢ $-1 +$7 06-18 07:27
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-4 50¢ $1 +$5 06-23 04:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$1 06-13 00:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -7 $-2 3¢ $-0 +$2 06-12 21:50
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +0 $-0 50¢ $0 +$0 06-19 20:17
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? Yes -15 $-2 1¢ $-0 +$2 06-17 11:54
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes -4 $1 3¢ $-0 $-1 06-29 15:35
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes -3 $-1 2¢ $-0 +$1 06-04 09:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +0 $-1 97¢ $0 +$1 06-25 19:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-19 19:05