(anonymous) 0x4af2bd…f13e4e Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
1,672 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$9.51K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$111
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 09-18 11:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Politics
51% 52% -$308
Other
48% 50% +$277
Crypto
0% 75% +$36
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -79 -$74 98¢ $-77 -$3 07-05 05:58
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 06-03 05:28
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +4 $1 94¢ $4 +$3 06-25 13:36
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +4 $3 97¢ $4 +$1 07-02 08:37
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $14 16¢ $4 -$10 06-26 09:10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +29 $4 8¢ $2 -$2 06-09 02:37
will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31 No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 07-04 08:24
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31 Yes +10 $4 18¢ $2 -$2 06-08 06:53
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-05 22:49
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 06-28 15:30
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31 Yes +3 $1 64¢ $2 +$1 06-18 10:03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -92 -$4 2¢ $-2 +$2 09-16 05:53
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 05-05 13:35
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 Yes +17 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 07-03 18:20
us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31 Yes +7 $1 8¢ $1 -$1 06-18 14:49
will russia enter pokrovskoe by december 31 2026 Yes +7 $3 6¢ $0 -$3 07-03 09:31
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 06-27 18:06
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 -$3 6¢ $0 +$3 07-02 19:32
will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026 Yes +3 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 06-26 16:56
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +0 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 06-19 20:17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +0 -$1 96¢ $0 +$1 07-05 05:59