Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
3
Trades
113
lifetime
Volume
$381
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$86
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 06-04 11:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
41% 100% +$2
Other
38% 0% $-0
Crypto
14%
Tech
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -20 $-16 86¢ $-17 $-0 06-04 07:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 06-04 07:43
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-04 11:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +9 $8 99¢ $9 +$1 06-04 11:17
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -8 $-8 99¢ $-8 $-1 06-04 07:11
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -7 $-5 86¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 07:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-03 14:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +8 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 06-04 07:43
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-04 07:11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 86¢ $5 $-0 06-04 07:43
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-04 07:12