(anonymous) 0x54421d…751f90
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Realized P&L
+$60
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
259
Trades
2,854
lifetime
Volume
$6.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$43
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 05-21 02:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
70% 50% +$21
Other
26% 63% +$39
Sports
2% 69% +$11
Tech
1% 43% -$6
Crypto
1% 50% -$5
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 90¢ $7 +$2 05-18 22:55
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -7 -$6 92¢ $-7 -$1 05-06 09:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -9 -$6 66¢ $-6 $0 05-06 09:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 05-16 06:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-12 16:46
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -6 -$4 84¢ $-5 -$1 05-06 09:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2 -$1 86¢ $-2 -$1 05-11 01:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -12 -$3 16¢ $-2 +$1 05-04 23:41
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -2 -$1 98¢ $-1 -$1 05-06 09:21
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +26 $5 5¢ $1 -$4 05-09 18:31
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes +26 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 05-09 18:30