Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
79
Trades
135
lifetime
Volume
$269
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$15
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 10-26 05:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Sports
48% 45% +$3
Politics
28% 55% +$2
Other
24% 57% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -26 -$7 28¢ $-7 -$1 10-22 00:46
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 05-11 04:39
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 06-10 15:56
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 06-10 15:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-22 01:04
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3 -$1 38¢ $-1 +$0 10-22 00:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4 $1 17¢ $1 $0 05-01 23:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -3 -$1 16¢ $-0 +$1 05-11 04:37
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +4 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 05-25 04:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-04 18:19
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +16 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 09-02 22:12