Realized P&L
-$120
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
47.7%
Resolved
10
Trades
449
lifetime
Volume
$16.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$10.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 08:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66%
Other
32% 70% $-120
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? No +1,885 $1,851 98¢ $1.9K +$3 05-06 07:36
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes +2,045 $1,794 88¢ $1.8K +$16 05-06 07:36
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? No +1,331 $939 72¢ $951 +$12 05-06 07:36
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026? No +851 $848 100¢ $850 +$1 05-06 01:44
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026? No +630 $629 100¢ $629 $-1 05-06 07:31
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +439 $438 99¢ $435 $-3 05-05 04:10
Will Trump visit China by May 8? No +330 $330 100¢ $330 +$0 05-05 10:36
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? No +324 $323 100¢ $323 +$0 05-06 05:09
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? No +752 $332 38¢ $282 $-50 05-06 01:44
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 69 million views on day 4? No +206 $204 100¢ $206 +$1 05-05 18:31
Will MrBeast's video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4? No +206 $198 100¢ $205 +$7 05-05 18:31
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No +202 $199 98¢ $199 +$0 05-05 07:31
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No +202 $192 95¢ $192 +$1 05-05 07:31
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +190 $189 99¢ $188 $-1 05-05 20:34
Will Trump visit China by May 31? Yes +200 $186 92¢ $185 $-1 05-06 01:44
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +150 $103 99¢ $149 +$46 05-05 18:36
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No +202 $147 73¢ $148 +$1 05-05 07:31
Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +117 $117 99¢ $116 $-0 05-05 02:09
Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +117 $117 99¢ $116 $-1 05-05 02:09
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +117 $116 99¢ $116 $-0 05-05 02:09
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +117 $116 99¢ $115 $-0 05-05 02:09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? No +209 $108 55¢ $115 +$7 05-06 05:09
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +117 $113 97¢ $114 +$0 05-05 02:09
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +117 $113 96¢ $112 $-1 05-05 02:09
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +117 $114 96¢ $112 $-2 05-05 02:09
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +117 $115 92¢ $108 $-7 05-05 02:09
Will Park Seong-hoon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? No +106 $106 100¢ $106 $-0 05-06 03:09
Will Park Jae-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? No +106 $106 100¢ $106 $-0 05-06 03:09
Will Kim Young-choon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? No +106 $106 100¢ $106 $-0 05-06 03:09
Will Cho Kyoung-tae win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? No +106 $106 100¢ $106 $-0 05-06 03:09