Hospitable-Skullcap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$201

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$48

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-22 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-3

Politics

31% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	-87	$-57	55¢	$-48	+$9	06-20 08:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	+48	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-20 22:35
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	+50	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	06-20 22:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$57	0	87	-87	open	—	06-20 08:16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$13	8,050	0	+8,050	open	—	04-22 19:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-16 08:18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$8	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	04-22 19:52
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	2	$6	122	0	+122	open	—	04-28 16:18
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	1,013	0	+1,013	open	—	04-16 13:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	04-16 08:19
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	71	0	+71	open	—	04-16 08:14
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	146	0	+146	open	—	04-16 13:09
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	1	$5	167	0	+167	open	—	04-16 08:50
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$4	80	0	+80	open	—	04-16 12:13
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	2	$4	26	0	+26	open	—	04-23 10:15
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 19:51
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	1,547	0	+1,547	open	—	04-16 13:10
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	750	0	+750	open	—	04-16 13:07
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	503	0	+503	open	—	04-16 13:10
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$3	204	0	+204	open	—	05-16 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 16:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	167	0	+167	open	—	06-20 22:21
bitcoin above 74k on april 23	1	$2	250	0	+250	open	—	04-23 05:59
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	2	$2	100	0	+100	open	—	06-21 21:49
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	1	$2	400	0	+400	open	—	04-22 21:29
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	1	$2	38	0	+38	open	—	04-22 21:28
Will BNB dip to $400 in April?	1	$2	251	0	+251	open	—	04-22 21:25
Will Solana reach $110 in April?	1	$2	57	0	+57	open	—	04-22 21:15
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	28	0	+28	open	—	04-22 20:54
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	1	$2	200	0	+200	open	—	06-20 22:22
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	1	$2	133	0	+133	open	—	04-22 21:29
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	50	0	+50	open	—	06-20 22:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	1	$2	51	0	+51	open	—	06-20 22:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 06:58:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x8f4ca0…
06-22 06:50:35	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	No	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xd9dd85…
06-21 22:19:05	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xe482a8…
06-21 21:49:22	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe4756c…
06-21 21:48:29	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4f92f0…
06-20 22:35:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x3978e1…
06-20 22:28:16	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x47a9d5…
06-20 22:22:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5d5abb…
06-20 22:21:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x60f4f4…
06-20 22:18:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xefce21…
06-20 08:16:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	65¢	$57	0x6227ff…
06-11 20:37:10	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x63c77b…
05-16 18:57:14	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x30398c…
05-16 18:53:37	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc23746…
05-15 03:28:38	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x05b338…
05-15 03:26:09	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x024399…
05-14 20:48:40	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x2a8223…
05-14 19:51:06	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xf3e8d1…
05-13 20:36:59	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc34335…
05-13 20:32:49	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4fb4b0…
05-13 20:30:33	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xede8b9…
05-13 20:29:31	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x611b1c…
05-13 19:10:11	Cordoba: Ryan Dickerson vs Nicolas Kicker	Ryan Dickerson	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd3fa06…
05-13 18:24:17	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x762474…
04-30 16:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5008c0…
04-30 16:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1f48bd…
04-30 16:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x250c8c…
04-28 16:38:12	Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x715b64…
04-28 16:36:50	Will Trump say "Windsor" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xcb194e…
04-28 16:18:14	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x10c67a…
04-23 10:15:00	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x272e1d…
04-23 05:59:38	bitcoin above 74k on april 23	No	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x589fd3…
04-23 05:58:00	bitcoin above 80k on april 23	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xbccaa7…
04-22 21:29:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xc37017…
04-22 21:29:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0xa6844e…
04-22 21:28:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x49f762…
04-22 21:25:06	Will BNB dip to $400 in April?	Yes	BUY	251	1¢	$2	0x05b429…
04-22 21:22:14	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x47eced…
04-22 21:20:04	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5263a6…
04-22 21:15:54	Will Solana reach $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0xec74b5…
04-22 21:15:10	Will Solana dip to $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x1d10f6…
04-22 20:58:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xb9be61…
04-22 20:55:42	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7b5dea…
04-22 20:54:20	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xeeb8f6…
04-22 20:50:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x481837…
04-22 19:52:42	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x267dab…
04-22 19:51:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x62dd57…
04-22 18:17:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x9da8dd…
04-22 18:16:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x578c86…
04-22 18:15:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x02fffb…
04-22 18:10:28	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x7c4c85…
04-22 18:09:54	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x0c61ce…
04-16 21:39:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xde2550…
04-16 13:13:20	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x117792…
04-16 13:10:44	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	503	1¢	$3	0xb56fa7…
04-16 13:10:00	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,547	0¢	$3	0x577fa8…
04-16 13:09:22	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0x0909f5…
04-16 13:07:38	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xa4918e…
04-16 13:06:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,013	0¢	$5	0xdf7d41…
04-16 12:13:56	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x98cf19…
04-16 08:50:54	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xcc565b…
04-16 08:24:28	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x26e6c2…
04-16 08:19:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x151dfe…
04-16 08:18:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x08016b…
04-16 08:17:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2c25fb…
04-16 08:14:42	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9ed278…