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Realized P&L (90d)
-$341
Unrealized P&L
-$145
Hit rate
44.3%
Resolved (90d)
187
Trades (90d)
330
1,791 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.41K
$60.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$249
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-08 12:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Other
72% 60% +$890
Politics
19% 86% +$3,784
Sports
9% 69% +$250
Tech
0% 0% -$30
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +789 $92 11¢ $83 -$8 09-06 17:12
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? Yes +32 $27 82¢ $26 -$1 11-02 16:45
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election? Yes +129 $15 12¢ $15 $0 11-01 07:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $12 14¢ $14 +$3 08-10 16:32
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes -278 -$27 4¢ $-11 +$16 06-21 13:49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +417 $100 2¢ $10 -$90 05-20 18:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -565 $1 2¢ $-10 -$11 06-11 15:22
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +12 $5 70¢ $9 +$4 08-10 16:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +111 $50 8¢ $8 -$42 05-20 20:14
Will the next elected US president be a woman? Yes +29 $6 28¢ $8 +$2 08-10 16:36
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +10 $6 68¢ $7 +$1 08-10 16:34
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? No +7 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 10-16 15:30
Will the Samajwadi Party (SP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? No +7 $6 82¢ $6 $0 11-05 14:47
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8 $5 68¢ $6 +$1 06-03 17:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +22 $10 23¢ $5 -$5 10-31 15:46
Rahul Gandhi arrested by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$1 11-03 13:07
Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election? Yes +7 $5 66¢ $5 $0 10-26 17:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +14 $6 31¢ $4 -$2 08-10 16:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +8 $5 49¢ $4 -$1 10-09 06:58
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? Yes +18 $6 18¢ $3 -$3 08-10 16:37
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +37 $8 6¢ $2 -$6 10-21 05:48
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +56 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 09-16 06:39