Earnest-Timbale 0x5f39d6…e3d603
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.46K
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
6,106
Trades
43,793
lifetime
Volume
$212.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$639
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-21 08:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Sports
49% 50% -$4,116
Other
45% 58% +$1,077
Politics
6% 58% -$239
Crypto
1% 44% -$196
Tech
0% 78% +$21
Pop-Culture
0% 25% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -131 -$95 86¢ $-112 -$18 06-06 08:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -106 -$79 86¢ $-92 -$12 06-06 07:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -93 -$81 94¢ $-87 -$5 06-09 00:38
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -79 -$75 95¢ $-75 -$1 06-06 08:55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -67 -$55 92¢ $-62 -$6 06-13 07:56
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -37 -$35 98¢ $-36 -$1 06-16 18:19
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -38 -$32 94¢ $-35 -$3 06-15 13:39
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -28 -$27 100¢ $-27 -$1 06-11 15:10
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -24 -$23 98¢ $-24 -$1 07-10 15:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -41 -$17 39¢ $-16 +$1 07-10 15:08
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -15 -$15 100¢ $-15 $0 06-11 12:10
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 -$15 96¢ $-15 $0 09-16 05:13
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -16 -$14 87¢ $-14 $0 09-16 05:14
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -11 -$10 100¢ $-11 -$1 09-16 05:13
US recession by end of 2026? No -10 -$8 92¢ $-9 -$1 09-16 05:14
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -9 -$9 100¢ $-9 +$0 09-16 05:14