High-Level-Turn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

309

lifetime

Volume

$307

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-07 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 0% $-0

Politics

29% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-02 07:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	31	$31	26	26	+0	open	—	02-20 01:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	02-13 00:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-02 03:06
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:45
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-30 02:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:20
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 02:12
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 07:01
Trump out as President by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-11 09:03
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-08 02:23
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:25
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:46
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 07:51
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-03 02:47
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 08:09
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 02:09
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 02:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-25 08:09
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 08:24
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 10:10
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 02:43
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-05 08:40
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 02:23
will bomb be said 100 times during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 07:18
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	3	$3	3	1	+1	open	—	01-15 09:41
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 04:47
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 02:23:53	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc0e25d…
07-08 02:23:14	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x144aa4…
07-08 02:04:32	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa48527…
07-08 02:02:52	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x993d38…
07-07 01:58:10	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7c3cea…
07-07 01:41:16	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb72513…
07-06 03:04:44	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcf3a9b…
07-06 03:03:55	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1856e2…
07-06 02:46:52	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x552d4f…
07-06 02:45:28	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb0f27a…
07-04 02:02:49	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf9268b…
07-04 01:49:14	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa22b55…
07-03 02:47:17	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x40e451…
07-03 02:28:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc1427b…
07-02 03:06:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2448cf…
07-02 02:40:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x12e068…
07-01 01:30:04	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x656e31…
07-01 01:17:16	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x26594b…
06-30 02:43:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1fade4…
06-30 02:43:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x63d8fe…
06-30 02:27:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe36841…
06-30 02:24:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xedb82e…
06-27 02:09:17	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xce2c1a…
06-27 02:02:40	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x97fba3…
06-26 10:23:14	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd007b4…
06-26 10:22:56	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc6a398…
06-26 10:17:44	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf1d91…
06-26 10:16:28	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x88865c…
06-25 08:09:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7ab548…
06-25 06:47:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc20f9e…
06-23 09:33:07	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x922fad…
06-23 09:32:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x12ea66…
06-23 09:28:23	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6bfa53…
06-23 09:26:49	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84e710…
06-22 07:39:47	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x65d122…
06-22 07:39:19	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3d02f1…
06-22 07:29:41	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x857b83…
06-22 07:27:04	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfca325…
06-21 10:10:04	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcaee6e…
06-21 10:09:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8bed3f…
06-21 10:02:13	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3762b4…
06-21 10:00:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x34f765…
06-18 09:41:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x93885c…
06-18 09:31:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc36be4…
06-17 08:27:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x41c6c9…
06-17 08:26:50	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfb1a21…
06-17 08:17:49	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6e65e5…
06-17 08:17:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbe2b0f…
06-17 08:09:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x96784b…
06-17 08:09:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcf57ea…
06-16 09:08:04	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x69d1b9…
06-16 09:07:40	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7cd16…
06-16 09:01:40	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa45a2b…
06-16 08:57:45	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe0d5e…
06-15 09:14:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xba7b8b…
06-15 09:14:25	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfddb5e…
06-15 09:03:21	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa2a1cf…
06-15 09:02:13	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x712652…
06-13 08:09:39	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1923d1…
06-13 07:52:22	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x65584e…
06-12 09:05:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7508d2…
06-12 08:54:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5e2cd1…
06-11 09:03:40	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x71f93b…
06-11 08:51:28	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf3cfd…
06-10 09:10:00	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x41c379…
06-10 09:09:30	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd55e50…
06-10 09:02:00	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x468acb…
06-10 09:01:01	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfb0588…
06-09 08:22:43	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x85233b…
06-09 08:11:36	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x62d460…
06-08 07:40:16	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf6a81c…
06-08 07:36:10	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x852c0a…
06-06 07:57:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x157004…
06-06 07:44:34	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x28e13b…
06-05 07:53:34	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x63897c…
06-05 07:51:52	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x44e198…
06-05 07:50:49	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb8d957…
06-05 07:49:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x167375…
06-04 09:32:12	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1aa10c…
06-04 09:28:55	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64e6d7…
06-03 08:35:39	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8115e6…
06-03 08:33:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf8b8a3…
06-02 07:31:32	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x178270…
06-01 09:34:04	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe6aaec…
06-01 09:33:40	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5917d3…
06-01 09:17:23	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5cb4c…
06-01 09:16:22	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x52364b…
05-30 03:12:20	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb6c45f…
05-30 03:07:54	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2f6bdd…
05-29 08:46:37	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xccb79c…
05-29 08:27:50	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3272c5…
05-28 09:18:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2cba0d…
05-28 08:58:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcd4940…
05-27 10:00:25	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x991bb6…
05-27 09:53:18	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x98c75a…
05-22 07:56:11	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x229396…
05-22 07:36:16	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc7b3bf…
05-21 04:51:10	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x497067…
05-20 03:17:00	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc3f43e…
05-19 02:56:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaa30d5…