High-Level-Turn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.1%

Resolved

141

Trades

485

lifetime

Volume

$484

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

59% 17% -$6

Politics

25% 13% +$0

Crypto

9% 0% -$1

Sports

3% 0% $0

Tech

2% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	31	$31	26	26	+0	No	-$1	02-20 01:20
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	-0	open	—	07-28 02:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	08-01 08:23
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$10	7	7	+0	No	$0	02-13 00:59
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-10 02:34
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-08 02:23
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 07:45
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 03:24
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-10 02:34
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 07:45
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-27 02:09
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	07-17 01:55
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-05 07:51
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-18 02:21
Over $1B crypto hack value in 2026?	5	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	05-16 02:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	01-20 09:20
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 02:12
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-21 07:01
Trump out as President by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	No	$0	06-11 09:03
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-23 09:32
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 04:25
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-29 08:46
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 09:32
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-29 08:46
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-23 02:30
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-13 08:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:55
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 02:09
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-06 02:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 08:23:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf1ecef…
08-01 07:57:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5555ac…
08-01 07:56:47	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x18d498…
07-31 02:44:59	taylor travis divorce in 2026 20260706221307677	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8502e3…
07-31 02:44:33	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd02df6…
07-31 02:32:23	taylor travis divorce in 2026 20260706221307677	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1d0053…
07-31 02:31:23	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfaec8b…
07-30 03:11:02	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9bdd13…
07-30 03:09:36	will hyperliquid reach 80 in july	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb7d54b…
07-30 02:39:08	will hyperliquid reach 80 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60a251…
07-30 02:37:51	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8dcf79…
07-28 02:44:07	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3e76e8…
07-28 02:43:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xde4e9f…
07-28 02:23:51	Will the Jets win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd60396…
07-28 02:23:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe142ae…
07-25 09:18:49	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa9961a…
07-25 09:18:31	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1b6ab8…
07-25 09:00:28	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1c3be5…
07-25 08:59:55	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x431fef…
07-23 03:15:21	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8c3e53…
07-23 03:14:51	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc7b441…
07-23 02:56:22	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5fe29b…
07-23 02:53:57	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x727dd1…
07-21 02:42:21	Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win Title Tuesday?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbc13e5…
07-21 02:40:13	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd76749…
07-21 02:21:46	Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win Title Tuesday?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb5237d…
07-21 02:20:24	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd56d15…
07-20 06:22:30	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x042341…
07-20 06:21:24	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x923fd5…
07-20 04:57:16	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4527b4…
07-20 04:54:09	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x12c7fa…
07-18 02:21:45	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfd72b2…
07-18 02:21:18	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x79b13a…
07-18 02:00:51	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5079cf…
07-18 01:59:42	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1358b9…
07-17 01:55:57	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xef80c5…
07-17 01:55:21	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbf8c6a…
07-17 01:41:36	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1c081b…
07-17 01:40:43	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x63528d…
07-16 01:24:08	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x287caa…
07-16 01:23:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2fd552…
07-16 01:15:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x971243…
07-16 01:14:37	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x79977f…
07-15 02:40:32	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4bac75…
07-15 02:40:11	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x236fec…
07-15 02:24:59	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b0a36…
07-15 02:24:10	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1e9d77…
07-14 01:52:34	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xae4f52…
07-14 01:51:59	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x814ba2…
07-14 01:37:58	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x44095a…
07-14 01:37:16	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x96c7d8…
07-13 03:49:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe29656…
07-13 03:48:31	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x328cbd…
07-13 03:26:28	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfe1ded…
07-13 03:16:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1cac99…
07-11 03:24:53	Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb1caf0…
07-11 03:24:17	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7c291a…
07-11 03:04:34	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3ef424…
07-11 03:03:13	Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec1995…
07-10 02:34:55	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf85c51…
07-10 02:34:22	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2aea0d…
07-10 02:15:53	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb7c4fa…
07-10 02:14:56	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7f9714…
07-09 01:27:31	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa4b8d8…
07-09 01:26:52	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7b3c86…
07-09 01:18:28	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x00354a…
07-09 01:17:40	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8d0d2…
07-08 02:23:53	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc0e25d…
07-08 02:23:14	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x144aa4…
07-08 02:04:32	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa48527…
07-08 02:02:52	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x993d38…
07-07 01:58:10	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7c3cea…
07-07 01:57:31	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd7e29…
07-07 01:41:16	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb72513…
07-07 01:40:38	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd89ffd…
07-06 03:04:44	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcf3a9b…
07-06 03:03:55	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1856e2…
07-06 02:46:52	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x552d4f…
07-06 02:45:28	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb0f27a…
07-04 02:02:49	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf9268b…
07-04 02:02:11	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8c4224…
07-04 01:49:14	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa22b55…
07-04 01:47:58	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49e5f9…
07-03 02:47:17	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x40e451…
07-03 02:46:43	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x287c34…
07-03 02:29:31	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d7482…
07-03 02:28:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc1427b…
07-02 03:06:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2448cf…
07-02 03:03:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x058d88…
07-02 02:40:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x12e068…
07-02 02:40:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x20e8c0…
07-01 01:30:04	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x656e31…
07-01 01:29:26	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xef3428…
07-01 01:17:16	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x26594b…
07-01 01:15:20	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68dc4e…
06-30 02:43:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1fade4…
06-30 02:43:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x63d8fe…
06-30 02:27:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe36841…
06-30 02:24:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xedb82e…
06-27 02:09:40	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $8.00 on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9487e9…